Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported its second quarter of 2026 results with gold production of 856,000 ounces, surpassing budget targets for the second consecutive quarter and maintaining cash costs and all-in sustaining costs within guidance.</li><li>This production was achieved despite inflationary pressures and elevated oil prices, reflecting operational efficiencies across key mines such as Macassa, Detour Lake, Meliadine, Kittila, and Fosterville, where record mill throughputs at several sites signaled continuous improvement efforts.</li><li>However, the company experienced operational challenges, notably a rock movement incident at the Barnat pit in Quebec, temporarily impacting mining activities and forecasting 2026 production at the lower end of the original range (3.3 to 3.5 million ounces).</li></ul>

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported its second quarter of 2026 results with gold production of 856,000 ounces, surpassing budget targets for the second consecutive quarter and maintaining cash costs and all-in sustaining costs within guidance.This production was achieved despite inflationary pressures and elevated oil prices, reflecting operational efficiencies across key mines such as Macassa, Detour Lake, Meliadine, Kittila, and Fosterville, where record mill throughputs at several sites signaled continuous improvement efforts.However, the company experienced operational challenges, notably a rock movement incident at the Barnat pit in Quebec, temporarily impacting mining activities and forecasting 2026 production at the lower end of the original range (3.3 to 3.5 million ounces).

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited’s $3.3 Billion Net Cash Powerhouse — Growth Accelerate!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.</li>
<li>So far, we see no index changes for September 2026, but we see around US$255mm of one-way flow (twice that when considering both directions).</li>
<li>The expected flows can change because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index.</li>
</ul>


The MV Global Gold Miners index represents the performance of large and mid-cap gold and silver mining companies listed around the world. It is rebalanced with constituent changes possible quarterly.
So far, we see no index changes for September 2026, but we see around US$255mm of one-way flow (twice that when considering both directions).
The expected flows can change because of the peculiarities of the construction of this index.


[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: No Changes so Far, Limited Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF</a> will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.</li>
</ul>


There is 1 add for the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index but the VanEck Gold Miners ETF will buy 8 stocks and sell 24 stocks due to a benchmark change.
Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8% and the round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. There are 23 stocks with over 5x ADV to trade.
The ETF adds have underperformed the ETF sells in the last month, but a basket of ETF upweights has outperformed a basket of ETF downweights.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> will change benchmark from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index at the close on 19 September.</li>
<li>The differences in the constituents between the two indices should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$10.2bn.</li>
<li>The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes since the last Insight that highlighted the big valuation gap that had opened up since the announcement of the benchmark switch.</li>
</ul>


The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) will change benchmark from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index at the close on 19 September.
The differences in the constituents between the two indices should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$10.2bn.
The forecast adds have underperformed the forecast deletes since the last Insight that highlighted the big valuation gap that had opened up since the announcement of the benchmark switch.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Capping Pushes Trade to Over US$10bn

<ul><li>Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported a first quarter 2026 performance characterized by solid operational execution and strong financial metrics, supported by favorable gold prices.</li><li>The company achieved production slightly above budget, with approximately 825,000 ounces of gold produced, and costs aligning with management’s full-year guidance.</li><li>Notable operational highlights included record mill throughput at Macassa, record development rates at Meliadine, and record pit tonnage at Detour.</li></ul>

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported a first quarter 2026 performance characterized by solid operational execution and strong financial metrics, supported by favorable gold prices.The company achieved production slightly above budget, with approximately 825,000 ounces of gold produced, and costs aligning with management’s full-year guidance.Notable operational highlights included record mill throughput at Macassa, record development rates at Meliadine, and record pit tonnage at Detour.

Agnico Eagle Mines: Finland Consolidation & The 500,000-Ounce Opportunity Investors Should Watch!

Canada

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a gold producer with operations primarily in northwestern Quebec, northern Mexico, northern Finland and Nunavut.  The Company also has exploration activities in Canada, Europe, Latin America, and the United States.  Agnico Eagle Mines focuses on the exploration, development, and expansion of its gold properities primarily from underground operations.

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Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM US)

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited’s $3.3 Billion Net Cash Powerhouse — Growth Accelerate!

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported its second quarter of 2026 results with gold production of 856,000 ounces, surpassing budget targets for the...

Baptista Research

[Quiddity Index] MV Global Gold Miners Sep26 Rebal: No Changes so Far, Limited Flows

The Vault/Regis merger is likely on hold as Genesis has jumped in, delaying things. This changes the shape of things a bit. Sep26 rebal flows for...

Travis Lundy

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Benchmark Change; 8 Adds, 24 Deletes, US$12.7bn Trade

The GDX ETF will change benchmarks at the close on 19 Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 26.8%; round-trip trade for the ETF is US$12.7bn. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): Capping Pushes Trade to Over US$10bn

The change in benchmark for GDX should result in 8 adds and 25 deletes in Sep. Estimated one-way turnover is 22.9% resulting in a round-trip trade...

Brian Freitas

Agnico Eagle Mines: Finland Consolidation & The 500,000-Ounce Opportunity Investors Should Watch!

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited reported a first quarter 2026 performance characterized by solid operational execution and strong financial metrics,...

Baptista Research

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