India focused: IPO, special situations, Stylus Holdings

Himanshu Dugar

India focused: IPO, special situations

Stylus Holdings

Stylus Holdings is a buy-side equity research firm. We offer bottom-up investment ideas as well as provide on demand equity research and portfolio tracking. 
At Stylus, our focus is to identify market dislocations that can generate 20+% IRR with a reasonable margin of safety. As part of our research process, we do a deep dive into the fundamentals of the company, evaluate their competitive positioning and assess their valuation.
Our investment team is led by Himanshu Dugar. Himanshu is a Chartered Accountant and a CFA charter holder. He has 10+ years of active experience in the stock market with stints at CRISIL Research, a S&P Global copmany and Miras Investments, a single family office based in Dubai.

Equity Research Firm

Event-Driven

Edelweiss Financial Services / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Edelweiss is a financial services platform offering asset management, lending, and insurance. It has restructured its corporate model in recent years, shifting from a diversified conglomerate to operating standalone businesses.</li>
<li>The proposed IPO of the alternate-assets business and stake sale in MF business creates an event-driven opportunity. Group is out of liquidity issues now with legacy ARC assets resolved.</li>
<li>Stock corrected 20% in the last month after SEBI returned the IPO application. We note that the reason was just reporting changes and company is on track for 2026 IPO.</li>
</ul>


Edelweiss is a financial services platform offering asset management, lending, and insurance. It has restructured its corporate model in recent years, shifting from a diversified conglomerate to operating standalone businesses.
The proposed IPO of the alternate-assets business and stake sale in MF business creates an event-driven opportunity. Group is out of liquidity issues now with legacy ARC assets resolved.
Stock corrected 20% in the last month after SEBI returned the IPO application. We note that the reason was just reporting changes and company is on track for 2026 IPO.


Edelweiss Financial (EDEL IN): Attractive Valuations with Value Unlocking on the Anvil

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-capital-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27031:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN)</a> will be added to a global index later this month and passive trackers will need to buy a significant number of days of ADV.</li>
<li>The impact in terms of delivery volume to buy is much higher and the stock looks underpositioned relative to the estimated passive buying.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aditya-birla-capital-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27031:1" rel="noopener">Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN)</a> could outperform peers in the short-term and there will be profit taking closer to implementation of the changes.</li>
</ul>



Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN) will be added to a global index later this month and passive trackers will need to buy a significant number of days of ADV.
The impact in terms of delivery volume to buy is much higher and the stock looks underpositioned relative to the estimated passive buying.

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCAP IN) could outperform peers in the short-term and there will be profit taking closer to implementation of the changes.


Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP IN): Global Index Inclusion & Big Impact

<ul>
<li>There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>ABCL’s Q2 FY26 lending portfolio surged 29% YoY, driven by Housing Finance and secured MSME loans, while the firm deployed Generative AI across its flagship digital platforms.</li>
<li>Robust asset growth and an improving credit profile (Gross Stage 2 &amp; 3 down 121 bps YoY in NBFC), but consolidated PAT growth was constrained by rising interest costs.</li>
<li>The One ABC’ digital ecosystem and high-growth segments position ABCL for enhanced return ratios, meriting a closer look at its valuation discount relative to pure-play NBFC peers.</li>
</ul>


ABCL’s Q2 FY26 lending portfolio surged 29% YoY, driven by Housing Finance and secured MSME loans, while the firm deployed Generative AI across its flagship digital platforms.
Robust asset growth and an improving credit profile (Gross Stage 2 &amp; 3 down 121 bps YoY in NBFC), but consolidated PAT growth was constrained by rising interest costs.
The One ABC’ digital ecosystem and high-growth segments position ABCL for enhanced return ratios, meriting a closer look at its valuation discount relative to pure-play NBFC peers.


Aditya Birla Capital: Under-Appreciated Compounder or Value Trap?

India

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd (ABCL) is a non-banking financial company and the financial services flagship of the Aditya Birla Group. It offers a comprehensive suite of financial solutions, including loans, investments, insurance, and payments. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 2007.

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Aditya Birla Capital (ABCAP IN)

Edelweiss Financial (EDEL IN): Attractive Valuations with Value Unlocking on the Anvil

Stock price is up 20% since this note. The company has completed a 15% stake sale in the AMC business to Wetbridge at a valuation of 3,000cr (the...

Himanshu Dugar