Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>On 20th March 2026, the critical patent for Semaglutide expires in India, decisively ending the innovator's legal monopoly and enabling highly affordable generic versions. </li>
<li>This triggers a massive 70% retail price drop in India, exponentially expanding affordable access to millions suffering from prevalent obesity and diabetes.</li>
<li>Vertically integrated formulators like Sun Pharma and specialized API manufacturers like Divis Laboratories capture maximum alpha through scaled volumes and zero customer acquisition costs.</li>
</ul>


On 20th March 2026, the critical patent for Semaglutide expires in India, decisively ending the innovator's legal monopoly and enabling highly affordable generic versions. 
This triggers a massive 70% retail price drop in India, exponentially expanding affordable access to millions suffering from prevalent obesity and diabetes.
Vertically integrated formulators like Sun Pharma and specialized API manufacturers like Divis Laboratories capture maximum alpha through scaled volumes and zero customer acquisition costs.


The GLP-1 Super-Cycle: Deconstructing India’s 2026 Patent Cliff and Alpha Generators

<ul>
<li>IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis</li>
<li>The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.</li>
<li>Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.</li>
</ul>


IPM grew 11% YoY in Mar 2026, closing FY2026 at ~10% YoY growth, with Semaglutide generics launching commercially and the GLP-1 market surging more than 3.8x on a MAT basis
The GLP-1 genericization event is a structural inflection for anti-diabetics. Meanwhile, Jan Aushadhi's rapid expansion to ~18,000 stores poses a medium-term headwind to branded IPM volume growth.
Preferred picks include Torrent Pharma, Sun Pharma, Emcure and Corona. Pricing and new launches remain the primary growth levers for FY2027; volume recovery is the variable to watch.


IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).</li>
<li>We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.</li>
<li>Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."</li>
</ul>


We continue to believe a 1-4-month pullback/consolidation is ongoing. Important supports have been violated, including $110 on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and $41 on MSCI EM (EEM-US).
We're shifting our outlook to neutral on $ACWI after being bullish since early-November 2023. Major price breakdowns combined with deteriorating market dynamics have increased the odds of a topping pattern.
Also downgrading Japan to market weight. 7/25/24 we said "Japan's TOPIX breaking below 2800-2815 is near-term bearish, suggests it could pull back to its long-term uptrend, or worse."


Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.</li>
<li>Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.</li>
<li>Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.</li>
</ul>


Indian pharmaceutical companies started FY24 on a strong note. Due to better pricing environment, drug shortages, and new launches, sector heavyweights reported double-digit revenue growth from U.S. business.
Price erosion has come down to high single-digit from their peak of mid-teens. Despite the rise in number of ANDA approvals from the US FDA, Indian companies continued their dominance.
Indian pharmaceutical companies have accelerated the filing pace. With shorter timeline of approval, the companies are witnessing a spike in number of approvals. Regulatory risk remains the main downside risk.


Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

iShares MSCI ACWI ETF / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities under pressure; we discussed in our August 3,2023 Int'l Compass how it could be the start of a ~15% pullback in $ACWI, which would put it at $84-$85.</li>
<li>We also discussed how it is possible that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the major $93 support level (which it tested today).</li>
<li>If the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY remain below their respective resistance levels, we remain buyers on this pullback to $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
</ul>


Global equities under pressure; we discussed in our August 3,2023 Int'l Compass how it could be the start of a ~15% pullback in $ACWI, which would put it at $84-$85.
We also discussed how it is possible that this is a normal 3%-6% pullback to the major $93 support level (which it tested today).
If the 10-year Treasury yield and DXY remain below their respective resistance levels, we remain buyers on this pullback to $93 on ACWI-US.


10-Yr Treasury Yield and DXY at Key Inflection Points; $ACWI Testing $93; Energy/HC/Tech/CD Buys

India

Ajanta Pharma is an Indian multinational pharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and markets specialty pharmaceutical finished dosages and branded generics. The company focuses on various therapeutic areas including cardiology, dermatology, ophthalmology, and pain management. It operates in India, the US, and over 30 emerging markets across Africa and Asia. Headquartered in Mumbai, India, the company was established in 1973.

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Ajanta Pharma (AJP IN)

The GLP-1 Super-Cycle: Deconstructing India’s 2026 Patent Cliff and Alpha Generators

Semaglutide patent expiration in India leads to 70% price drop, increasing access to affordable generic versions for obesity and diabetes treatment.

Nimish Maheshwari

IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Nimish Maheshwari

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

10-Yr Treasury Yield and DXY at Key Inflection Points; $ACWI Testing $93; Energy/HC/Tech/CD Buys

Test of Key Supports: $93 on $ACWI, $47.50 on $ACWX, $70 on $EFA, 4200 on EURO $STOXX 50. As long as 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX and $DXY remain...

Vermilion Research

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The GLP-1 Super-Cycle: Deconstructing India’s 2026 Patent Cliff and Alpha Generators

​Semaglutide patent expiration in India leads to 70% price drop, increasing access to affordable generic versions for obesity and diabetes treatment.

Nimish Maheshwari

IPM Pharma Pulse March-25: Driven by Semaglutide Generics; Low Single Digit Growth Outlook for FY27

​IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Nimish Maheshwari

Downgrading Japan; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI to Neutral

Downgrading Japan TOPIX, Nikkei; Stay Defensive; Downgrading Outlook on Global Equities $ACWI $EEM to Neutral; Many Risk-Off Signals increase odds...

Vermilion Research

Indian Generic Pharmaceutical Companies: US Momentum to Continue Amid Favorable Sector Tailwinds

​Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...

Tina Banerjee

10-Yr Treasury Yield and DXY at Key Inflection Points; $ACWI Testing $93; Energy/HC/Tech/CD Buys

Test of Key Supports: $93 on $ACWI, $47.50 on $ACWX, $70 on $EFA, 4200 on EURO $STOXX 50. As long as 10-Yr Treasury Yield $TNX and $DXY remain...

Vermilion Research

Semaglutide patent expiration in India leads to 70% price drop, increasing access to affordable generic versions for obesity and diabetes treatment.

IPM sees 11% YoY growth in Mar 2026, driven by Semaglutide generics and GLP-1 market surge. Jan Aushadhi's expansion poses challenge to branded...

Indian pharma companies saw strong U.S. revenue growth in H1FY24 due to better pricing, drug shortages, and new launches. With robust pipeline and...