Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.</li><li>The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   </li><li>In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  </li></ul>

It all went a bit potty in 2021-2022, and the market went from overextended lack of common sense to some mean reversion.The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally being called out.   In short, Head Fakes are red herrings that divert attention from what is already happening.  

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meesho-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35872:1" rel="noopener">Meesho (MEESHO IN)</a> raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Meesho (MEESHO IN) raised about US$600m in its Dec 2025 India IPO. The lockup on a part of stake of its promoters and pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Meesho is an e-commerce marketplace, offering a wide assortment of products ranging from low cost unbranded products, regional and national brands at affordable prices to consumers.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Active EM managers outperform by 1.13% in Q3, with 59.3% of funds outperforming the MSCI EM Index</li>
<li>All Style groups outperformed the benchmark.  Value underperformed Growth. Significant outperformance at the Small/Midcap end of the spectrum.</li>
<li>Key drivers:  Underweights in China/Overweights in Brazil, Argentina and Mexico. Cash holdings, overweights in MercadoLibre and underweights in Tencent</li>
</ul>


Active EM managers outperform by 1.13% in Q3, with 59.3% of funds outperforming the MSCI EM Index
All Style groups outperformed the benchmark.  Value underperformed Growth. Significant outperformance at the Small/Midcap end of the spectrum.
Key drivers:  Underweights in China/Overweights in Brazil, Argentina and Mexico. Cash holdings, overweights in MercadoLibre and underweights in Tencent


GEM Fund Q3 Performance.  Active Managers Claw It Back After Blockbuster September.

Juniper Green Energy Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/juniper-green-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45455:1" rel="noopener">Juniper Green Energy Ltd (1831458D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$187m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of over US$310m.</li>
<li>Juniper Green Energy Limited (JGEL) is an independent power producer (IPP) engaged in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of utility-scale renewable energy projects.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.</li>
</ul>



Juniper Green Energy Ltd (1831458D IN) is looking to raise about US$187m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of over US$310m.
Juniper Green Energy Limited (JGEL) is an independent power producer (IPP) engaged in the development, construction, operation, and maintenance of utility-scale renewable energy projects.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.


Aequitas: Juniper Green Energy IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indo-mim-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45956:1" rel="noopener">Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m.</li>
<li>IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.</li>
</ul>



Indo-MIM Ltd (1666551D IN) is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO. The deal has been downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m.
IML provides end-to-end solutions for the manufacture of precision engineering components using metal injection molding technology. Its capabilities include mold designing and tooling, coupled with finishing and assembly operations.
In our earlier notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates, peer comp and implied valuations in the price range.


Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

India

Adani Enterprises is an Indian multinational publicly listed holding company and the flagship entity of the Adani Group. It acts as an incubator for new businesses in core sectors such as energy, logistics, and mining, which are often transitioned into independent listed entities. The company's current portfolio includes interests in airports, roads, solar manufacturing, green hydrogen, and data centers. Adani Enterprises is headquartered in Ahmedabad, India, and was founded on March 2, 1993.

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Adani Enterprises (ADE IN)

Head Fakes

The need for QE and negative yields for sustaining innovation and maintaining valuation VC investments, Marked to Myth investments, are finally...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Aequitas: Meesho Ltd IPO Lockup Expiry - US$5.7bn Lockup Release with PE Investors Well in The Money

A group of investors (Elevation Capital and Peak XV) have launched an INR19bn (US$199m) selldown at a floor price of INR182.08/share, a 5% discount...

Akshat Shah

GEM Fund Q3 Performance. Active Managers Claw It Back After Blockbuster September.

Active EM managers outperformed in Q3, with 59.3% of funds outperforming the MSCI EM Index. Underweights in China/Overweights in Brazil, Argentina...

Steven Holden

Aequitas: Juniper Green Energy IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Juniper Green Energy is looking to raise about US$187m in its downsized India IPO. In this note, we talk about the RHP updates and implied...

Akshat Shah

Aequitas: Indo-MIM IPO - RHP Updates, Peer Comp and Thoughts on Valuation

Indo-MIM Ltd (IML) is looking to raise about US$395m in its India IPO, downsized from its earlier estimated size of US$750m. In this note, we talk...

Akshat Shah

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