Healthcare Analyst

Wilfred Yuen

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We highlight key updates from October's ESMO meeting: 1) Akeso's ivonescimab in 1L BTC, 2) Kelun/Merck's sac-TMT (Lung04, Lung06, TroFuse-005), 3) Hutchmed/AZ's savo, 4) Hansoh/GSK's B7H3 ADC, 5) Innovent IBI363...</li>
<li>BD deal flows this week: 1) Innocare/Lilly on 5-target drug discovery, 2) Earendil Labs/Genentech on bispecific, 3) Insilico Medicine/AI frontier model lab, 4) BoomRay/Novartis on radioligand, 4) Henlius/Amberstone on TCE</li>
<li>Other updates/news: 1) LEGN's 5-year Carvykti OS data in Cart-2 study, 2) BeOne's first-in-class GPC3/4-1BB entering ph3 study in HCC, 3) TYK/Qilu deal update...</li>
</ul>


We highlight key updates from October's ESMO meeting: 1) Akeso's ivonescimab in 1L BTC, 2) Kelun/Merck's sac-TMT (Lung04, Lung06, TroFuse-005), 3) Hutchmed/AZ's savo, 4) Hansoh/GSK's B7H3 ADC, 5) Innovent IBI363...
BD deal flows this week: 1) Innocare/Lilly on 5-target drug discovery, 2) Earendil Labs/Genentech on bispecific, 3) Insilico Medicine/AI frontier model lab, 4) BoomRay/Novartis on radioligand, 4) Henlius/Amberstone on TCE
Other updates/news: 1) LEGN's 5-year Carvykti OS data in Cart-2 study, 2) BeOne's first-in-class GPC3/4-1BB entering ph3 study in HCC, 3) TYK/Qilu deal update...


HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/techtronic-industries-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4561:1" rel="noopener">Techtronic Ind. (669 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chervon-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35309:1" rel="noopener">Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec-co-ltd-bf4a1265-beef-48b6-b82d-29308426030f" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27795:1" rel="noopener">WuXi AppTec (2359 HK)</a> have a very high reliance on the US market.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vtech-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18812:1" rel="noopener">Vtech Hldgs (303 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsonite-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12790:1" rel="noopener">Samsonite (1910 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home (6690 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tcl-multimedia-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15654:1" rel="noopener">Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK)</a> ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. </li>
<li>The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orient-overseas-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:801:1" rel="noopener">Orient Overseas International (316 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prada-s-p-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:889:1" rel="noopener">Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Bio (6990 HK), Techtronic Ind. (669 HK), Vesync (2148 HK), Chervon Hldgs (2285 HK), and WuXi AppTec (2359 HK) have a very high reliance on the US market.

Vtech Hldgs (303 HK), Samsonite (1910 HK), Haier Smart Home (6690 HK), and Tcl Multimedia (1070 HK) ranked lower on the list, but consumer cutbacks will have a bigger impact. 
The spillover effect of a US recession to other countries will pressurise companies that have low direct exposure, like Orient Overseas International (316 HK) and Prada S.P.A. (1913 HK).


China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

United Laboratories / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.</li>
<li>Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.</li>
<li>United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.</li>
</ul>


WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates the whole year performance may beat expectations. However, “valuation discount” reflects geopolitical risks. The intensive share repurchases is insignificant compared with previous share reductions.
Sino Biopharm will pay US$500.9 million to acquire LaNova. Based on pipeline/licensing cooperation, this is a deal with very high cost performance. However, valuation contribution may remain to be seen.
United Lab plans to raise HK$2.17 billion in net proceeds from Placement. Valuation logic will shift from a traditional bulk medicine company to innovative drug company. 15x P/E is expected.


China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/3sbio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:459:1" rel="noopener">3SBio Inc (1530 HK)</a> signed an outlicensing deal worth more than $6B with Pfizer for its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, SSGJ-707. Since signing the deal, 3SBio shares rallied more than 55%.</li>
<li>Considering deals signed with Chinese companies for bispecific antibody drug candidates in recent times, 3SBio seems to have secured best valuation for its asset.</li>
<li>Initiation of global trial of SSGJ-707 and data readout from its ongoing China trials for additional indications, continued strong financial performance, and new approvals are upcoming catalysts.</li>
</ul>



3SBio Inc (1530 HK) signed an outlicensing deal worth more than $6B with Pfizer for its PD-1/VEGF bispecific antibody, SSGJ-707. Since signing the deal, 3SBio shares rallied more than 55%.
Considering deals signed with Chinese companies for bispecific antibody drug candidates in recent times, 3SBio seems to have secured best valuation for its asset.
Initiation of global trial of SSGJ-707 and data readout from its ongoing China trials for additional indications, continued strong financial performance, and new approvals are upcoming catalysts.


3SBio Inc (1530 HK): Licensing Deal a Market Hit; Will It Continue?

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharmaceutical (6990 HK)

<ul>
<li>The imagination space and good stories for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-kelun-biotech-biopharm" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40071:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK)</a> at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. </li>
<li>The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.</li>
<li>This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.</li>
</ul>


The imagination space and good stories for Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990 HK) at this stage mainly come from SKB264. The market has higher expectations for SKB264’s clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC. 
The better the clinical results of SKB264 +PD1/L1, the greater the negative impact on AK112’s future expectations/market space in NSCLC. ADC +PD-1 seems more “convincing” than the logic of BsAb.
This July, restricted shares of major shareholders will be lifted, which may lead to big share price fluctuation if they reduce their shareholdings. Investors need not rush to be long.


Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

China

Akeso is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative antibody drugs. It develops treatments for major diseases such as cancer, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, and metabolic diseases, with key products including cadonilimab, ivonescimab, and penpulimab. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, Guangdong, China.

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Akeso (9926 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (21-25 Sep)

We highlight 1) key studies to watch for upcoming October's ESMO updates, 2) deal flows Innocare/Lilly, BoomRay/Novartis, Earendil Labs...

Wilfred Yuen

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

3SBio Inc (1530 HK): Licensing Deal a Market Hit; Will It Continue?

3SBio signed $6B outlicensing deal with Pfizer for SSGJ-707, resulting in spectacular rally in 3SBio shares. Global trial initiation of SSGJ-707...

Tina Banerjee

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

The market has high hopes for SKB264's clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC, which will impact Akeso's future expectations. Be cautious of share price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly Wrap (21-25 Sep)

We highlight 1) key studies to watch for upcoming October's ESMO updates, 2) deal flows Innocare/Lilly, BoomRay/Novartis, Earendil Labs...

Wilfred Yuen

China & HK Strategy: Who Are the Victims of a US Recession?

​Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Healthcare Weekly(July20)-WuXi AppTec 25H1, Sino Biopharm Acquire LaNova, United Lab Placement

WuXi AppTec’s 25H1 Profit Alert indicates 2025 result may beat expectation. Sino Biopharm's acquisition of LaNova show high cost...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

3SBio Inc (1530 HK): Licensing Deal a Market Hit; Will It Continue?

​3SBio signed $6B outlicensing deal with Pfizer for SSGJ-707, resulting in spectacular rally in 3SBio shares. Global trial initiation of SSGJ-707...

Tina Banerjee

Sichuan Kelun-Biotech Biopharm (6990.HK) - Current High Valuation Is Not Secure

The market has high hopes for SKB264's clinical data on NSCLC/TNBC, which will impact Akeso's future expectations. Be cautious of share price...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Reliance on the US market varies among HK-listed companies, with some having high direct exposure to a recession. Those with low direct exposure...

3SBio signed $6B outlicensing deal with Pfizer for SSGJ-707, resulting in spectacular rally in 3SBio shares. Global trial initiation of SSGJ-707...