Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li style="text-align: left;">Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....</li>
<li>Key updates took place on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ansarada-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30718:1" rel="noopener">Ansarada Group (AND AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/southern-cross-gold-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36552:1" rel="noopener">Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mandala-multifinance-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12756:1" rel="noopener">Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl (4921 JP)</a>.
</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Quiet week - no new deals were discussed this week on Smartkarma ....
Key updates took place on Ansarada Group (AND AU), Southern Cross Gold (SXG AU), A8 New Media (800 HK), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Mandala Multifinance (MFIN IJ), and Fancl (4921 JP).



(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

<ul>
<li>For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of July 2024, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$10bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.
This compares to the average premium for transactions in 2023 (117 transactions), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) of 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>’s IFA opines that Mr Liu Xiaosong (Chairman and CEO)’s HK$0.36 privatisation offer to be fair and reasonable. The vote is on 23 August. </li>
<li>Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection).</li>
<li>No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and the massive 162.8% takeover premium suggest a done deal. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 5.9%/36.0%.</li>
</ul>



A8 New Media (800 HK)’s IFA opines that Mr Liu Xiaosong (Chairman and CEO)’s HK$0.36 privatisation offer to be fair and reasonable. The vote is on 23 August. 
Key conditions include approval by at least 75% of disinterested shareholders (&lt;10% of disinterested shareholders rejection).
No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and the massive 162.8% takeover premium suggest a done deal. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread is 5.9%/36.0%.


A8 New Media (800 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 23 August Vote

<ul>
<li>Back on the 12th June, PRC property rental play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a8-new-media-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3444:1" rel="noopener">A8 New Media (800 HK)</a>  <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0612/2024061201591.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.</li>
<li>The Cancellation price was $0.36/share, a punchy 162.77% to last close. The price was declared  final.</li>
<li>The Scheme Doc is now <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0729/2024072900001.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with an independent shareholder vote on the 23 August and payment on or around the 2nd October. This is a done deal.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 12th June, PRC property rental play A8 New Media (800 HK)  announced an Offer by way of a Scheme from chairman/founder/major shareholder Liu Xiaosong.
The Cancellation price was $0.36/share, a punchy 162.77% to last close. The price was declared  final.
The Scheme Doc is now out, with an independent shareholder vote on the 23 August and payment on or around the 2nd October. This is a done deal.


A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yichang-hec-changjiang-pharmaceutical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21040:1" rel="noopener">Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-traditional-chinese-medicine" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:351:1" rel="noopener">China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/canvest-environmental-protection-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:100:1" rel="noopener">Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/greatview-aseptic-packaging" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10802:1" rel="noopener">Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asia-cement-china-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3374:1" rel="noopener">Asia Cement China (743 HK)</a>. 
</li>
<li>Lowest spreads: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fancl-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15862:1" rel="noopener">Fancl Corp (4921 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mimasu-semiconductor-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5531:1" rel="noopener">Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infocom-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8412:1" rel="noopener">Infocom Corp (4348 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantm-intellectual-property" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24317:1" rel="noopener">Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alps-logistics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3935:1" rel="noopener">Alps Logistics (9055 JP)</a>. 
</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads: Yichang HEC Changjiang Pharma (1558 HK), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK), Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK), Greatview Aseptic Packaging (468 HK), Asia Cement China (743 HK). 

Lowest spreads: Fancl Corp (4921 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Infocom Corp (4348 JP), L'Occitane (973 HK), Qantm Intellectual Property (QIP AU), Alps Logistics (9055 JP). 



Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, CPMC, GA Pack, Tohokushinsha, Furukawa, Tatsuta

China

A8 New Media Group Limited was an investment holding company primarily engaged in cultural business and property investment. Its cultural business segment included music-based entertainment and film and television production services. The company was founded in 2000 and headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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A8 New Media (A8NEWMEDIA HK)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A:Ansarada, Southern Cross Gold, A8 New Media, CPMC, Mandala Multifinance, Fancl

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, July 2024: Canvest, Furukawa, Arvida, Advanced Info, Sermsuk, Thaicom

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in July was ~31%. The average premium YTD is ~44%.

David Blennerhassett

A8 New Media (800 HK): Wide Spread Ahead of the 23 August Vote

No shareholder holding a blocking stake, low AGM minority participation rate and the massive 162.8% takeover premium suggest a done deal. At the...

Arun George

A8 Media (800 HK): 23rd August Shareholder Vote

This is a done deal. Assuming 2nd October payment, I'd be paying up to ~$0.0.35/share for a 3%/15% gross/annualised return.

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (29 Jul) - China TCM, Canvest, CPMC, GA Pack, Tohokushinsha, Furukawa, Tatsuta

This week, the highest gross spreads are HEC Pharma (126.8%), China TCM (37.3%), Canvest (11.9%), GAPack (11.8%), Asia Cement China (10.7%),...

Arun George

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