Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 14th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of Stock Exchange of Thailand as of Mar 14th.We estimate that they had an aggregated short interest worth USD1.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.


Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Advanced Info Service, Carabao

Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,168/1,173 points.</li><li>In the medium term, the index remains in a zig-zag down trend, searching for the bottom within the 1,100-1,506-point range.</li><li>In the short term, the index is still in a downtrend, making new lows with intermittent technical rebounds. </li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,168/1,173 points.In the medium term, the index remains in a zig-zag down trend, searching for the bottom within the 1,100-1,506-point range.In the short term, the index is still in a downtrend, making new lows with intermittent technical rebounds. 

KTX Zoom - US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

<ul>
<li>We maintain a Neutral investment weighting after our downward revision of tourist arrivals for 2025E, which remain below pre-COVID levels.</li>
<li>This reflects a slowdown in Chinese tourists and a shift in their travel destination preference toward Japan.</li>
<li>However, the downside risk for SET TOURISM has become more limited, as the implied EPS has dropped to near the historical average. </li>
</ul>


We maintain a Neutral investment weighting after our downward revision of tourist arrivals for 2025E, which remain below pre-COVID levels.
This reflects a slowdown in Chinese tourists and a shift in their travel destination preference toward Japan.
However, the downside risk for SET TOURISM has become more limited, as the implied EPS has dropped to near the historical average. 


Tourism and Airline Sectors - MARCH 13, 2025

<ul><li>The SET initially rose, outperforming Asian bourses, which declined in line with US stock markets.</li><li>However, it reversed sharply in the afternoon session as the market lacked new supportive factors and concerns over trade wars persisted.</li><li>Selling pressure emerged in blue-chip stocks such as AOT, ADVANC, PTT, and banking stocks, leading to further selloffs. As a result, the index hit new lows</li></ul>

The SET initially rose, outperforming Asian bourses, which declined in line with US stock markets.However, it reversed sharply in the afternoon session as the market lacked new supportive factors and concerns over trade wars persisted.Selling pressure emerged in blue-chip stocks such as AOT, ADVANC, PTT, and banking stocks, leading to further selloffs. As a result, the index hit new lows

<ul><li>The impact of concerns over the tourism situation, which may escalate following the repatriation of Uyghurs to China in late February, is expected to be limited owing to the following factors: i) The proportion of tourists from the US and Japan, which have issued travel advisories for Thailand, is low at only 6% of total tourists.</li><li>ii) The government plans to revive the "We Travel Together" scheme during the low season (May-September), helping to mitigate the potential impact of the Uyghur issue, which is expected to affect the same period; historically, tourism conditions tend to normalize within 3-4 months after any unrest or unusual incidents.</li><li>iii) Stock prices typically decline and underperform the SET slightly at -2% to -3% in the one-week to two-month period following such events. </li></ul>

The impact of concerns over the tourism situation, which may escalate following the repatriation of Uyghurs to China in late February, is expected to be limited owing to the following factors: i) The proportion of tourists from the US and Japan, which have issued travel advisories for Thailand, is low at only 6% of total tourists.ii) The government plans to revive the "We Travel Together" scheme during the low season (May-September), helping to mitigate the potential impact of the Uyghur issue, which is expected to affect the same period; historically, tourism conditions tend to normalize within 3-4 months after any unrest or unusual incidents.iii) Stock prices typically decline and underperform the SET slightly at -2% to -3% in the one-week to two-month period following such events. 

Tourism and Airline Sectors - Expect Limited Impact from Uyghur Repatriation

Thailand

Airports of Thailand Public Company Ltd. operates the Bangkok International Airport (Don Muang) and the New Bangkok International Airport (Suvarnabhumi).. The Company also operates provincial airports in Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Hat Yai, and Phuket.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Airports of Thailand (AOT TB)

Thailand Short Interest Weekly (Mar 14th): Advanced Info Service, Carabao

We analyzed SET short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Advanced Info Service, Carabao.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

KTX Zoom - US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move in a sideways-down pattern, with the support at 1,150/1,140 points and the resistance at 1,168/1,173...

Krungthai XSpring

Tourism and Airline Sectors - MARCH 13, 2025

We maintain a Neutral investment weighting after our downward revision of tourist arrivals for 2025E, which remain below pre-COVID levels.

Krungthai XSpring

Technical Analysis -MARCH 5, 2025

Selling pressure emerged in blue-chip stocks such as AOT, ADVANC, PTT, and banking stocks, leading to further selloffs. As a result, the index hit...

Krungthai XSpring

Tourism and Airline Sectors - Expect Limited Impact from Uyghur Repatriation

We maintain a Neutral view on the sector and select CENTEL as the top pick (Outperform; TP at Bt39.00), given its stronger-than-peer earnings...

Krungthai XSpring

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)