Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We maintain our Neutral rating on ADVANC. The stock is attractive from a valuation perspective, both fundamentally (upgraded to buy from undervalued previously, reflecting 11% upside to the fair value), and tactically (the downside risk is very limited, upgraded from neutral).</li><li>However, this is offset by its long-term earnings outlook, as the core EPS growth of 7.0% during 2025-27E is considerably lower than the average of regional peers at 14.1%.</li><li>Our fair value estimate for ADVANC remains unchanged at Bt314, based on the earnings yield method with a required return of 4.1%. </li></ul>

We maintain our Neutral rating on ADVANC. The stock is attractive from a valuation perspective, both fundamentally (upgraded to buy from undervalued previously, reflecting 11% upside to the fair value), and tactically (the downside risk is very limited, upgraded from neutral).However, this is offset by its long-term earnings outlook, as the core EPS growth of 7.0% during 2025-27E is considerably lower than the average of regional peers at 14.1%.Our fair value estimate for ADVANC remains unchanged at Bt314, based on the earnings yield method with a required return of 4.1%. 

Advanced Info Service - No Major Surprises Expected from Spectrum Auction

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>The weakness in DELTA and ADVANC, along with a lack of new market catalysts, weighed on the SET.</li><li>However, the index appears to have raised its support zone to 1,271–1,260 points, up from the previous 1,250–1,230 range.</li><li>We therefore maintain our buy-on-dips, sell-on-rallies strategy, as the index still has limited upside and requires a clearer bullish confirmation.</li></ul>

The weakness in DELTA and ADVANC, along with a lack of new market catalysts, weighed on the SET.However, the index appears to have raised its support zone to 1,271–1,260 points, up from the previous 1,250–1,230 range.We therefore maintain our buy-on-dips, sell-on-rallies strategy, as the index still has limited upside and requires a clearer bullish confirmation.

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. December 4, 2025

<ul><li>KTX expects the SET Index to remain volatile in December 2025, as this period marks a key turning point for several major factors that could influence both global and Thai equities—particularly upcoming policy meetings by major central banks (the Fed, BoJ, ECB, and Thailand’s MPC).</li><li>KTX recommends ADVANC, KBANK, KKP, SCB, and WHAUP for the portfolio.</li><li>We expect the Thai stock market to remain volatile in December 2025, as this period represents a key turning point for several factors that could shape market direction through the rest of 2025 and into early 1Q26.</li></ul>

KTX expects the SET Index to remain volatile in December 2025, as this period marks a key turning point for several major factors that could influence both global and Thai equities—particularly upcoming policy meetings by major central banks (the Fed, BoJ, ECB, and Thailand’s MPC).KTX recommends ADVANC, KBANK, KKP, SCB, and WHAUP for the portfolio.We expect the Thai stock market to remain volatile in December 2025, as this period represents a key turning point for several factors that could shape market direction through the rest of 2025 and into early 1Q26.

Monthly Report: December 2025: Outlook: Volatility During A Turning Point

<ul><li>We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).</li><li>Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.</li><li>The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).</li></ul>

We maintain a Neutral rating, with the fundamental view revised to overvalued (previously buy), as the share price has risen more than 6.1% since our previous report, leaving upside of just 5.7% compared to the fair value of Bt314 (based on a required return of 4.0%).Meanwhile, the neutral tactical view remains unchanged.The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major operators in ASEAN (+14.1%).

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

<ul><li>We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.</li><li>The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.</li><li>This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.</li></ul>

We maintain our Neutral rating, as the attractiveness of the valuation based on the fundamentals (with the share price implying 12% upside to the fair value) is offset by the relatively modest average EPS growth of a 7% CAGR during 2025-27E, which is at the lower end compared to regional peers. In addition, the tactical view is neutral.The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta estimation based on our new house view.This adjustment immaterially impacted the required return, which remains almost unchanged at 4.0%.

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

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Advanced Info Service (ADVANC-R TB)

Advanced Info Service - No Major Surprises Expected from Spectrum Auction

Our fair value estimate for ADVANC remains unchanged at Bt314, based on the earnings yield method with a required return of 4.1%.

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring Technical Eng. December 4, 2025

The weakness in DELTA and ADVANC, along with a lack of new market catalysts, weighed on the SET.However, the index appears to have raised its...

Krungthai XSpring

Monthly Report: December 2025: Outlook: Volatility During A Turning Point

KTX expects the SET Index to remain volatile in December 2025, as this period marks a key turning point for several major factors that could...

Krungthai XSpring

Advanced Info Service - Better Profitability Led to Upbeat 1Q25 Earnings

The long-term profit outlook, based on projected EPS growth for 2025-27E, is relatively weak at a CAGR of 7.0%, compared to the average of major...

Krungthai XSpring

Advanced Info Service - Continued Earnings Momentum 1Q25E

The 12-month forward fair value has been revised to Bt314 (previously Bt317), reflecting adjustments to the macroeconomic variables in the beta...

Krungthai XSpring

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