Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Huge gains for JP names with EU exposure yesterday looks set to continue as markets rotate out of AI plays.</li>
<li>Sanken Electric went limit up on the news of ON Semi's bid for Allegro, although ALGM trading very wide overnight.</li>
<li>EU mania should be enough to reboot Daikin's heat pump catalyst off stone sold levels.</li>
</ul>


Huge gains for JP names with EU exposure yesterday looks set to continue as markets rotate out of AI plays.
Sanken Electric went limit up on the news of ON Semi's bid for Allegro, although ALGM trading very wide overnight.
EU mania should be enough to reboot Daikin's heat pump catalyst off stone sold levels.


Japan Morning Connection: Tech Out, All Things EU In

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 INDEX</a> fell -5.77% during July and August (CC=-2). Currently the index is down for September: this month's negative Close would be = CC=-3, a strong LONG signal.</li>
<li>The index reached a low = 31275.25 in August, right in the middle of the 32391-30600 support price band indicated in our <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/eqd-nikkei-225-nky-monthly-trajectories" target="_blank" rel="noopener">previous MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis</a>,  50%-75% reversal probability.</li>
<li>LONG Support levels are confirmed, in this insight we will analyze the new, re-calculated Resistance levels, to evaluate how far/how long the index could rise, if it rallies.</li>
</ul>


The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell -5.77% during July and August (CC=-2). Currently the index is down for September: this month's negative Close would be = CC=-3, a strong LONG signal.
The index reached a low = 31275.25 in August, right in the middle of the 32391-30600 support price band indicated in our previous MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis,  50%-75% reversal probability.
LONG Support levels are confirmed, in this insight we will analyze the new, re-calculated Resistance levels, to evaluate how far/how long the index could rise, if it rallies.


EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. 
DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????


Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/agc-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2167:1" rel="noopener">AGC Inc (5201 JP)</a> today announced Q4 earnings where revenues were great, OP was slightly disappointing, and Net Profits were awful because of significant impairments.</li>
<li>The company, however, announced a large buyback - its first in 5 years and equivalent to all the buybacks in the previous five years. </li>
<li>The buyback should have impact on what is an interesting name with broad institutional ownership and not overwhelming liquidity.</li>
</ul>



AGC Inc (5201 JP) today announced Q4 earnings where revenues were great, OP was slightly disappointing, and Net Profits were awful because of significant impairments.
The company, however, announced a large buyback - its first in 5 years and equivalent to all the buybacks in the previous five years. 
The buyback should have impact on what is an interesting name with broad institutional ownership and not overwhelming liquidity.


David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Due to delays in securing regulatory approvals, the delisting Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vinythai-public-co-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14107:1" rel="noopener">Vinythai Public Co (VNT TB)</a> took a while, but it is now open.</li>
<li>The Tender offer will close on the 25 February 2022 with expected payment on the 1 March 2022.</li>
<li>The Offer Price of Bt39/share is the highest price since 1995. This is done.</li>
</ul>


Due to delays in securing regulatory approvals, the delisting Offer for Vinythai Public Co (VNT TB) took a while, but it is now open.
The Tender offer will close on the 25 February 2022 with expected payment on the 1 March 2022.
The Offer Price of Bt39/share is the highest price since 1995. This is done.


Vinythai (VNT TB)'s Delisting Offer (Finally) Commences

Japan

AGC Inc manufactures and sells a variety of glass products. Main products include glass for construction, glass for liquid crystal display(LCD), and glass for automobiles.  The Company also produces electronic parts, fine chemicals, and new ceramics.

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AGC Inc (5201 JP)

Japan Morning Connection: Tech Out, All Things EU In

Gains for JP names with EU exposure as markets shift away from AI plays. Sanken Electric limit up on ON Semi's bid for Allegro. Daikin's heat pump...

Andrew Jackson

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...

Nico Rosti

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

AGC (5201 JP) - A Big Buyback

AGC (5201) announces good sales, decent enough OP, better guidance, and large impairments at the net level. But they also announce a decently large...

Travis Lundy

Vinythai (VNT TB)'s Delisting Offer (Finally) Commences

This is done and trading accordingly, with a gross/annualised return of 1.0%/5.6%. Unless terms happen to widen from here, this is largely an avoid...

David Blennerhassett

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Japan Morning Connection: Tech Out, All Things EU In

Gains for JP names with EU exposure as markets shift away from AI plays. Sanken Electric limit up on ON Semi's bid for Allegro. Daikin's heat pump...

Andrew Jackson

EQD | Nikkei 225 (NKY) MONTHLY Trajectories Analysis

​The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...

Nico Rosti

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

AGC (5201 JP) - A Big Buyback

AGC (5201) announces good sales, decent enough OP, better guidance, and large impairments at the net level. But they also announce a decently large...

Travis Lundy

Vinythai (VNT TB)'s Delisting Offer (Finally) Commences

This is done and trading accordingly, with a gross/annualised return of 1.0%/5.6%. Unless terms happen to widen from here, this is largely an avoid...

David Blennerhassett

The Nikkei 225 INDEX fell in July/August. Currently down also in September, could reach OVERSOLD condition. Newly-generated resistance levels are...