Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Dell bouncing in regular trading after initial weakness after-mkt on numbers the day before.</li>
<li>Semi-Cap names strong led by Teradyne and ASML sets a good tone for Japan SPE overall.</li>
<li>Homebuilders follow through with more gains on rate outlook, watch Shin Etsu on PVC.</li>
</ul>


Dell bouncing in regular trading after initial weakness after-mkt on numbers the day before.
Semi-Cap names strong led by Teradyne and ASML sets a good tone for Japan SPE overall.
Homebuilders follow through with more gains on rate outlook, watch Shin Etsu on PVC.


Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Weakness Unlikely to Last with Bain's 36m Shs Sale a Blip at Best

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in margin trading positions of JPX stocks as of Nov 21st. The aggregated net margin trading position is USD19,632m.
We tabulate league tables for top/bottom net long/short of margin trading by value, net margin buy as multiple of ADT.
We highlight net margin buy/sell changes in SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI, Nippon Telegraph and Telephone, Sanrio, Tokyo Electric Power Company, Tokio Marine, Mitsubishi UFJ Financial, Furukawa Electric.


JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist, Cameron Design

Jay Cameron

Equity/Index & Cross Asset Volatility Specialist

Cameron Design

We specialize in financial products and volatility. Our strategies balance speed, data, and risk control to capture opportunities across global markets. Our research leverages AI and data analytics to continuously refine our algorithms and adapt to evolving market dynamics.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Performance was in line with estimates, with total revenue of $57.01B and an expanding Non-GAAP Gross Margin of 73.6%. Management issued robust Q4 revenue guidance of $65B.</li>
<li>Despite strong fundamentals, the stock's muted reaction and subsequent slide highlight the risk of unusual, synchronized cross-asset market drops, signaling a need to examine, and hedge against potential systemic vulnerability.</li>
<li>The synchronized cross-asset market drop on November 20, lacking a clear catalyst, suggests hidden systemic risk driven in part by algorithmic positioning.</li>
</ul>


Performance was in line with estimates, with total revenue of $57.01B and an expanding Non-GAAP Gross Margin of 73.6%. Management issued robust Q4 revenue guidance of $65B.
Despite strong fundamentals, the stock's muted reaction and subsequent slide highlight the risk of unusual, synchronized cross-asset market drops, signaling a need to examine, and hedge against potential systemic vulnerability.
The synchronized cross-asset market drop on November 20, lacking a clear catalyst, suggests hidden systemic risk driven in part by algorithmic positioning.


4-Hour Contagion: NVIDIA Q3, Advantest, the AI Flow Footprint on the Global Synchronized Selloff

<ul>
<li>Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.</li>
<li>Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.</li>
<li>Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.</li>
</ul>


Kioxia set for inclusion in the Nikkei Semiconductor Index next week, alongside JX Advanced Metals, less than one day's average daily volume in passive inflow at the close.
Kioxia's Q2 2025 results show an accelerating QoQ recovery and solid Q3 2025 forecasts, driven by high demand from data center and smart device products, confirming effective business structure reform.
Stock is fairly valued after 2025 rally, potential weaknesses being value metrics such as P/E alongside execution of margin and product pipeline targets.


The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

<ul>
<li>Sandisk -20% on news that Samsung, and SK Hynix are look to expand NAND capacity.</li>
<li>Meltdown in the face of solid numbers from NVDA points to extreme upside exhaustion.</li>
<li>JP-China spat escalating with the US now weighing in means risk-off bid for rails may fade.</li>
</ul>


Sandisk -20% on news that Samsung, and SK Hynix are look to expand NAND capacity.
Meltdown in the face of solid numbers from NVDA points to extreme upside exhaustion.
JP-China spat escalating with the US now weighing in means risk-off bid for rails may fade.


Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

Japan

ADVANTEST CORPORATION produces semiconductor testing devices and electronic measuring instruments.  The Company's products include large-scale integration (LSI) test systems, memory test systems, dynamic test handlers, network analyzers, electronic meters, optical testing devices, and signal sources.

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Advantest Corp (6857 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Weakness Unlikely to Last with Bain's 36m Shs Sale a Blip at Best

Big moves up from semi-cap names bodes well for Japan SPE, with Ibiden as a dip buying candidate. Kioxia may find support trading close to its 50...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

4-Hour Contagion: NVIDIA Q3, Advantest, the AI Flow Footprint on the Global Synchronized Selloff

NVIDIA's strong Q3 results and Q4 guidance overshadowed by systemic market reaction, highlighting potential systemic vulnerability in cross-asset...

Jay Cameron

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

Japan's outsized AI rally yesterday is expected to reverse sharply with previous big winners Advantest, Ibiden and Disco having a long way to fall....

Andrew Jackson

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Japan Morning Connection: Kioxia Weakness Unlikely to Last with Bain's 36m Shs Sale a Blip at Best

Big moves up from semi-cap names bodes well for Japan SPE, with Ibiden as a dip buying candidate. Kioxia may find support trading close to its 50...

Andrew Jackson

JPX Margin Trading Weekly (Nov 21st): SoftBank, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, SBI

We analyzed JPX margin trading positions report for the past week and highlighted SoftBank (9984 JP), Mitsubishi Heavy Industries (7011 JP), SBI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

4-Hour Contagion: NVIDIA Q3, Advantest, the AI Flow Footprint on the Global Synchronized Selloff

​NVIDIA's strong Q3 results and Q4 guidance overshadowed by systemic market reaction, highlighting potential systemic vulnerability in cross-asset...

Jay Cameron

The Nikkei Semiconductor Index Rebalance, Kioxia, Nikkei Volatility Hedge

​Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...

Jay Cameron

Japan Morning Connection: Market Meltdown as AI Wobble Turns into Freefall

Japan's outsized AI rally yesterday is expected to reverse sharply with previous big winners Advantest, Ibiden and Disco having a long way to fall....

Andrew Jackson

NVIDIA's strong Q3 results and Q4 guidance overshadowed by systemic market reaction, highlighting potential systemic vulnerability in cross-asset...

Kioxia to be added to Nikkei Semiconductor Index after positive Q2 results and optimistic Q3 forecasts, but potential concerns over valuation and...