Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.</li>
<li>Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.</li>
<li>High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA </li>
</ul>


We screen for Global companies at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges among active Global equity funds.
Low Positioning coupled with Negative Momentum:  Intel Corporation and Nippon Telegraph and Telephone Corporation.
High Positioning coupled with High Momentum:  Amphenol Corporation and Iberdrola SA 


Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Accenture recently reported its fourth quarter result for fiscal 2024, showcasing a mixture of strengths and setbacks.</li><li>As a multinational professional services company known for its capabilities in digital, cloud, and security, Accenture's continued focus on embracing technological transformations, particularly Generative AI (GenAI), and adapting to market demands are pivotal points observed from the earnings report.</li><li>Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.</li></ul>

Accenture recently reported its fourth quarter result for fiscal 2024, showcasing a mixture of strengths and setbacks.As a multinational professional services company known for its capabilities in digital, cloud, and security, Accenture's continued focus on embracing technological transformations, particularly Generative AI (GenAI), and adapting to market demands are pivotal points observed from the earnings report.Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company's price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Accenture plc: How Is Its Approach Towards Strategic Bolt-On Acquisitions Working Out? - Major Drivers

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.</li>
<li>It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.</li>
<li>The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming</li>
</ul>


$SPX remains below 5783, the upper-end of important target/resistance area we've discussed for a month+ (5670-5783). 5670 was prior all-time high set in July, while 5783 is 2% above 5670.
It's hard to call it a "decisive" breakout if SPX isn't even 2% above its prior high.  In 2007, SPX made a top after climbing 1-2% above its prior high.
The 2007 topping analog has tracked the current market almost perfectly, with similar backdrops to today including new Fed cutting cycle, recession indicators going off, yield curve un-inverting, defensives outperforming


Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

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Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Accenture’s Q4FY24 results validated signs of improvement for the IT sector</li><li>The top-end of Accenture’s guidance factors unchanged macro, ‘yet’ there was a 4pp swing in organic growth (from -1% in FY24 to +3% for FY25E)</li><li>While the continuity of strong growth in outsourcing driven by large deals can be construed as a positive indicator for Indian IT, the uptick may not be completely secular due to the high share of public services deals by the company</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Accenture’s Q4FY24 results validated signs of improvement for the IT sectorThe top-end of Accenture’s guidance factors unchanged macro, ‘yet’ there was a 4pp swing in organic growth (from -1% in FY24 to +3% for FY25E)While the continuity of strong growth in outsourcing driven by large deals can be construed as a positive indicator for Indian IT, the uptick may not be completely secular due to the high share of public services deals by the companyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>Accenture’s latest financial results highlight a dynamic and multifaceted performance.</li><li>The fiscal year has seen client spending patterns diverge from initial expectations, with a clear preference for large-scale transformations over smaller, discretionary projects.</li><li>This shift has led to slower revenue conversion and delayed decision making, necessitating a strategic pivot by Accenture.</li></ul>

Accenture’s latest financial results highlight a dynamic and multifaceted performance.The fiscal year has seen client spending patterns diverge from initial expectations, with a clear preference for large-scale transformations over smaller, discretionary projects.This shift has led to slower revenue conversion and delayed decision making, necessitating a strategic pivot by Accenture.

Accenture plc: How They Are Enabling Growth Through Acquisitions

Ireland

Accenture PLC provides management and technology consulting services and solutions.  The Company delivers a range of specialized capabilities and solutions to clients across all industries on a worldwide basis.  Accenture's network of businesses provides consulting, technology, outsourcing, and alliances.

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Accenture Plc Cl A (ACN US)

Global Funds: Extreme Stocks

In this report, we utilize our Global fund holdings database to screen for stocks at the extreme ends of their positioning or momentum ranges.

Steven Holden

Accenture plc: How Is Its Approach Towards Strategic Bolt-On Acquisitions Working Out? - Major Drivers

Accenture recently reported its fourth quarter result for fiscal 2024, showcasing a mixture of strengths and setbacks. As a multinational...

Baptista Research

Still No Decisive Breakout as SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; Ideal Time to Shift to Defensives

Still No Decisive Breakout as $SPX Tests 5783 Resistance; On watch for SPX bull trap/failed breakout, confirmed only on a break below 5670. 2007...

Vermilion Research

IT Sector: Rate of change validated

The top-end of Accenture’s guidance factors unchanged macro, ‘yet’ there was a 4pp swing in organic growth (from -1% in FY24 to +3% for FY25E)

HDFC Securities

Accenture plc: How They Are Enabling Growth Through Acquisitions

Accenture’s latest financial results highlight a dynamic and multifaceted performance. The fiscal year has seen client spending patterns diverge...

Baptista Research

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