Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on TRINA SOLAR, JINKO SOLAR, BIWIN STORAGE TECHNOLOGY, Ninebot, TRANSSION.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on TRINA SOLAR, JINKO SOLAR, BIWIN STORAGE TECHNOLOGY, Ninebot, TRANSSION.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Jan): TRINA SOLAR, JINKO SOLAR, BIWIN STORAGE, Ninebot

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Moore Threads Technology / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in March.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 9.1% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 9.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 28.55bn (US$4.1bn).</li>
<li>There has been big unwinding of ETF holdings (likely the National Team at work) recently and that reduces the flow and impact for the index changes.</li>
</ul>


With the review period nearly complete, we forecast 4 constituent changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 10 constituent changes for the STAR100 Index in March.
We estimate turnover of 9.1% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 9.6% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip net trade is CNY 28.55bn (US$4.1bn).
There has been big unwinding of ETF holdings (likely the National Team at work) recently and that reduces the flow and impact for the index changes.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance as National Team Redeems ETF Holdings

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec / Index Rebalance

Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366 CH)

<ul>
<li>The December 2025 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.</li>
<li>There will be two changes for the STAR 50 index and eight changes for the STAR 100 index.</li>
<li>We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.4bn and US$516mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events, respectively.</li>
</ul>


The December 2025 index review results for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 indices were announced after market close on Friday 28th November 2025.
There will be two changes for the STAR 50 index and eight changes for the STAR 100 index.
We expect one-way flows of approximately US$1.4bn and US$516mn for the STAR 50 and STAR 100 index rebal events, respectively.


Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we forecast 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 7 changes for the STAR100 Index in December.</li>
<li>We estimate turnover of 4.3% for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> and 6.7% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 17.9bn (US$2.5bn).</li>
<li>The forecast adds to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX)</a> have outperformed the forecast deletes with most of the outperformance coming in August. Been a volatile trade since then.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we forecast 2 changes for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 7 changes for the STAR100 Index in December.
We estimate turnover of 4.3% for the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) and 6.7% for the STAR100 Index. The estimated round-trip trade is CNY 17.9bn (US$2.5bn).
The forecast adds to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) have outperformed the forecast deletes with most of the outperformance coming in August. Been a volatile trade since then.


STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Outright Changes Across the Indices

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Trina Solar, Shengyi Electronics, Cambricon Technologies, Transsion, Supcon Technology.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

China

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China manufactures micro-fabrication equipment. The Company researches, develops, produces, and sells semiconductor equipment. Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment China provides its products for semiconductor and adjacent high technology industries.

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equ (688012 CH)

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Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equ (688012 CH)

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Jan): TRINA SOLAR, JINKO SOLAR, BIWIN STORAGE, Ninebot

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Jan 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in TRINA SOLAR, JINKO SOLAR, BIWIN STORAGE TECHNOLOGY, Ninebot, TRANSSION.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: Huge Outperformance as National Team Redeems ETF Holdings

4 changes forecast for the STAR50 and 10 for the STAR100 resulting in a net round-trip trade of US$4.1bn. The National Team has been redeeming...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity STAR 50/100 Dec25 Results: 19/20 Changes Correctly Predicted; ~US$2bn Combined One-Way Flow

We correctly predicted 19 out of 20 confirmed index changes. All of the ADDs/DELs except for STAR 100 DEL Shanghai Haohai Biological Tec (688366...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

STAR50/STAR100 Index Rebalance Preview: 14 Outright Changes Across the Indices

There could be 14 outright changes for the STAR50/100 indices in Dec. The round-trip trade is US$2.5bn with some big capping flows. The adds have...

Brian Freitas

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Oct): SUPCON TECHNOLOGY, SHENGYI ELECTRONICS, TRANSSION, TRINA SOLAR

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Oct 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in SUPCON TECHNOLOGY (688777 CH), SHENGYI ELECTRONICS (688183 CH),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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