Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>South Korea moves to the bottom of the 'big 4' as managers aggressively rotate portfolios in 2022.</li>
<li>Nearly a 5th of Asia Ex-Japan managers made the switch to underweight over the last 6-months, pushing allocations to their lowest levels in over a decade. </li>
<li>KakaoBank, Samsung SDI, Kakao Corp and Samsung Electronics Pref Shares saw allocations fall the most.</li>
</ul>


South Korea moves to the bottom of the 'big 4' as managers aggressively rotate portfolios in 2022.
Nearly a 5th of Asia Ex-Japan managers made the switch to underweight over the last 6-months, pushing allocations to their lowest levels in over a decade. 
KakaoBank, Samsung SDI, Kakao Corp and Samsung Electronics Pref Shares saw allocations fall the most.


Asia Ex-Japan Funds Rotate Out of South Korea

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,567.2bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,792mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, SKTelecom.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Jul 31st. The aggregated holding was USD1,567.2bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be outflows of USD5,792mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE, SKTelecom.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.</li>
<li>Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).</li>
<li>Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.</li>
</ul>


This is now the third Int'l Compass/third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes experiencing bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals.
Importantly, all of the previously mentioned indexes are holding above their breakout levels (i.e., there has yet to be any failed breakouts).
Now, the U.S. dollar (DXY) is starting to show early signs of topping. We continue to believe that global equities are going through a bottoming process.


U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In last week's Int'l Compass (July 21) we discussed positive signals that suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.</li>
<li>But we also noted that various downtrends remained firmly intact, and that we needed to see indexes reverse their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.</li>
<li>It appears the bullish reversals have begun, as the SPX, MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and YTD downtrends.</li>
</ul>


In last week's Int'l Compass (July 21) we discussed positive signals that suggested the lows for this bear market may have already been established, or that downside is limited.
But we also noted that various downtrends remained firmly intact, and that we needed to see indexes reverse their downtrends in order to get more constructive at the index level.
It appears the bullish reversals have begun, as the SPX, MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US), and STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and YTD downtrends.


Europe, MSCI ACWI Bullish Downtrend Reversals as Japan Tests Resistance; Tech, Health Care Buys

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.</li>
<li>While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.</li>
<li>Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.</li>
</ul>


With the declining number of daily new infections, most countries in APAC region are in process to relax their COVID-related restrictions and border re-opening.
While hospitals are the prime beneficiaries of re-opening, medical devices companies will also benefit from the resumption of elective surgeries. Monkeypox is not expected to have big adverse effect.
Investment thesis for four top picks in APAC healthcare sector remains intact, and their recent quarterly results depict their continued growth momentum.


APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

South Korea

Celltrion Inc. produces and sells biosimilar products and also provides consignm ent processing service for other companies.  The Company's main product is Abata cept which is for arthritis treatment

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Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)

Asia Ex-Japan Funds Rotate Out of South Korea

Active Asia Ex-Japan managers have rotated away from South Korean stocks in 2022, pushing allocations towards their lowest level in over a decade.

Steven Holden

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 31st): SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech, SKSQUARE

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, Samsung Electronics, SamsungElecMech,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

U.S. Dollar Topping?; Bullish Reversals Continue; Ideas in Growth/Cyclicals, Financials

This is now the third week in a row where we are discussing an increasing number of country indexes with bullish 3.5-9-month downtrend reversals,...

Vermilion Research

Europe, MSCI ACWI Bullish Downtrend Reversals as Japan Tests Resistance; Tech, Health Care Buys

Bullish reversals have begun, as the $SPX, MSCI ACWI $ACWI, and $STOXX 600 are the first three major indexes to reverse topside their 4-month and...

Vermilion Research

APAC Healthcare – Good Bet on Re-Opening; Continued Strong Recovery in Top Picks

Amid the declining new COVID infections and economy re-opening, top picks in APAC healthcare sector are poised to benefit. Their recent quarterly...

Tina Banerjee

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