Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Adobe's recent earnings release reflects a period of consistent growth and innovation, demonstrating both strengths and challenges.</li><li>For the fiscal year 2024, Adobe achieved record revenue of $21.51 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year increase.</li><li>This growth was fueled by robust performance across its business segments, most notably within its Digital Media and Digital Experience divisions.</li></ul>

Adobe's recent earnings release reflects a period of consistent growth and innovation, demonstrating both strengths and challenges.For the fiscal year 2024, Adobe achieved record revenue of $21.51 billion, marking an 11% year-over-year increase.This growth was fueled by robust performance across its business segments, most notably within its Digital Media and Digital Experience divisions.

Adobe Inc.: Strategic Product Tiering & Monetization As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! - Major Drivers

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.</li>
<li>Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/consumer-staples-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27536:1" rel="noopener">XLP</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">XLK</a>.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.
The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.
Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the XLP and XLK.


Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>ChatGPT has focused the investment community on the potential of AI to drive business performance and investment returns.</li>
<li>Forbes picked Adobe as its top AI pick in 2023. We pick Appier, which is a faster-growing alternative in the digital marketing space.</li>
<li>Appier’s revenue grew by over 50% last year and unlike many SaaS companies, it is profitable.</li>
</ul>


ChatGPT has focused the investment community on the potential of AI to drive business performance and investment returns.
Forbes picked Adobe as its top AI pick in 2023. We pick Appier, which is a faster-growing alternative in the digital marketing space.
Appier’s revenue grew by over 50% last year and unlike many SaaS companies, it is profitable.


Appier (4180) | It's Doubled, so What's Next

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Figma Inc. is planning to go public in the second half of July. The amount the company intends to raise is not yet disclosed, but it's likely to exceed $1B.</li>
<li>I like Figma’s high growth, rule of 60 story, cash flow generation and solid balance sheet. They are profitable and still growing 40%+ YoY while doing $800M+ in LTM revenue.</li>
<li>I believe Figma’s premium multiple is justified given its best-in-class metrics, top-tier VC investors and Adobe’s attempt to acquire the design software maker for ~$20B in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Figma Inc. is planning to go public in the second half of July. The amount the company intends to raise is not yet disclosed, but it's likely to exceed $1B.
I like Figma’s high growth, rule of 60 story, cash flow generation and solid balance sheet. They are profitable and still growing 40%+ YoY while doing $800M+ in LTM revenue.
I believe Figma’s premium multiple is justified given its best-in-class metrics, top-tier VC investors and Adobe’s attempt to acquire the design software maker for ~$20B in 2022.


Figma IPO Valuation Analysis: Premium Multiple Is Deserved, High Growth and Rule of 60 Story

<ul>
<li>Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, filed for long-awaited IPO. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are the lead bankers on the offering.</li>
<li>The San Francisco-based company was valued at $12.5B in a 2024 tender offer. Figma is well-positioned with a strong brand among designers and a growing footprint in enterprise segment.</li>
<li>With strong financial profile and network effects, driven by large scale and efficient GTM strategy, the company remains the leader in collaborative design software market.</li>
</ul>


Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, filed for long-awaited IPO. Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are the lead bankers on the offering.
The San Francisco-based company was valued at $12.5B in a 2024 tender offer. Figma is well-positioned with a strong brand among designers and a growing footprint in enterprise segment.
With strong financial profile and network effects, driven by large scale and efficient GTM strategy, the company remains the leader in collaborative design software market.


Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

United States

Adobe Systems Incorporated develops, markets, and supports computer software products and technologies.  The Company's products allow users to express and use information across all print and electronic media.  Adobe offers a line of application software products, type products, and content for creating, distributing, and managing information.

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Adobe Systems (ADBE US)

Adobe Inc.: Strategic Product Tiering & Monetization As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! - Major Drivers

Adobe's recent earnings release reflects a period of consistent growth and innovation, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. For the fiscal...

Baptista Research

Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

US$300bn tracks the Select Sector Indices. Implementation of proposed changes will set off a US$35bn trade. Apple could be bought by multiple...

Brian Freitas

Appier (4180) | It's Doubled, so What's Next

Appier Group (4180 JP) stock price has more than doubled since we first wrote about the company a year ago. We remain bullish.

Mark Chadwick

Figma IPO Valuation Analysis: Premium Multiple Is Deserved, High Growth and Rule of 60 Story

Figma Inc. is expected to IPO in July, likely raising over $1B with strong growth, cash flow generation, and potential premium valuation justified...

Andrei Zakharov

Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Adobe Inc.: Strategic Product Tiering & Monetization As A Pivotal Factor Driving Growth! - Major Drivers

Adobe's recent earnings release reflects a period of consistent growth and innovation, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. For the fiscal...

Baptista Research

Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

US$300bn tracks the Select Sector Indices. Implementation of proposed changes will set off a US$35bn trade. Apple could be bought by multiple...

Brian Freitas

Appier (4180) | It's Doubled, so What's Next

Appier Group (4180 JP) stock price has more than doubled since we first wrote about the company a year ago. We remain bullish.

Mark Chadwick

Figma IPO Valuation Analysis: Premium Multiple Is Deserved, High Growth and Rule of 60 Story

​Figma Inc. is expected to IPO in July, likely raising over $1B with strong growth, cash flow generation, and potential premium valuation justified...

Andrei Zakharov

Figma IPO Preview: Fast-Growing Disruptor In The Design Software Market

​Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...

Andrei Zakharov

Figma Inc. is expected to IPO in July, likely raising over $1B with strong growth, cash flow generation, and potential premium valuation justified...

Figma Inc., a VC-backed collaborative design software maker, files for an IPO with strong financials and market leadership. Morgan Stanley and...