External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>AIA reported decent 1Q25 growth with VONB up by 13% YoY (CER) on top of a high prior-year base (1Q24: +31%), driven by both margin expansion (+3pct) and ANP increase (+7%).</li><li>VONB margin jumped to 57.5%, a quarter high since FY22, thanks to progressive shift in product mix to participating-type long-term savings offset by the change of economic assumptions by end-FY24.</li><li>The rise of new business CSM (+16%) outgrew VONB for the first time (+13%), boding well for a profitable stock of future earnings to propel for Group OPAT growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA reported decent 1Q25 growth with VONB up by 13% YoY (CER) on top of a high prior-year base (1Q24: +31%), driven by both margin expansion (+3pct) and ANP increase (+7%).VONB margin jumped to 57.5%, a quarter high since FY22, thanks to progressive shift in product mix to participating-type long-term savings offset by the change of economic assumptions by end-FY24.The rise of new business CSM (+16%) outgrew VONB for the first time (+13%), boding well for a profitable stock of future earnings to propel for Group OPAT growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA Group Ltd. (1299 HK) - Decent VONB Growth Across Ex-China Markets

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a> is set to announce its 2024 Annual Results on 14 March 2025, 09:00 am HK Time.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a> has historically experienced volatile trading during results days, with a median move of +/- 4.2%, considerably higher than typical daily movements. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> will announce its final dividend. With a history of increases, a divided raise can be expected.</li>
</ul>



AIA Group (1299 HK) is set to announce its 2024 Annual Results on 14 March 2025, 09:00 am HK Time.

AIA Group (1299 HK) has historically experienced volatile trading during results days, with a median move of +/- 4.2%, considerably higher than typical daily movements. 

AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) will announce its final dividend. With a history of increases, a divided raise can be expected.


AIA Group (1299 HK) Results Day: Expected Price Swings and Dividend Boost

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) have started to reverse from the highs. </li>
<li>SK Hynix, Meituan and Mediatek Inc all make recent gains in fund ownership, while HDFC Bank and AIA Group see closures.</li>
<li>UBS in AIA Group and TT International in HDFC Bank lead the fund-level closures.</li>
</ul>


Ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) have started to reverse from the highs. 
SK Hynix, Meituan and Mediatek Inc all make recent gains in fund ownership, while HDFC Bank and AIA Group see closures.
UBS in AIA Group and TT International in HDFC Bank lead the fund-level closures.


AIA Group & HDFC Bank: Big Hitters Lose Momentum

<ul><li>AIA reported solid VONB growth at 18% YoY (CER, or 17% AER) to US$4.71bn in FY24, slightly lower than our estimate of 20% (CER)/18% (AER) YoY (link).</li><li>VONB margin was 54.5% (ANP basis), +1.9pct YoY, vs. our forecast at 54.7%.</li><li>Group OPAT grew 7% YoY (CER) to US$6.6bn, bolstered by 2H OPAT +9.5% YoY (vs. 1H24: +3.5%).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA reported solid VONB growth at 18% YoY (CER, or 17% AER) to US$4.71bn in FY24, slightly lower than our estimate of 20% (CER)/18% (AER) YoY (link).VONB margin was 54.5% (ANP basis), +1.9pct YoY, vs. our forecast at 54.7%.Group OPAT grew 7% YoY (CER) to US$6.6bn, bolstered by 2H OPAT +9.5% YoY (vs. 1H24: +3.5%).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA Group Ltd. (1299 HK) - Robust VONB Growth In-Line

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Fintech & EM-focused Analyst

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

Equity Capital Markets

FWD Group Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>While FWD has achieved strong growth in certain key markets, its overall new business growth rate didn't differ significantly from the peers, AIA and Prudential.</li>
<li>Compared to the peers, it offers more exposure to Thailand/Cambodia, in terms of APE and VNB mix. But, the peers still have better scale in these markets.</li>
<li>We struggle to develop the thesis unless FWD's valuation is really attractive. It's also not expecting to pay any dividends in the near future while both peers do.</li>
</ul>


While FWD has achieved strong growth in certain key markets, its overall new business growth rate didn't differ significantly from the peers, AIA and Prudential.
Compared to the peers, it offers more exposure to Thailand/Cambodia, in terms of APE and VNB mix. But, the peers still have better scale in these markets.
We struggle to develop the thesis unless FWD's valuation is really attractive. It's also not expecting to pay any dividends in the near future while both peers do.


Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

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AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)