Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Supreme Court ruled that States can levy cesses on mining activities, distinguishing it from Union's authority over royalty.</li>
<li>Retrospective tax collection from 2005 could impose 1.5-2 lakh crore on the mining sector, heavily impacting co. like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-steel-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20934:1" rel="noopener">Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coal-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9117:1" rel="noopener">Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The ruling may exacerbate financial pressures on the mining industry, especially in high-tax states like Odisha and Jharkhand.</li>
</ul>


Supreme Court ruled that States can levy cesses on mining activities, distinguishing it from Union's authority over royalty.
Retrospective tax collection from 2005 could impose 1.5-2 lakh crore on the mining sector, heavily impacting co. like Tata Steel Ltd (TATA IN) and Coal India Ltd (COAL IN).
The ruling may exacerbate financial pressures on the mining industry, especially in high-tax states like Odisha and Jharkhand.


60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>CIL reported a strong set of numbers with Adjusted EBITDA (ex OBR), beating our estimate by 11%.</li><li>Revenue from operations stood at Rs 33,170 Cr (flat YoY, down 3% QoQ), missing our estimate by 3% and consensus by 8%, indicating an ASP of Rs 1,675/t, 3% below our assumption.</li><li>The miss in ASP might have been due to a lower e-auction premium against our estimate of 54% over FSA prices.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CIL reported a strong set of numbers with Adjusted EBITDA (ex OBR), beating our estimate by 11%.Revenue from operations stood at Rs 33,170 Cr (flat YoY, down 3% QoQ), missing our estimate by 3% and consensus by 8%, indicating an ASP of Rs 1,675/t, 3% below our assumption.The miss in ASP might have been due to a lower e-auction premium against our estimate of 54% over FSA prices.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Coal India - EBITDA Beat Driven By Lower Employee and RM Costs

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-June in July. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-March.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 12 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 5 could see passive outflows in August.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-June in July. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-March.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 12 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 5 could see passive outflows in August.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

<ul>
<li>Coal India advancing 119 projects to increase coal production, aiming for 1 billion tonnes by 2025-26.</li>
<li>Adani's $4 billion PVC project resumes, targeting India's PVC demand with 2 million tonnes capacity.</li>
<li>ITC plans Rs 20,000 crore investment, focusing on FMCG, paperboards, packaging, and hotel business demerger.</li>
</ul>


Coal India advancing 119 projects to increase coal production, aiming for 1 billion tonnes by 2025-26.
Adani's $4 billion PVC project resumes, targeting India's PVC demand with 2 million tonnes capacity.
ITC plans Rs 20,000 crore investment, focusing on FMCG, paperboards, packaging, and hotel business demerger.


# 36 India Insight: Coal India Projects, Adani $4 Bn in PVC, ITC INR 20,000 Cr Investment

<ul><li>For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking coal consumption costs, partially offset by lower NSRs (Benchmark Steel HRC prices in the traders market exMumbai have declined by 6% YoY and flat QoQ).</li><li>On a QoQ basis, we expect EBITDA/t growth to moderate or even decline as a decline in coking coal consumption cost is offset by lower NSRs and lower sales volumes over the seasonally strong Q4FY24.</li><li>For Aluminium companies, we expect growth in EBITDA margin to moderate on a QoQ basis.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking coal consumption costs, partially offset by lower NSRs (Benchmark Steel HRC prices in the traders market exMumbai have declined by 6% YoY and flat QoQ).On a QoQ basis, we expect EBITDA/t growth to moderate or even decline as a decline in coking coal consumption cost is offset by lower NSRs and lower sales volumes over the seasonally strong Q4FY24.For Aluminium companies, we expect growth in EBITDA margin to moderate on a QoQ basis.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

India

Coal India Limited produces and markets coal and coal products, as well as provides related consulting services.

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Coal India Ltd (COAL IN)

60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

Nimish Maheshwari

Coal India - EBITDA Beat Driven By Lower Employee and RM Costs

CIL reported a strong set of numbers with Adjusted EBITDA (ex OBR), beating our estimate by 11%. Revenue from operations stood at Rs 33,170 Cr...

Axis Direct

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 4...

Brian Freitas

# 36 India Insight: Coal India Projects, Adani $4 Bn in PVC, ITC INR 20,000 Cr Investment

India's major companies are ramping up production and investments in coal, PVC, and various sectors to meet growing demand and expansion goals.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Metals - Q1FY25 Earnings Preview

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking...

Axis Direct

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

60-Year Mining Tax Battle: Supreme Court’s Final Word

​Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

Nimish Maheshwari

Coal India - EBITDA Beat Driven By Lower Employee and RM Costs

CIL reported a strong set of numbers with Adjusted EBITDA (ex OBR), beating our estimate by 11%. Revenue from operations stood at Rs 33,170 Cr...

Axis Direct

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in August

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 4...

Brian Freitas

# 36 India Insight: Coal India Projects, Adani $4 Bn in PVC, ITC INR 20,000 Cr Investment

​India's major companies are ramping up production and investments in coal, PVC, and various sectors to meet growing demand and expansion goals.

Sudarshan Bhandari

Metals - Q1FY25 Earnings Preview

For Steel companies under our coverage, EBITDA/t is expected to increase on a YoY basis, led by higher metal sales volumes YoY and lower coking...

Axis Direct

Supreme Court ruling allows States to levy cess on mining, potentially imposing hefty retrospective taxes on sector, impacting companies like Tata...

India's major companies are ramping up production and investments in coal, PVC, and various sectors to meet growing demand and expansion goals.