Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).</li><li>Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.</li><li>The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).</li></ul>

We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

<ul><li>We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.</li><li>The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.</li><li>This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.</li></ul>

We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.</li><li>Combined with the impact of the MSCI rebalancing and the upcoming long holiday, this led the index to trade in negative territory throughout the day.</li><li>Selling pressure in large-cap stocks, particularly DELTA, ADVANC, and CPALL, pulled the index below the 1,150-point level, resulting in a weekly decline of 2.31%.</li></ul>

The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.Combined with the impact of the MSCI rebalancing and the upcoming long holiday, this led the index to trade in negative territory throughout the day.Selling pressure in large-cap stocks, particularly DELTA, ADVANC, and CPALL, pulled the index below the 1,150-point level, resulting in a weekly decline of 2.31%.

<ul><li>We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.</li><li>While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.</li><li>In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.</li></ul>

We reinitiate our coverage on ADVANC with a Neutral rating.While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth outlook, which remains below the average of major regional operators.In addition, the tactical outlook remains neutral.

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>As the earnings season draws to a close, we look at Asian markets'/sectors' EPS estimate progression during the reporting season and earlier. Specifically, we search for upward or downward inflections.</li>
<li>Korea and Taiwan had the strongest EPS upgrades during this reporting season, despite the trade uncertainties. Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia also had decent upgrades. HK/China and India continue to be downgraded.</li>
<li>Korean and Taiwanese technology, Korean industrials, HK Technology Services had strong upgrades. So did Singapore and Philippines financials, and Thailand Communications - the latter two with a long upgrade history.</li>
</ul>


As the earnings season draws to a close, we look at Asian markets'/sectors' EPS estimate progression during the reporting season and earlier. Specifically, we search for upward or downward inflections.
Korea and Taiwan had the strongest EPS upgrades during this reporting season, despite the trade uncertainties. Philippines, Indonesia, Malaysia also had decent upgrades. HK/China and India continue to be downgraded.
Korean and Taiwanese technology, Korean industrials, HK Technology Services had strong upgrades. So did Singapore and Philippines financials, and Thailand Communications - the latter two with a long upgrade history.


Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC-R TB)

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major...

Krungthai XSpring

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - JUNE 4, 2025

The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.

Krungthai XSpring

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth...

Krungthai XSpring

Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major...

Krungthai XSpring

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta...

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis - JUNE 4, 2025

The SET Index faced pressure from a temporary suspension of the US International Trade Court tariff ruling by the US Federal Appeals Court.

Krungthai XSpring

ADVANCED INFO SERVICE - Resuming Normal Growth Mode in 2025E

While the valuation appears attractive from a fundamental perspective, with 13% upside to its fair value, this is offset by its earnings growth...

Krungthai XSpring

Asian Equities: Taking Stock After the Result Season: Where Are EPS Estimates Rising and Falling?

​Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian markets' EPS est show strong upgrades in Korea and Taiwan, while HK/CN & India continue to be downgraded. KR & TW Tech, HK Tech Services, SG...