Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.</li>
<li>This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.</li>
<li>We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight</li>
</ul>


In our prior EM Strategy (October 2) we discussed that as long as EEM-US is above our important line-in-the-sand at $37, we were buyers on the pullback.
This support level held and EEM-US now displays a bullish 3-month downtrend reversal as the DXY appears to be breaking below $105.70, all bullish signals signaling additional upside-- buy.
We are bullish as long as $36.50-$37 support holds on EEM-US. Our first target is $42, which is 1.5+ year resistance. Remain overweight India, and we're upgrading Poland/Greece to overweight


MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Baba's recent management change - Daniel Zhang proposed stepping down</li>
<li>NHC Director said healthcare anti-corruption must balance pros and cons, suggesting the campaign might nearing its end</li>
<li>Alibaba's subsidiary, Lingxi Games, has released a self-developed new mobile game called "Forest Kingdom." (森之国度) </li>
</ul>


Baba's recent management change - Daniel Zhang proposed stepping down
NHC Director said healthcare anti-corruption must balance pros and cons, suggesting the campaign might nearing its end
Alibaba's subsidiary, Lingxi Games, has released a self-developed new mobile game called "Forest Kingdom." (森之国度) 


China TMT Update-Baba/Healthcare-Daniel Zhang Stepping Down/ Anti-Corruption Might Nearing Its End

<ul>
<li>9950HK/BGNE: BioNTech signed another ADC from Durality, negative to RemeGen and BeiGene（-）</li>
<li>9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/1801HK/1877HK: National Audit Office's special audit on auditing Guangdong's pharmaceutical consumables showed breadth and depth of the current anti-corruption probe（+/+/-/-/-/-）</li>
<li>BABA/SE:TikTok is in early talks with regulators to obtain a payments license in Indonesia.(-)</li>
</ul>


9950HK/BGNE: BioNTech signed another ADC from Durality, negative to RemeGen and BeiGene（-）
9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/1801HK/1877HK: National Audit Office's special audit on auditing Guangdong's pharmaceutical consumables showed breadth and depth of the current anti-corruption probe（+/+/-/-/-/-）
BABA/SE:TikTok is in early talks with regulators to obtain a payments license in Indonesia.(-)


China/Asian TMT Update-9950HK/BGNE/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/1801HK/1877HK/BABA/SE-Special Audit

<ul>
<li>Baba: Alibaba's annual report, Chinese media discussions and our thoughts</li>
<li>BGNE/9926HK/9995HK/1801HK/1877HK/LGNE/ZLAB: NHSA issued new rule to protect drug pricing (-)</li>
<li>BEKE: China reinforce the city village reconstruction policy, which is different with Shantytown Renovation project（+)</li>
</ul>


Baba: Alibaba's annual report, Chinese media discussions and our thoughts
BGNE/9926HK/9995HK/1801HK/1877HK/LGNE/ZLAB: NHSA issued new rule to protect drug pricing (-)
BEKE: China reinforce the city village reconstruction policy, which is different with Shantytown Renovation project（+)


China TMT Update-BABA/BGNE/9926HK/9995HK/1801HK/1877HK/LGNE/ZLAB/BEKE-Baba's Annual Report/NHSA Rule

<ul>
<li>LI: Li Auto said to postpone the construction of Chongqing plant (-)</li>
<li>Akeso started Phase III head-to-head trial of its Cadonilimab BsAb against BeiGene's Tislelizumab mAb for first line treatment of NSCLC（/）</li>
<li>KE Holdings: New home sales remain weak in June, and existing home price trended down for two months, expecting more supportive policy on demand side of property market.</li>
</ul>


LI: Li Auto said to postpone the construction of Chongqing plant (-)
Akeso started Phase III head-to-head trial of its Cadonilimab BsAb against BeiGene's Tislelizumab mAb for first line treatment of NSCLC（/）
KE Holdings: New home sales remain weak in June, and existing home price trended down for two months, expecting more supportive policy on demand side of property market.


China TMT Update-LI AUTO/Akeso/BEKE-Delay Chongqing Plant/Trial of Cadonilimab BsAb/New Home Sales

China

Akeso is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative antibody drugs. It develops treatments for major diseases such as cancer, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, and metabolic diseases, with key products including cadonilimab, ivonescimab, and penpulimab. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, Guangdong, China.

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Akeso (9926 HK)

MSCI EM Index Reversing 3-Month Downtrend -- Buy. Remain Overweight India, Upgrading Poland & Greece

In our prior EM Strategy (10/2/23) we discussed that, if $EEM is above $37, we were buyers on the pullback. Support held and now EEM displays a...

Vermilion Research

China TMT Update-Baba/Healthcare-Daniel Zhang Stepping Down/ Anti-Corruption Might Nearing Its End

Daniel Zhang proposed stepping down;NHC Director said healthcare anti-corruption must balance pros and cons, suggesting the campaign nearing its...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China/Asian TMT Update-9950HK/BGNE/9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/1801HK/1877HK/BABA/SE-Special Audit

9926HK/BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/1801HK/1877HK: National Audit Office's special audit on auditing Guangdong's pharmaceutical consumables showed breadth and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-BABA/BGNE/9926HK/9995HK/1801HK/1877HK/LGNE/ZLAB/BEKE-Baba's Annual Report/NHSA Rule

Baba: Alibaba's annual report;BGNE/9926HK/9995HK/1801HK/1877HK/LGNE/ZLAB: NHSA issued new rule to protect drug pricing;BEKE: China reinforce the...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update-LI AUTO/Akeso/BEKE-Delay Chongqing Plant/Trial of Cadonilimab BsAb/New Home Sales

LI: Li Auto said to postpone the construction of Chongqing plant (-);Akeso started Phase III head-to-head trial of its Cadonilimab BsAb;KE...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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