ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergent of the listed telcos.</li>
<li>Although it saw some seasonal slowdown in 3Q, the solid growth trajectory remains intact for this year with the completion of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> restructuring driving convergence growth.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> raised data prices again in November and will continue to ride the wave of price reparation over the coming quarters in a more rational pricing environment. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergent of the listed telcos.
Although it saw some seasonal slowdown in 3Q, the solid growth trajectory remains intact for this year with the completion of the Link Net restructuring driving convergence growth.

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) raised data prices again in November and will continue to ride the wave of price reparation over the coming quarters in a more rational pricing environment. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This transaction just keeps on giving. First, you received an additional dividend. Now the Offer price has been increased. </li>
<li>On the 26 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> announced an intention to acquire a 58.65% stake in coal miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ)</a> (GEE).</li>
<li>Geo shareholders approved the purchase on the October 13 and the acquisition was completed on the 18 October. This triggered an MTO, which has been revised upward to IDR 1,305.50.</li>
</ul>


This transaction just keeps on giving. First, you received an additional dividend. Now the Offer price has been increased. 
On the 26 July, Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) announced an intention to acquire a 58.65% stake in coal miner Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) (GEE).
Geo shareholders approved the purchase on the October 13 and the acquisition was completed on the 18 October. This triggered an MTO, which has been revised upward to IDR 1,305.50.


Golden Eagle Energy: Share Sale Done. MTO Price Bumped

<ul>
<li>Back on the 26 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> announced an intention to acquire a majority stake in coal miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/golden-eagle-energy-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ)</a> (GEE).</li>
<li>GEO shareholders have now approved the purchase of a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group, triggering an MTO at IDR1,255/share, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK.</li>
<li>In addition, GEE announced a special/additional dividend, with a cum-entitlement today, the 17th of October. </li>
</ul>


Back on the 26 July, Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) announced an intention to acquire a majority stake in coal miner Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) (GEE).
GEO shareholders have now approved the purchase of a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group, triggering an MTO at IDR1,255/share, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK.
In addition, GEE announced a special/additional dividend, with a cum-entitlement today, the 17th of October. 


Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata (EXCL IJ)</a> continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.</li>
<li>The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-net-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1050:1" rel="noopener">Link Net</a> completes but benefits are already accruing. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xl-axiata-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15028:1" rel="noopener">XL Axiata</a> remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. </li>
</ul>



XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to impress with its growth in revenues and data, driven by its 4G focus and high-quality network, with improving margins at the same time.
The XL convergence story continues to build, with convergence penetration increasing but the real kicker wILL come once the restructuring with Link Net completes but benefits are already accruing. 

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to be the next driver. Valuations are attractive on 4.4x FY2024E EV/EBITDA with strong growth ahead. 


XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

<ul>
<li>On the 26 July, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> announced an agreement to acquire a majority stake in coal miner <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/112915/ht" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3835:1" rel="noopener">Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) </a>(GEE).
</li>
<li>Via an S&amp;P, GEO intends to buy a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group for US$154.1mn.</li>
<li>The completion of the S&amp;P, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK and Geo shareholder approval, will trigger an MTO at IDR 1,255/share.</li>
</ul>


On the 26 July, Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) announced an agreement to acquire a majority stake in coal miner Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ) (GEE).

Via an S&amp;P, GEO intends to buy a 58.7% stake in Golden Eagle from Indonesian conglomerate Rajawali Group for US$154.1mn.
The completion of the S&amp;P, which is subject to Indonesia's OJK and Geo shareholder approval, will trigger an MTO at IDR 1,255/share.


Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ): Trading Wide To Terms

Malaysia

Axiata Group Berhad is a telecommunication company.  The Company's main activities is the establishment, maintenance, and provision of telecommunications and related services.

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Axiata Group (AXIATA MK)

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergant of the...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

This is a pretty clean arb trade. Plus you get the dividend in a little over a week. Regulatory approval will not be an issue. Trading at a gross...

David Blennerhassett

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to the the next driver, boosted by LinkNet synergies. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ): Trading Wide To Terms

Regulatory approval should not be an issue. The GEO vote should be straightforward. Assuming end-Jan 24 payment under the MTO, the gross/annualised...

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Riding the Wave of Price Reparation and Convergence

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) continues to stand as the most direct way to play the data demand in Indonesia as well as being the most convergant of the...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy: Share Sale Done. MTO Price Bumped

The MTO has been revised up to IDR 1305.50. Trading at a gross/annualised spread of 4.4%/16.5%. Get involved if smallish, relatively illiquid arbs,...

David Blennerhassett

Golden Eagle Energy: Last Day To Buy Cum-Divvie

This is a pretty clean arb trade. Plus you get the dividend in a little over a week. Regulatory approval will not be an issue. Trading at a gross...

David Blennerhassett

XL Axiata (EXCL IJ) - Linked Up for Future Growth

XL Axiata remains the purest data player in Indonesia, with convergence set to the the next driver, boosted by LinkNet synergies. Valuations...

Angus Mackintosh

Golden Eagle Energy (SMMT IJ): Trading Wide To Terms

Regulatory approval should not be an issue. The GEO vote should be straightforward. Assuming end-Jan 24 payment under the MTO, the gross/annualised...

David Blennerhassett