Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.</li>
<li>Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.</li>
<li>The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.</li>
</ul>



Activia Properties (3279 JP) announced results Wednesday. Higher DPU on better rental income looks to continue next period, but an asset disposal will produce some drag ahead.
Activia Properties also announced a buyback of 10% of ADV for the next four months.
The REIT is slightly cheap to peers. Yield spread to JGBs is high which is good. It needs to be 10% higher to restart accretive equity offerings.


Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-building-fund-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1900:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP)</a> announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.</li>
<li>That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. </li>
<li>A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Building Fund (8951 JP) announced a smallish primary offering to assist in funding a portion of its Asset Replacement Campaign involving sales and purchases and an uplift in DPU.
That is an occasion to look at how much of float is held by passive trackers. 
A test was done on the top 10 J-REITs on a holder-by-holder basis to see what one could expect at a minimum. The result may surprise some.


Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Japan Prime Realty Investmen / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-prime-realty-investmen" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:495:1" rel="noopener">Japan Prime Realty Investment (8955 JP)</a> (<strong>"JPR"</strong>) announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. </li>
<li>The primary offer quantity is 38,100 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,900 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥16bn (~US$135mn). </li>
<li>Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of JPR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Japan Prime Realty Investment (8955 JP) ("JPR") announced a follow-on equity offering to fund part of their recently announced property acquisition. 
The primary offer quantity is 38,100 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 1,900 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥16bn (~US$135mn). 
Below, we take a look at the attractiveness of JPR's latest offering with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance.


Japan Prime Realty REIT (8955 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Activia Properties / Equity Capital Markets

<div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9498" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties Inc (3279 JP)</a>(API) plans to raise around US$200m/JPY22bn to fund the acquisition of three assets worth JPY44bn.</p></div><div>
<p>We have previously covered four other deals in the name: </p>
<ul><li>US$220m in Dec 2018, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/activia-properties-placement-time-for-the-annual-fund-raise-dpu-accretive-past-deals-did-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Activia Properties Placement - Time for the Annual Fund Raise, DPU Accretive, past Deals Did Well</a>
</li></ul>
</div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>US$130m in Dec 2017, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/activia-properties-placement-back-again-in-just-over-a-year-past-deals-have-done-well" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Activia Properties Placement - Back Again in Just over a Year, past Deals Have Done Well</a>
</li>
<li>US$270m in Nov 2016,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/activia-properties-back-for-the-annual-capital-raise-but-macro-might-not-be-supportive-this-time" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Activia Properties - Back for the Annual Capital Raise but Macro Might Not Be Supportive This</a>, and</li>
<li>US$161m in Dec 2015,  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/activia-properties-accretive-acquisition-should-add-to-the-previous-deals-record" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Activia Properties - Accretive Acquisition Should Add to the Previous Deals Record</a>.</li>
</ul></div><div><p>All the prior deals have done well over the short-term. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.</p></div>

Activia Properties Inc (3279 JP)(API) plans to raise around US$200m/JPY22bn to fund the acquisition of three assets worth JPY44bn.
We have previously covered four other deals in the name: 
US$220m in Dec 2018, Activia Properties Placement - Time for the Annual Fund Raise, DPU Accretive, past Deals Did Well


US$130m in Dec 2017, Activia Properties Placement - Back Again in Just over a Year, past Deals Have Done Well

US$270m in Nov 2016,  Activia Properties - Back for the Annual Capital Raise but Macro Might Not Be Supportive This, and
US$161m in Dec 2015,  Activia Properties - Accretive Acquisition Should Add to the Previous Deals Record.
All the prior deals have done well over the short-term. In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and talk about the deal dynamics.

Activia Properties Placement - Accretive Deal but Comes with a Weak Backdrop

<div><p>On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.</p></div><div><p>While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/j-reit-offering-primer-get-ready-for-offering-season-2021" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:46416" rel="noopener">J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021</a>. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offering - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> ("API")- with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. </p></div><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/activia-properties-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9498:1" rel="noopener">Activia Properties (3279 JP)</a> announced a follow-on equity offering today after market-close to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 49,030 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,500 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥23bn (~US$210mn). </p><p><em>More below the fold. </em></p>

On average, J-REITs have historically outperformed the TSEREIT Index in the wake of follow-on equity offerings, with win rates exceeding 80%.While the offerings are mostly of interest to primary market investors, we also see such offerings as catalysts for strong secondary market performance making these events worth tracking for secondary market investors too. We have previously discussed the historical pre- and post-offering performance of JREITs in J-REIT Offering Primer: Get Ready for Offering Season 2021. In this insight, we evaluate the attractiveness of the latest candidate to launch such a follow-on equity offering - Activia Properties (3279 JP) ("API")- with greater emphasis on the potential for strong post-offering secondary market performance. Activia Properties (3279 JP) announced a follow-on equity offering today after market-close to fund part of their recent property acquisition. The primary offer quantity is 49,030 units. In addition, there will also be an over-allotment quantity of 2,500 units. The total size of this offering could be roughly ¥23bn (~US$210mn). More below the fold. 

Activia Properties (3279 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Japan

Activia Properties, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (J-REIT). The company mainly invests in commercial and office buildings in the Tokyo metropolitan area.

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Activia Properties (3279 JP)

Activia Properties (3279) - Short-Term Higher-Impact Buyback on Better Fundamental Results

Activia Properties had good results to November 2023. A large disposal at a loss will drag May earnings down while rental gains will offset. The J...

Travis Lundy

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Calculating Passive Tracking of J-REITs and Index Events Around Offers

Nippon Building Fund (8951) - Japan's oldest and largest REIT - announced a small secondary offering. That provides an occasion to look at J-REIT...

Travis Lundy

Japan Prime Realty REIT (8955 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Large-cap diversified JREIT JPR announced a ~US$135mn follow-on public equity offering to fund their recent property acquisition. This might act as...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Activia Properties Placement - Accretive Deal but Comes with a Weak Backdrop

Activia Properties Inc (3279 JP) plans to raise around US$200m/JPY22bn to fund the acquisition of three assets worth JPY44bn.

Sumeet Singh

Activia Properties (3279 JP): Offering Could Trigger Outperformance Vs TSEREIT Index

Large cap diversified JREIT Activia Properties has launched a JPY23bn (US$210mn) follow-on equity offering which could trigger outperformance...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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