HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The policy turning point of high-value consumables/medical device industry is not far away. When a mature pricing mechanism is formed, it’s the time when industry expectations reverse and stabilize.</li>
<li>There’s rumor that AstraZeneca is in discussions for a US$15 billion partnership focused on ivonescimab. Although we understand that investors have been anticipating a big deal, we remain cautious.</li>
<li>After the outstanding IPO debut, IFBH’s share price continued to fall. The capital frenzy has led to the valuation to deviate seriously from the fundamentals. The outlook is not optimistic.</li>
</ul>


The policy turning point of high-value consumables/medical device industry is not far away. When a mature pricing mechanism is formed, it’s the time when industry expectations reverse and stabilize.
There’s rumor that AstraZeneca is in discussions for a US$15 billion partnership focused on ivonescimab. Although we understand that investors have been anticipating a big deal, we remain cautious.
After the outstanding IPO debut, IFBH’s share price continued to fall. The capital frenzy has led to the valuation to deviate seriously from the fundamentals. The outlook is not optimistic.


China Healthcare Weekly(Jul.13)- AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn Deal, IFBH Shares Decline Is Far from Over

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK)</a> granted an exclusive worldwide license to develop, manufacture, and commercialize HS-20094, an investigational dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist.</li>
<li>Globally, the only approved dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist is Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, which garnered revenue of $4.9B in 2024, with a potential of peak global sales of $27.2B by 2030.</li>
<li>Hansoh’s mainstay drug Ameile was approved for an additional indication of treatment of adult patients with stage II to IIIB NSCLC whose tumors have EGFR mutations.</li>
</ul>



Hansoh Pharmaceutical Group (3692 HK) granted an exclusive worldwide license to develop, manufacture, and commercialize HS-20094, an investigational dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist.
Globally, the only approved dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist is Eli Lilly’s Zepbound, which garnered revenue of $4.9B in 2024, with a potential of peak global sales of $27.2B by 2030.
Hansoh’s mainstay drug Ameile was approved for an additional indication of treatment of adult patients with stage II to IIIB NSCLC whose tumors have EGFR mutations.


Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.</li>
<li>Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Monitor</a> are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes up to US$17+bn a day this past 5-day week. Net buying strong at +US$700mm a day.
Among the top buys as a percentage of volume, FINANCIALS stood out, dramatically. Again. Neither INFO TECH nor Tencent were the big sells this week.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The SOUTHBOUND Flow Monitor and AH Monitor are both there free for SK readers. Technical issue delayed this week's Monitor.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical / Equity Bottom-Up

YiChang HEC ChangJiang Pharmaceutical (1558 HK)

<ul>
<li>For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/huadong-medicine-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18522:1" rel="noopener">Huadong Medicine</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hansoh-pharmaceutical-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23675:1" rel="noopener">Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK)</a>, etc.</li>
<li>Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.</li>
<li>For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.</li>
</ul>


For the upcoming 11th national VBP, we think some core and big varieties could be included, involving companies such as Sunshine Lake Pharma, Huadong Medicine, Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK), etc.
Anjoy’s IPO is fairly priced. Reasonable valuation range is 10-15x P/E.However, unfavorable factors have led us to take a conservative attitude towards the upside potential of stock price after IPO.
For Sunshine Lake Pharma's privatization of HEC Pharma, Composite Document was despatched. However, if investors truly understand "the essence" of HEC Pharma, they will be calm/rational about this absorption merger.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

China Medical System / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CMS announced proposed secondary listing on the SGX-ST. The Company is undergoing pipeline adjustments and strategic transformation. Its growth logic is shifting from "dependence on generic drugs" to "innovation-driven drugs".</li>
<li>However, the valuation logic has changed. The capital market will give high valuations to companies that achieve overseas licensing-out deals, rather than the attractive DCF model based on traditional business.</li>
<li>After 2023/2024 performance downturn, revenue growth is expected to return to positive in 2025. But in essence, CMS’s current business model is license-in, which will affect the future valuation performance. </li>
</ul>


CMS announced proposed secondary listing on the SGX-ST. The Company is undergoing pipeline adjustments and strategic transformation. Its growth logic is shifting from "dependence on generic drugs" to "innovation-driven drugs".
However, the valuation logic has changed. The capital market will give high valuations to companies that achieve overseas licensing-out deals, rather than the attractive DCF model based on traditional business.
After 2023/2024 performance downturn, revenue growth is expected to return to positive in 2025. But in essence, CMS’s current business model is license-in, which will affect the future valuation performance. 


Pre-IPO China Medical System (867 HK) - About the IPO in Singapore and Concerns on Valuation Outlook

China

Akeso is a biopharmaceutical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and commercialization of innovative antibody drugs. It develops treatments for major diseases such as cancer, autoimmune diseases, inflammation, and metabolic diseases, with key products including cadonilimab, ivonescimab, and penpulimab. The company was founded in 2012 and is headquartered in Zhongshan, Guangdong, China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Akeso (9926 HK)

China Healthcare Weekly(Jul.13)- AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn Deal, IFBH Shares Decline Is Far from Over

High-value medical device industry is on the brink of a policy turning point. There's many uncertainties about AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn deal. IFBH...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...

Tina Banerjee

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy, but this week also saw the single largest net SOUTHBOUND sell of Alibaba since it became eligible 9mos ago. Tech...

Travis Lundy

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

11th VBP may include big variety of Sunshine Lake Pharma/Huadong/Hansoh. Anjoy's IPO is fairly priced but shares upside is limited.HEC Pharma's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO China Medical System (867 HK) - About the IPO in Singapore and Concerns on Valuation Outlook

Listing in SGX opens a new chapter and CMS is undergoing pipeline adjustments and strategic transformation. But as valuation logic changes, license...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

China Healthcare Weekly(Jul.13)- AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn Deal, IFBH Shares Decline Is Far from Over

High-value medical device industry is on the brink of a policy turning point. There's many uncertainties about AstraZeneca-Summit $15bn deal. IFBH...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharmaceutical (3692 HK): Outlicensing and Indication Expansion Of Core Drug Augur Well

​Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...

Tina Banerjee

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 4 July 2025); Volumes Up, Net Buying Up, Banks Bought, SOEs Sold

SOUTHBOUND continues to buy, but this week also saw the single largest net SOUTHBOUND sell of Alibaba since it became eligible 9mos ago. Tech...

Travis Lundy

China Healthcare Weekly (Jul.6)- Anjoy’s IPO Debut, HEC CJ Pharma's Merger with Sunshine Lake Pharma

11th VBP may include big variety of Sunshine Lake Pharma/Huadong/Hansoh. Anjoy's IPO is fairly priced but shares upside is limited.HEC Pharma's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Pre-IPO China Medical System (867 HK) - About the IPO in Singapore and Concerns on Valuation Outlook

Listing in SGX opens a new chapter and CMS is undergoing pipeline adjustments and strategic transformation. But as valuation logic changes, license...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hansoh Pharma grants license for dual GLP-1/GIP receptor agonist to Regeneron, aiming to tap global weight loss market. Flagship drug Ameile also...