External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>SME (semiconductor manufacturing equipment) is a cyclical industry.</li><li>According to SEMI, the sector’s sales reached US$106bn in 2023, making up ~20% of total semiconductor market sales (US$527bn).</li><li>The market is expected to grow 3% in 2024 and rebound significantly by 18% in 2025 (per SEMI). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

SME (semiconductor manufacturing equipment) is a cyclical industry.According to SEMI, the sector’s sales reached US$106bn in 2023, making up ~20% of total semiconductor market sales (US$527bn).The market is expected to grow 3% in 2024 and rebound significantly by 18% in 2025 (per SEMI). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Global SME Investment Set to Accelerate on Tech Advancements

<ul><li>ASML and LAM posted in-line 3Q23 results, and a higher China sales mix is the bright spot, leading to better profitability.</li><li>Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection visibility could be delayed to end-2023.</li><li>However, both remain positive on China demand for capacity expansion of domestic mature &amp; specialty nodes. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ASML and LAM posted in-line 3Q23 results, and a higher China sales mix is the bright spot, leading to better profitability.Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection visibility could be delayed to end-2023.However, both remain positive on China demand for capacity expansion of domestic mature &amp; specialty nodes. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of ASML/LAM Research 3Q23 Results

<ul><li>The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new “parameters” and expansion to 40 more countries</li><li>2) export controls of chip manufacturing equipment to 21 more countries, and 3) addition of 13 Chinese entities onto the US Entity List.</li><li>We believe new rules are largely in-line with expectations and news media on 3 Oct.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new “parameters” and expansion to 40 more countries2) export controls of chip manufacturing equipment to 21 more countries, and 3) addition of 13 Chinese entities onto the US Entity List.We believe new rules are largely in-line with expectations and news media on 3 Oct.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Implications of the US’s Updated Chip Restrictions to Global/Domestic SPE and GPU Companies

<ul><li>Major global SPE (ASML/AMAT/LAM/KLA/TEL) reported sales YoY decline in 2Q (except ASML) on fabs’ spending reduction given slow inventory digestion and weak demand.</li><li>Looking into 3Q23E, most SPE names guided flattish or slight revenue YoY growth driven by trailing-edge, specialty and mild semi recovery, while most expected WFE market to decline 20-30% YoY in 2023.</li><li>Looking into 3Q/4Q, China’s demand from memory, mature and specialty technologies remain the sweet spots driving upside amid export restrictions. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major global SPE (ASML/AMAT/LAM/KLA/TEL) reported sales YoY decline in 2Q (except ASML) on fabs’ spending reduction given slow inventory digestion and weak demand.Looking into 3Q23E, most SPE names guided flattish or slight revenue YoY growth driven by trailing-edge, specialty and mild semi recovery, while most expected WFE market to decline 20-30% YoY in 2023.Looking into 3Q/4Q, China’s demand from memory, mature and specialty technologies remain the sweet spots driving upside amid export restrictions. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology: : China Demand Remains Resilient; Awaiting Upcycle After 2023 Slowdown

<ul><li>We hosted an investor field trip to visit 5 fabless, 2 SPE and 1 semi material companies in Shanghai last week.</li><li>Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials companies.</li><li>Our check also suggested that foundry capex/production cuts have started and inventory level is improving gradually. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted an investor field trip to visit 5 fabless, 2 SPE and 1 semi material companies in Shanghai last week.Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials companies.Our check also suggested that foundry capex/production cuts have started and inventory level is improving gradually. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Semi Field Trip Takeaways

China

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc. China manufactures micro-fabrication equipment. The Company researches, develops, produces, and sells semiconductor equipment. Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment China provides its products for semiconductor and adjacent high technology industries.

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equ (688012 CH)

Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equ (688012 CH)

Semi - Global SME Investment Set to Accelerate on Tech Advancements

SME (semiconductor manufacturing equipment) is a cyclical industry. According to SEMI, the sector’s sales reached US$106bn in 2023

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of ASML/LAM Research 3Q23 Results

Looking ahead, both believe that memory market recovery remains slow given low UTR and on-going inventory digestion, and cycle inflection...

CMB International

Implications of the US’s Updated Chip Restrictions to Global/Domestic SPE and GPU Companies

The US Department of Commerce announced a new set of restrictions on 17 Oct that strengthens 1) export controls on advanced chips with new...

CMB International

China Technology: : China Demand Remains Resilient; Awaiting Upcycle After 2023 Slowdown

Major global SPE (ASML/AMAT/LAM/KLA/TEL) reported sales YoY decline in 2Q (except ASML) on fabs’ spending reduction given slow inventory digestion...

CMB International

China Technology – Semi Field Trip Takeaways

Based on our trip, we reaffirmed our view on a 2H23 recovery for major Chinese fabless names, and an uncertain 2023 for Chinese SPE/materials...

CMB International