Understand How Markets Actually Work, Learning.Investing.Thriving.

Marc Rudajev

Understand How Markets Actually Work

Learning.Investing.Thriving.

Learning.Investing.Thriving. is built on a simple idea: If you want to build wealth, you need more than stock tips. You need to understand how markets actually work.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Sometime in the early 2000s I was sitting in a ballroom at the CLSA conference in Hong Kong and Marc Faber, the author of the famed Gloom, Boom &amp; Doom Report, took the stage to give a keynote. He said something that has never left me.</li>
<li>He told the room that if he had made only three decisions in his entire investing career (which started about 25 years prior), he would have beaten the returns he actually earned running money for a living.</li>
<li>Three decisions, once a decade, and peace of mind in Chiangmai (where Marc lives).</li>
</ul>


Sometime in the early 2000s I was sitting in a ballroom at the CLSA conference in Hong Kong and Marc Faber, the author of the famed Gloom, Boom &amp; Doom Report, took the stage to give a keynote. He said something that has never left me.
He told the room that if he had made only three decisions in his entire investing career (which started about 25 years prior), he would have beaten the returns he actually earned running money for a living.
Three decisions, once a decade, and peace of mind in Chiangmai (where Marc lives).


Episode 57: One Decision a Year To Outperform The S&P

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly, The Physical Layer

The Physical Layer

AI and Energy Infrastructure, Explained Plainly

A journal on the physical constraints behind the AI buildout: power, grid connection, data centres, cooling and the supply chains that gate them. Written to be understood by anyone.

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul><li>Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan.</li><li>Its chief executive says those factories, not electricity, are what limits AI today, and the company's own numbers show why: a new chip factory takes years to build and more years to fill.</li><li>That is a fair point, and it changes how long I think the chip side of the shortage lasts.</li></ul>

Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan.Its chief executive says those factories, not electricity, are what limits AI today, and the company's own numbers show why: a new chip factory takes years to build and more years to fill.That is a fair point, and it changes how long I think the chip side of the shortage lasts.

TSMC's chief says the AI bottleneck is its factories, not the power grid

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Chips /Cover Story: U.S. and Chinese Chipmakers Tread Different Paths in AI Gold Rush</li><li>China-U.S. /: China, U.S. Reach Basic Consensus in Kuala Lumpur Trade Talks Ahead of Leaders’ Summit</li><li>Hospitals /: China’s Public Hospitals Report Mixed Fortunes as Financial Pressures Mount</li></ul>

Chips /Cover Story: U.S. and Chinese Chipmakers Tread Different Paths in AI Gold RushChina-U.S. /: China, U.S. Reach Basic Consensus in Kuala Lumpur Trade Talks Ahead of Leaders’ SummitHospitals /: China’s Public Hospitals Report Mixed Fortunes as Financial Pressures Mount

CX Daily: U.S. and Chinese Chipmakers Tread Different Paths in AI Gold Rush 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 2024</li><li>2) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months</li><li>3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn), alleviating concerns on supply constraints and impact on China sales. Key highlights include: 1) FY4Q24E guidance beat on stronger topline/margin with strong AI demand and robust product pipeline into 20242) China’s sales to drop significantly in 4Q23, largely offset by strong growth in other regions, and new regulation-compliant solutions will be available for China (20-25% of DC sales) in the next few months3) mgmt. guided continued chip capacity expansion to meet growth, and expected data center revenue to grow through 2025Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

<ul><li>As we finished week 1-4 of 3Q earnings season for major global fabless/IDM semi companies (AMD/Intel/Qualcomm/TI/Infineon/STM/MTK/OnSemi), results/ guidance have been mixed on inventory level and demand recovery.</li><li>Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown signs of normalised inventory and mild recovery into 4Q.</li><li>Auto segment (TI/STM/ON) in general began to show cyclical weakness and guided cautious outlook into 4Q. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As we finished week 1-4 of 3Q earnings season for major global fabless/IDM semi companies (AMD/Intel/Qualcomm/TI/Infineon/STM/MTK/OnSemi), results/ guidance have been mixed on inventory level and demand recovery.Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown signs of normalised inventory and mild recovery into 4Q.Auto segment (TI/STM/ON) in general began to show cyclical weakness and guided cautious outlook into 4Q. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Global Fabless/IDM 3Q23 Wrap: PC/SP Recovery, Auto/ Industrial Mixed

United States

Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) produces semiconductor products and devices. The Company offers products such as microprocessors, embedded microprocessors, chipsets, graphics, video and multimedia products and supplies it to third-party foundries, as well as provides assembling, testing, and packaging services. AMD serves customers worldwide.

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Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)

Episode 57: One Decision a Year To Outperform The S&P

Sometime in the early 2000s I was sitting in a ballroom at the CLSA conference in Hong Kong and Marc Faber, the author of the famed Gloom, Boom &...

Marc Rudajev

TSMC's chief says the AI bottleneck is its factories, not the power grid

Almost every advanced AI chip, whoever designs it, is made by one company, TSMC, mostly in Taiwan. Its chief executive says those factories, not...

The Physical Layer

CX Daily: U.S. and Chinese Chipmakers Tread Different Paths in AI Gold Rush

TOP STORIES Chips / Cover Story: U. S. and Chinese Chipmakers Tread Different Paths in AI Gold Rush A global race to dominate artificial...

Caixin Global

China Technology – NVIDIA FY3Q24: Another Stunning Quarter on Robust AI Demand

NVIDIA reported another strong beat against elevated expectations, along with a strong outlook (guided 4Q revenue of US$20bn, vs consensus US$17.9bn)

CMB International

China Technology – Global Fabless/IDM 3Q23 Wrap: PC/SP Recovery, Auto/ Industrial Mixed

Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown...

CMB International

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