IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> confirmed a non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> at 0.380 Newmont shares per Newcrest share. </li>
<li>The offer values Newcrest at a discount to Tier 1 gold producer EV/Resource multiples. Also, the offer carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates.</li>
<li>The offer underscores Newcrest’s value and helps the Board seek better terms. There is a possibility of a counterbid from other Tier 1 producers such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/barrick-gold-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21023:1" rel="noopener">Barrick Gold (GOLD US)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) confirmed a non-binding indicative privatisation proposal from Newmont Mining (NEM US) at 0.380 Newmont shares per Newcrest share. 
The offer values Newcrest at a discount to Tier 1 gold producer EV/Resource multiples. Also, the offer carries the volatility risk around Newmont shares and FX rates.
The offer underscores Newcrest’s value and helps the Board seek better terms. There is a possibility of a counterbid from other Tier 1 producers such as Barrick Gold (GOLD US).


Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont’s Light All-Scrip Offer

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a>. The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.</li>
<li>At <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a>'s last close, this values <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.</li>
</ul>



Newmont Mining (NEM US) has made an indicative, non-binding and conditional proposal to acquire Newcrest Mining (NCM AU). The exchange ratio is 0.38 Newmont shares for each Newcrest share.
At Newmont Mining (NEM US)'s last close, this values Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) at A$27.4/share and at an equity value of A$17.3bn, a 22% premium to the last close.

Newmont Mining (NEM US) intends to list CDIs on the ASX following the acquisition and that will have implications for changes in the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices.


Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Agnico Eagle Mines has already delivered outstanding results in a period of less than 6 months.</li><li>The risk profile of Agnico remains low with an exceptionally high dividend yield.</li><li>The company appears very attractive in spite of the inflationary headwinds, according to the company's chief executive.</li></ul>

Agnico Eagle Mines has already delivered outstanding results in a period of less than 6 months.The risk profile of Agnico remains low with an exceptionally high dividend yield.The company appears very attractive in spite of the inflationary headwinds, according to the company's chief executive.

Agnico Eagle Mines: The Real Money Printing Press

Leading International Investment Research, Edison Investment Research

Edison Investment Research

Leading International Investment Research

Edison is an investment research and advisory company, with offices in North America, Europe, the Middle East and AsiaPac. The heart of Edison is our world renowned equity research platform and deep multi-sector expertise. At Edison Investment Research, our research is widely read by international investors, advisors and stakeholders. Edison Advisors leverages our core research platform to provide differentiated services including investor relations and strategic consulting.

<p>Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported a strong set of Q3 results, delivering gold production of 816,795oz at competitive cash and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of US$779/oz and US$1,106/oz, respectively, notwithstanding cost pressures, constraints regarding workforce availability and the lingering aftermath of COVID-19. Material mark-to-market losses on foreign exchange and oil hedges of US$134.5m distorted headline earnings. However, excluding these non-cash, exceptional items, adjusted net income was US$235.4m or US$0.52/share, compared to US$119.0m or US$0.49/share in Q321. The quarterly dividend was held at US$0.40/share.</p>

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported a strong set of Q3 results, delivering gold production of 816,795oz at competitive cash and all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of US$779/oz and US$1,106/oz, respectively, notwithstanding cost pressures, constraints regarding workforce availability and the lingering aftermath of COVID-19. Material mark-to-market losses on foreign exchange and oil hedges of US$134.5m distorted headline earnings. However, excluding these non-cash, exceptional items, adjusted net income was US$235.4m or US$0.52/share, compared to US$119.0m or US$0.49/share in Q321. The quarterly dividend was held at US$0.40/share.

Agnico Eagle Mines - Moving forward during difficult times

<p>On an underlying basis, Agnico Eagle Mines’ (AEM’s) Q122 revenue of US$1,325.7m, EBITDA of US$583.8m, pre-tax profits of US$300.4m and adjusted net EPS of US$0.612/share were either at or above the top end of analysts’ expectations. Production (with Kirkland Lake included from 8 February) was 660,604oz at a total cash cost of US$811/oz (on a by-product basis) and an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of US$1,079/oz. Including a full quarter’s contribution from Kirkland Lake’s mines, pro forma payable production in Q122 was 806,329oz. AEM maintained the quarterly dividend at US$0.40/share, while net debt (excluding leases) declined to US$503.7m, equivalent to leverage (net debt/[net debt + equity]) of just 3.0%.</p>

On an underlying basis, Agnico Eagle Mines’ (AEM’s) Q122 revenue of US$1,325.7m, EBITDA of US$583.8m, pre-tax profits of US$300.4m and adjusted net EPS of US$0.612/share were either at or above the top end of analysts’ expectations. Production (with Kirkland Lake included from 8 February) was 660,604oz at a total cash cost of US$811/oz (on a by-product basis) and an all-in sustaining cost (AISC) of US$1,079/oz. Including a full quarter’s contribution from Kirkland Lake’s mines, pro forma payable production in Q122 was 806,329oz. AEM maintained the quarterly dividend at US$0.40/share, while net debt (excluding leases) declined to US$503.7m, equivalent to leverage (net debt/[net debt + equity]) of just 3.0%.

Agnico Eagle Mines - First view of an emerging champion

Canada

Agnico Eagle Mines Limited is a gold producer with operations primarily in northwestern Quebec, northern Mexico, northern Finland and Nunavut.  The Company also has exploration activities in Canada, Europe, Latin America, and the United States.  Agnico Eagle Mines focuses on the exploration, development, and expansion of its gold properities primarily from underground operations.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM CN)

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU): Newmont’s Light All-Scrip Offer

The offer is light in terms of peers' multiples. The Board should seek better terms by granting due diligence. There is also a chance of counterbid...

Arun George

Newmont's Indicative Offer for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)

Newmont is looking to acquire Newcrest Mining at an exchange ratio of 0.38 NEM shares per NCM share. That is a 22% premium for NCM. NEM intends to...

Brian Freitas

Agnico Eagle Mines: The Real Money Printing Press

Agnico Eagle Mines has already delivered outstanding results in a period of less than 6 months. The risk profile of Agnico remains low with an...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Agnico Eagle Mines - Moving forward during difficult times

Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported a strong set of Q3 results, delivering gold production of 816,795oz at competitive cash and all-in sustaining...

Edison Investment Research

Agnico Eagle Mines - First view of an emerging champion

On an underlying basis, Agnico Eagle Mines’ (AEM’s) Q122 revenue of US$1,325.7m, EBITDA of US$583.8m, pre-tax profits of US$300.4m and adjusted net...

Edison Investment Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)