Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
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If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In my <a href="https://contrariancashflows.wordpress.com/?action=user_content_redirect&amp;uuid=e742314996e7c2d14e46663ffcea8911088dbbfb7dfe058838e1cecb8a9119db&amp;blog_id=225373572&amp;post_id=1043&amp;user_id=249346012&amp;subs_id=717993283&amp;signature=c7df5dc1a93c94e6878b3b8fcd45ba31&amp;email_name=new-post&amp;user_email=researchfeed@smartkarma.com&amp;encoded_url=aHR0cHM6Ly9jb250cmFyaWFuY2FzaGZsb3dzLmNvbS8yMDI0LzEwLzAxL3BvcnRmb2xpby11cGRhdGUtc2VwdGVtYmVyLTIwMjQv" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?q=https://contrariancashflows.wordpress.com?action%3Duser_content_redirect%26uuid%3De742314996e7c2d14e46663ffcea8911088dbbfb7dfe058838e1cecb8a9119db%26blog_id%3D225373572%26post_id%3D1043%26user_id%3D249346012%26subs_id%3D717993283%26signature%3Dc7df5dc1a93c94e6878b3b8fcd45ba31%26email_name%3Dnew-post%26user_email%3Dresearchfeed@smartkarma.com%26encoded_url%3DaHR0cHM6Ly9jb250cmFyaWFuY2FzaGZsb3dzLmNvbS8yMDI0LzEwLzAxL3BvcnRmb2xpby11cGRhdGUtc2VwdGVtYmVyLTIwMjQv&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1728719913725000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3EAmMz1w7qMXy6_d6UGR91" rel="noopener">latest portfolio update</a>, I discussed the potential of investing in cyclical businesses and how shifts in a company’s business model or balance sheet can often go unnoticed by the market, creating compelling investment opportunities.</li><li>Today, I present Mattr Corp, a company that not only revamped its business model and balance sheet without receiving due recognition but also strategically repositioned itself within new end markets. This transformation aligns perfectly with all three of my key criteria for identifying attractive investments in cyclical stocks.</li><li>Mattr Corp., a Canadian industrial conglomerate, is undergoing a strategic transformation into an advanced engineering company by leveraging its extensive expertise and decades of experience in materials science for industrial applications.</li></ul>

In my latest portfolio update, I discussed the potential of investing in cyclical businesses and how shifts in a company’s business model or balance sheet can often go unnoticed by the market, creating compelling investment opportunities.Today, I present Mattr Corp, a company that not only revamped its business model and balance sheet without receiving due recognition but also strategically repositioned itself within new end markets. This transformation aligns perfectly with all three of my key criteria for identifying attractive investments in cyclical stocks.Mattr Corp., a Canadian industrial conglomerate, is undergoing a strategic transformation into an advanced engineering company by leveraging its extensive expertise and decades of experience in materials science for industrial applications.

Mattr Corp: How to Transform an Industrial Business Through Rational Capital Allocation

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our Sept.27 Compass, with the S&amp;P 500 down 11.5% during the prior two weeks, we discussed our belief that the market indexes could see a bounce/pause pause in selling.</li>
<li>The SPX and IWM have paused, and we cannot rule out a bear market rally if the 200-week MA (3590-3600) holds on the SPX, and if $162-163 holds on IWM.</li>
<li>Longer-Term, this is still a bear market until the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 can break above their respective 200-day MAs.</li>
</ul>


In our Sept.27 Compass, with the S&amp;P 500 down 11.5% during the prior two weeks, we discussed our belief that the market indexes could see a bounce/pause pause in selling.
The SPX and IWM have paused, and we cannot rule out a bear market rally if the 200-week MA (3590-3600) holds on the SPX, and if $162-163 holds on IWM.
Longer-Term, this is still a bear market until the S&amp;P 500 and Russell 2000 can break above their respective 200-day MAs.


Bear Market Until Proven Otherwise; Upgrading Industrials to Overweight; Buys Within Industrials

<p style="text-align: justify;">Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.</p>

Approaching the close of 2017, a year whose subdued volatility masked frequent rotation, we turn to Sector and Group themes that we expect to offer opportunities heading into 2018.  We discuss the likelihood of a correction and offer a number of actionable ideas within our favorite sectors; tech, financials, miners, and manufacturing.

U.S. Equity Outlook: Sector Themes & Synopsis

United States

Albany International Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets paper machine clothing. Paper machine clothing consists of large continuous belts of engineered fabrics that are installed on paper machines and carry the paper stock through each stage of the paper production process. The Company sells its products in the United States, Canada, and overseas.

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