Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/india/india-regulator-probing-some-adani-offshore-deals-possible-rule-violations-2023-04-01/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">probing offshore deals</a> for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.</li>
<li>GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." </li>
<li>Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. </li>
</ul>


The Adani names are seeing new news and commentary. SEBI is probing offshore deals for rules violations, SEBI filed an interim report Sunday with the Court, Cements are refinancing US$4bn.
GQG's Jain was interviewed by Bloomberg TV in NY saying he sees his Adani basket being a "multi-bagger in five years." 
Assuming growth and margins equivalent to peer max rates, all profits reinvested, and 100% gain in stock price in 5yrs, NP CAGR=33%, 2028 EV/EBITDA average of four names is 29.4x. 


GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
 Ambuja Cement has crossed the 100 MTPA capacity mark and is executing a roadmap for 140 MTPA by FY28 while targeting a INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA by the same year.</li>
<li>The integration of multiple recent acquisitions, including Orient, Sanghi, and Penna, is crucial; Q2FY26 results will offer the first look into how the new consolidated entity handles initial integration costs.</li>
<li>While Q1 FY26 set a high baseline, investors should  anticipate sequential dip in Q2 margins, viewing it as a short-term integration blip against a decade-defining capacity and cost rationalisation strategy.</li>
</ul>



 Ambuja Cement has crossed the 100 MTPA capacity mark and is executing a roadmap for 140 MTPA by FY28 while targeting a INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA by the same year.
The integration of multiple recent acquisitions, including Orient, Sanghi, and Penna, is crucial; Q2FY26 results will offer the first look into how the new consolidated entity handles initial integration costs.
While Q1 FY26 set a high baseline, investors should  anticipate sequential dip in Q2 margins, viewing it as a short-term integration blip against a decade-defining capacity and cost rationalisation strategy.


Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Pan-India average cement prices have surged by 8% year-on-year to approximately Rs 360 per 50-kg bag, driven by escalating fuel and raw material costs, notably imported petcoke and gypsum.</li>
<li>The price surge indicates a shift in the balance of power within the highly consolidated Indian cement sector.</li>
<li>With input costs rising, companies are demonstrating newfound pricing power, a critical factor for protecting and expanding operating margins in an energy-intensive business.</li>
</ul>


Pan-India average cement prices have surged by 8% year-on-year to approximately Rs 360 per 50-kg bag, driven by escalating fuel and raw material costs, notably imported petcoke and gypsum.
The price surge indicates a shift in the balance of power within the highly consolidated Indian cement sector.
With input costs rising, companies are demonstrating newfound pricing power, a critical factor for protecting and expanding operating margins in an energy-intensive business.


Indian Cement: Cost Headwinds Meet Robust Demand, Forging Pricing Power

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JSW Cement Limited / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-cement-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43870:1" rel="noopener">JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN)</a> raised about US$410m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN) raised about US$410m in its India IPO.
JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics.


JSW Cement IPO Trading - Overall Demand Lags Recent Listings

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsw-cement-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43870:1" rel="noopener">JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. The IPO has been downsized from US$480m with primary component cut to US$160m from US$180m.</li>
<li>JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



JSW Cement Limited (9858514Z IN) is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. The IPO has been downsized from US$480m with primary component cut to US$160m from US$180m.
JSW Cement (JSWC) is a cement manufacturing company in India focused on manufacturing green cementitious products comprising blended cement, ordinary portland cement, ground granulated blast furnace slag, among other products.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about implied valuations in the IPO price range.


JSW Cement IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

India

ACC Limited  manufactures a range of cements and blended cements. The Company also manufactures gypsum and refractory products such as Brown Tabular Alumina. The Company provides turnkey and application consulting services for setting up and operating cement plants and refractories. The Company owns cement plants throughout India.

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ACC Ltd (ACC IN)

GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

This is an update on the Adani Names where GQG Partners purchased a US$1.8bn stake from the Promoters themselves. They are up 25% in a month. Which...

Travis Lundy

Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?

Ambuja Cement aims for 140 MTPA capacity by FY28 with INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA target, focusing on integrating recent acquisitions and managing...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Indian Cement: Cost Headwinds Meet Robust Demand, Forging Pricing Power

Pan-India cement prices rise 8% due to increased costs, signaling a shift in industry dynamics and companies' pricing power to protect margins.

Nimish Maheshwari

JSW Cement IPO Trading - Overall Demand Lags Recent Listings

JSW Cement raised about US$410m in its India IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk...

Akshat Shah

JSW Cement IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

JSW Cement is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the...

Akshat Shah

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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GQG Calls Adani Names 5Yr "Multi-Baggers" - It Works at 30% EPS CAGR if You Torture the Numbers

This is an update on the Adani Names where GQG Partners purchased a US$1.8bn stake from the Promoters themselves. They are up 25% in a month. Which...

Travis Lundy

Ambuja Cement Q2 Preview: Seasonal Weakness or a Strategic Pause in the 140 MTPA Road?

​Ambuja Cement aims for 140 MTPA capacity by FY28 with INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA target, focusing on integrating recent acquisitions and managing...

Sudarshan Bhandari

Indian Cement: Cost Headwinds Meet Robust Demand, Forging Pricing Power

​Pan-India cement prices rise 8% due to increased costs, signaling a shift in industry dynamics and companies' pricing power to protect margins.

Nimish Maheshwari

JSW Cement IPO Trading - Overall Demand Lags Recent Listings

JSW Cement raised about US$410m in its India IPO. We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk...

Akshat Shah

JSW Cement IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuations

JSW Cement is looking to raise about US$410m in its India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the...

Akshat Shah

Ambuja Cement aims for 140 MTPA capacity by FY28 with INR1,500 per tonne EBITDA target, focusing on integrating recent acquisitions and managing...

Pan-India cement prices rise 8% due to increased costs, signaling a shift in industry dynamics and companies' pricing power to protect margins.