Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2023 - Lucror Analytics

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the December 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dechra-pharmaceuticals-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21908:1" rel="noopener">Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chr-hansen-holding-a-s" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22322:1" rel="noopener">Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC)</a> takeover situations.</li>
</ul>


The SE600 index is one of the most widely followed benchmark indices in Europe. This index is rebalanced on a quarterly basis.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes that could take place between now and the end of the December 2023 rebalance.
This includes a couple of intra-review index changes that could be triggered by the Dechra Pharmaceuticals (DPH LN) and Chr Hansen Holding A/S (CHR DC) takeover situations.


Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: Novartis-Sandoz, Dechra, CHR, and Others

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adevinta-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35679:1" rel="noopener">Adevinta ASA (ADE NO)</a>, which says the talks are in an early phase.</li>
<li>By applying a 30% premium, the potential offer price would be NOK 111.5/share (18.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA, IBES consensus). A leveraged buyer could obtain an 18% IRR by year 8.</li>
<li>Adevinta trades (COM 26 September) at 17.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA (vs. 16.4x median of comparables), so we can say the shares look fairly valued. Downside looks limited. I'd be long.</li>
</ul>


An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for Adevinta ASA (ADE NO), which says the talks are in an early phase.
By applying a 30% premium, the potential offer price would be NOK 111.5/share (18.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA, IBES consensus). A leveraged buyer could obtain an 18% IRR by year 8.
Adevinta trades (COM 26 September) at 17.6x EV/Fwd NTM EBITDA (vs. 16.4x median of comparables), so we can say the shares look fairly valued. Downside looks limited. I'd be long.


Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Potential LBO

Our H1/23 Assessment and Outlook report is a review of the performance of companies under our coverage in the stated period. Following a brief discussion of macro trends as well as monetary policy and input cost developments, we assess how these companies performed compared to our analysts’ expectations, and examine credit stats trends. We provide overviews of sector developments, as well as summaries of all the companies’ earnings. This includes classifying all the names into either picks or pans, to provide an overview of which companies we are comfortable of investing in a portfolio context. We highlight that both our picks and pans can be names for which we have “Hold” recommendations.

  Our H1/23 Assessment and Outlook report is a review of the performance of companies under our coverage in the stated period. Following a brief discussion of macro trends as well as monetary policy and input cost developments, we assess how these companies performed compared to our analysts’ expectations, and examine credit stats trends. We provide overviews of sector developments, as well as summaries of all the companies’ earnings. This includes classifying all the names into either picks or pans, to provide an overview of which companies we are comfortable of investing in a portfolio context. We highlight that both our picks and pans can be names for which we have “Hold” recommendations. 

Europe HY – H1/23 Assessment And Outlook - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.

  The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - August 2023 - Lucror Analytics

France

Adevinta ASA provides Internet based services. The Company creates networks of people working together towards a common purpose across geographies and disciplines. Adevinta serves customers worldwide.

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Adevinta ASA (ADE NO)

Europe HY Trade Book - October 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for October 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

Quiddity Leaderboard SE600 Dec 23: Novartis-Sandoz, Dechra, CHR, and Others

I currently see six regular ADDs/DELs for the SE600 index in December 2023. Apart from that the Dechra and CHR deals could trigger two more intra...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Blackstone&Permira/Adevinta: Potential LBO

An investor consortium (including Blackstone and Permira) has made a non-binding bid for Adevinta ASA (ADE NO), which says the talks are in an...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Europe HY – H1/23 Assessment And Outlook - Lucror Analytics

Our H1/23 Assessment and Outlook report is a review of the performance of companies under our coverage in the stated period. Following a brief...

Lucror Analytics

Europe HY Trade Book - August 2023 - Lucror Analytics

The Europe HY Trade Book for August 2023 includes current trade recommendations drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with...

Lucror Analytics

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