Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a> is set to announce its 2024 Annual Results on 14 March 2025, 09:00 am HK Time.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group (1299 HK)</a> has historically experienced volatile trading during results days, with a median move of +/- 4.2%, considerably higher than typical daily movements. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aia-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14895:1" rel="noopener">AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)</a> will announce its final dividend. With a history of increases, a divided raise can be expected.</li>
</ul>



AIA Group (1299 HK) is set to announce its 2024 Annual Results on 14 March 2025, 09:00 am HK Time.

AIA Group (1299 HK) has historically experienced volatile trading during results days, with a median move of +/- 4.2%, considerably higher than typical daily movements. 

AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) will announce its final dividend. With a history of increases, a divided raise can be expected.


AIA Group (1299 HK) Results Day: Expected Price Swings and Dividend Boost

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) have started to reverse from the highs. </li>
<li>SK Hynix, Meituan and Mediatek Inc all make recent gains in fund ownership, while HDFC Bank and AIA Group see closures.</li>
<li>UBS in AIA Group and TT International in HDFC Bank lead the fund-level closures.</li>
</ul>


Ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) have started to reverse from the highs. 
SK Hynix, Meituan and Mediatek Inc all make recent gains in fund ownership, while HDFC Bank and AIA Group see closures.
UBS in AIA Group and TT International in HDFC Bank lead the fund-level closures.


AIA Group & HDFC Bank: Big Hitters Lose Momentum

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>AIA reported solid VONB growth at 18% YoY (CER, or 17% AER) to US$4.71bn in FY24, slightly lower than our estimate of 20% (CER)/18% (AER) YoY (link).</li><li>VONB margin was 54.5% (ANP basis), +1.9pct YoY, vs. our forecast at 54.7%.</li><li>Group OPAT grew 7% YoY (CER) to US$6.6bn, bolstered by 2H OPAT +9.5% YoY (vs. 1H24: +3.5%).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA reported solid VONB growth at 18% YoY (CER, or 17% AER) to US$4.71bn in FY24, slightly lower than our estimate of 20% (CER)/18% (AER) YoY (link).VONB margin was 54.5% (ANP basis), +1.9pct YoY, vs. our forecast at 54.7%.Group OPAT grew 7% YoY (CER) to US$6.6bn, bolstered by 2H OPAT +9.5% YoY (vs. 1H24: +3.5%).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA Group Ltd. (1299 HK) - Robust VONB Growth In-Line

<ul><li>AIA’s share price underperformed the market and CN insurers despite resilient VNB growth and a solid financial position underpinning attractive shareholder returns.</li><li>The stock price fell 17.3% in FY24, lagging behind key benchmarks as HSI (+18%), CSI 300 (+15%) and FTSE APAC ex-Japan (+7%) (Fig.1).</li><li>We attribute the market’s under-appreciation of this regional top-player to 1) sustainable VNB growth in long run, and 2) whether such VNB momentum across segments could translate into a resilient uptrend in earnings, cash and shareholder return, incl. both dividends and buybacks. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA’s share price underperformed the market and CN insurers despite resilient VNB growth and a solid financial position underpinning attractive shareholder returns.The stock price fell 17.3% in FY24, lagging behind key benchmarks as HSI (+18%), CSI 300 (+15%) and FTSE APAC ex-Japan (+7%) (Fig.1).We attribute the market’s under-appreciation of this regional top-player to 1) sustainable VNB growth in long run, and 2) whether such VNB momentum across segments could translate into a resilient uptrend in earnings, cash and shareholder return, incl. both dividends and buybacks. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

AIA Group Ltd. (1299 HK) - FY24 Preview: OPAT Back to Growth Trajectory

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 25th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 25th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK), Swire Pacific (19 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), AIA (1299 HK), China Hongqiao (1378 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Apr 25th): AIA, China Hongqiao, Swire Pacific

Hong Kong

AIA Group Limited offers insurance and financial services. The Company writes life insurance for individuals, businesses, accident, and health insurance, as well as retirement planning and wealth management services.

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AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK)

AIA Group (1299 HK) Results Day: Expected Price Swings and Dividend Boost

AIA Group (1299 HK) to announce 2024 Annual Results on 14 March 2025, historically volatile trading on results days with potential dividend raise.

Gaudenz Schneider

AIA Group & HDFC Bank: Big Hitters Lose Momentum

After establishing themselves as mainstays among active Asia Ex-Japan investors, ownership levels in AIA Group Ltd (1299 HK) and HDFC Bank (HDFCB...

Steven Holden