Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023</li>
<li>As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves </li>
<li>TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains neutral on global equities (MSCI ACWI) as of our August 8, 2024 Int’l Compass, after being bullish since early-November 2023
As discussed since late-July, we believe we're still within a 4- to 6-month pullback/consolidation from our selected July 17 starting point, until the market decides which was this consolidation resolves 
TOPIX is below 2740-2820 resistance. Europe is testing resistance, though near potential breakouts on the EURO STOXX 50, STOXX Europe 600, and STOXX Europe 50. Watch for false breakouts


Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

<ul>
<li>Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).</li>
<li>Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.</li>
<li>It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).</li>
</ul>


Snap-Back rallies have continued in the largest global equity markets (U.S., Japan, and Europe).
Japan's TOPIX is still below 2690-2700 and the EURO STOXX 50 is below 4884, and whether they roll over here or from marginally higher levels, lower highs remain likely.
It all fits with our ongoing belief (since our July 25, 2024 Int'l Compass) that MSCI ACWI is going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation (we are one month in).


Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 28th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.8bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Steadfast, Brambles, Worley, Transurban, Charter Hall.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 28th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD50.8bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Steadfast, Brambles, Worley, Transurban, Charter Hall.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): Steadfast, Brambles, Worley, Transurban, Charter Hall

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 6th July, published on the 10th July.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.3bn into "Gold"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.0bn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts declined A$1.2bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-australia-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15:1" rel="noopener">National Australia Bank (NAB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/james-hardie-industries-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10937:1" rel="noopener">James Hardie Industries (JHX AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qantas-airways-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:677:1" rel="noopener">Qantas Airways (QAN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/megaport-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24310:1" rel="noopener">Megaport  (MP1 AU)</a>, and<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/magellan-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20459:1" rel="noopener">Magellan Financial (MFG AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 6th July, published on the 10th July.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.3bn into "Gold"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.0bn out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts declined A$1.2bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: National Australia Bank (NAB AU), James Hardie Industries (JHX AU), Qantas Airways (QAN AU), Megaport  (MP1 AU), andMagellan Financial (MFG AU).


Aussie Shorts [6 July 2026]: NAB, James Hardie, Qantas, Megaport, Magellan Financial

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Jul 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD45.1bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban, James Hardie Industries.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

Australia

AGL Energy Limited sells and distributes gas and electricity. The Company retails and wholesales energy and fuel products to customers throughout Australia.

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AGL Energy Ltd (AGL AU)

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI Ex-US, EAFE (Local Curr) Below Resistance

Japan and Europe Holding Below Resistance; MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, and EAFE (local currency) Also Below Resistance Though Testing Now; $EEM breakout...

Vermilion Research

Shift Now to Defensives; Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral Outlook Intact

Shift Now to Defensives (Health Care, Telecommunications, Utilities, and Consumer Staples); Snap-Back Rally Testing Resistance $ACWI $SPX; Neutral...

Vermilion Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 28th): Steadfast, Brambles, Worley, Transurban, Charter Hall

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Steadfast, Brambles, Worley, Transurban, Charter Hall.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts [6 July 2026]: NAB, James Hardie, Qantas, Megaport, Magellan Financial

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.3bn into "Gold"; the largest industry net decrease was A$1.0bn out of "Diversified...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Jul 3rd): AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol, Transurban

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in AGL Energy, National Australia Bank, Ampol,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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