Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Adobe Inc. is not collapsing, but it is clearly entering one of the most uncomfortable transitions in its history.</li><li>The company is still growing revenue at a double-digit pace, maintaining strong profitability, and scaling AI products across Creative Cloud, Acrobat, Firefly, Express, GenStudio, and Adobe Experience Platform.</li><li>Yet the internet around Adobe is changing faster than traditional software monetization models.</li></ul>

Adobe Inc. is not collapsing, but it is clearly entering one of the most uncomfortable transitions in its history.The company is still growing revenue at a double-digit pace, maintaining strong profitability, and scaling AI products across Creative Cloud, Acrobat, Firefly, Express, GenStudio, and Adobe Experience Platform.Yet the internet around Adobe is changing faster than traditional software monetization models.

Adobe's Possible AI Collapse: Can Semrush Save The Day?

<ul><li>Adobe Inc. is no longer just selling creative software or marketing applications; it is increasingly trying to position itself as the orchestration layer inside an AI-driven enterprise stack.</li><li>That shift matters because it changes the economic question investors should be asking.</li><li>The debate is no longer limited to whether Adobe can keep pace with OpenAI, Anthropic, Canva, or other AI-native challengers.</li></ul>

Adobe Inc. is no longer just selling creative software or marketing applications; it is increasingly trying to position itself as the orchestration layer inside an AI-driven enterprise stack.That shift matters because it changes the economic question investors should be asking.The debate is no longer limited to whether Adobe can keep pace with OpenAI, Anthropic, Canva, or other AI-native challengers.

Adobe Is Winning AI—So Why Does It Feel Like Losing?

<ul><li>Adobe reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results showing continued growth supported by expanding AI integration across its portfolio.</li><li>Revenue reached $6.4 billion, up 11% in constant currency, while GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share rose 11% and 19%, respectively.</li><li>Total ending ARR was $26.06 billion, also up about 11% year over year, reflecting continued subscription strength.</li></ul>

Adobe reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results showing continued growth supported by expanding AI integration across its portfolio.Revenue reached $6.4 billion, up 11% in constant currency, while GAAP and non-GAAP earnings per share rose 11% and 19%, respectively.Total ending ARR was $26.06 billion, also up about 11% year over year, reflecting continued subscription strength.

AdobeL What Matters Now Is AI Monetization Not Legacy Software!

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The changes to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX)</a>, S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.</li>
<li>The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.</li>
<li>Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/consumer-staples-select-sector-spdr-fund" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27536:1" rel="noopener">XLP</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/technology-select-sector-spdr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27543:1" rel="noopener">XLK</a>.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the S&amp;P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX), S&amp;P400 Index and S&amp;P600 Index will be announced after market close on Friday.
The conclusions of the market consultation to change the index weighting methodology for the Select Sector Indices to reduce concentration and avoid reverse turnover should also be announced.
Changes in the index weighting methodology will result in a round-trip trade of US$35bn across the Select Sector indices. The largest turnover is in the XLP and XLK.


Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Revenue: Digital Media net new ARR $470 Mn ($50 mn higher than guide).</li><li>Gross Margin: Digital Media gross margin remains steady at ~96%, but Digital Experience posted its highest ever gross margin of 67.3% in 2Q'23.</li><li>Cost Structure: 2Q'23 GAAP operating margin was 33.7%, down from 34.9% in 2Q'22.</li></ul>

Revenue: Digital Media net new ARR $470 Mn ($50 mn higher than guide).Gross Margin: Digital Media gross margin remains steady at ~96%, but Digital Experience posted its highest ever gross margin of 67.3% in 2Q'23.Cost Structure: 2Q'23 GAAP operating margin was 33.7%, down from 34.9% in 2Q'22.

United States

Adobe Systems Incorporated develops, markets, and supports computer software products and technologies.  The Company's products allow users to express and use information across all print and electronic media.  Adobe offers a line of application software products, type products, and content for creating, distributing, and managing information.

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Adobe Systems (ADBE US)

Adobe's Possible AI Collapse: Can Semrush Save The Day?

Adobe Inc. is not collapsing, but it is clearly entering one of the most uncomfortable transitions in its history. The company is still growing...

Baptista Research

Adobe Is Winning AI—So Why Does It Feel Like Losing?

Adobe Inc. is no longer just selling creative software or marketing applications; it is increasingly trying to position itself as the...

Baptista Research

AdobeL What Matters Now Is AI Monetization Not Legacy Software!

Adobe reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 results showing continued growth supported by expanding AI integration across its portfolio. Revenue...

Baptista Research

Select Sector Indices - Updated Flows as Round-Trip Trade Hits US$35bn

US$300bn tracks the Select Sector Indices. Implementation of proposed changes will set off a US$35bn trade. Apple could be bought by multiple...

Brian Freitas

Adobe 2Q'23 Update

Revenue: Digital Media net new ARR $470 Mn ($50 mn higher than guide). Gross Margin: Digital Media gross margin remains steady at ~96%, but Digital...

MBI Deep Dives

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