Independent Asian Credit Research, Bondcritic

Warut Promboon

Independent Asian Credit Research

Asian Fixed Income/Frontier Market Research

Bondcritic

Bondcritic, established in 2009, is designed to be an independent credit research voice that helps investors gain insights and unbiased analyses on Asian fixed income market. Our mission is to discover deep-value Asian high-yield and distressed bonds with a bottom-up approach, together with the help of our proprietary ESG (Environmental, Social Development, and Governance) model. At the same time, we focus on bringing investment cases of unrated and unloved issuers to the general public.

Debt Capital Markets

iShares MSCI Thailand / Debt Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP</li>
<li>The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months</li>
<li>We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.</li>
</ul>


We sample blue-chip and household Thai corporations and plot the 12-month probability of default (PD) using iRAP
The median 12-month PD of the above samples was 11.15 basis points (bps), up from 5bps last November, with a trend showing continuing deterioration in the next 12 months
We expect more political upheaval and economic adjustment from the military conflict with Cambodia and the19% tariff on exports to the US to be quite detrimental to the Thai economy.


Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, Home Product Center, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development, Advanced Info Service.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 18th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development, Home Product Center, Advanced Info Service, Airports Of Thailand, Gulf Energy Development, Advanced Info Service.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Central Retail (CRC TB).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jul 11th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Central Retail (CRC TB).


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Central Retail

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 27th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info Service, Ptt, Central Pattana, Cp Foods.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Jun 27th. We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD2.0bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info Service, Ptt, Central Pattana, Cp Foods.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 27th): Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info Service, Ptt

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Headline Asia-ex-Japan EPS estimates have declined over the past 3 and 6 months, dragged down by China, India and Thailand and supported by Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Philippines.</li>
<li>Looking at earnings estimate trajectories of 100 Asian market-sector combinations, we identify 16 market-sectors with upward revisions over past 3 and 6 months. A month ago, we could spot eight.</li>
<li>Korean and Taiwanese Technology and industrials, Hong Kong Technology Services and ASEAN Financials figure prominently among the sectors with robust and sustainable EPS estimate recovery.</li>
</ul>


Headline Asia-ex-Japan EPS estimates have declined over the past 3 and 6 months, dragged down by China, India and Thailand and supported by Korea, Taiwan, Singapore and Philippines.
Looking at earnings estimate trajectories of 100 Asian market-sector combinations, we identify 16 market-sectors with upward revisions over past 3 and 6 months. A month ago, we could spot eight.
Korean and Taiwanese Technology and industrials, Hong Kong Technology Services and ASEAN Financials figure prominently among the sectors with robust and sustainable EPS estimate recovery.


Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

Thailand

Advanced Info Service Public Company Limited is granted a 25-year concession expiring the year 2015 by the Telephone Organization of Thailand to provide cellular phone services.  The Company provides analog mobile phone services through the Nordic Mobile Telephone (NMT900) network, and digital phone services through the Global Systems for Mobile Communication (GSM) network.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Advanced Info Service (ADVANC-R TB)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), Intouch (INTUCH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Central Retail

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Central Retail (CRC TB).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 27th): Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info Service, Ptt

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

A month ago 8 Asian sectors exhibited reviving EPS est; now 16 do. CN, India, Thailand declining, KR, TW, SGP, Phils rising. KR & TW Tech &...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Bond Market Monitor: Thai Corporations UnSmiled

​12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...

Bondcritic

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 18th): Airports of Thailand, Intouch, Gulf Energy Development

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Airports of Thailand (AOT TB), Intouch (INTUCH...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jul 11th): Central Retail

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Central Retail (CRC TB).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Jun 27th): Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info Service, Ptt

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Bumrungrad Hospital, Scb X, Advanced Info...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asian Equities: Below the Headline Numbers, the Earnings Environment Is Improving

A month ago 8 Asian sectors exhibited reviving EPS est; now 16 do. CN, India, Thailand declining, KR, TW, SGP, Phils rising. KR & TW Tech &...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

12-month probability of default for Thai corporations is on the rise, with political and economic challenges ahead due to military conflict and...