Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Over the past five trading days, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.</li>
<li>Diagonal Spreads account for nearly 30% of all strategies. Many of these strategies sell short term risk to finance longer term protection.</li>
<li>Several structures hedge against low probability tail events. One such strategy traded 100 contracts.</li>
</ul>


Over the past five trading days, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) multi-leg option strategies showcased a variety of approaches. Strategy highlights are provided.
Diagonal Spreads account for nearly 30% of all strategies. Many of these strategies sell short term risk to finance longer term protection.
Several structures hedge against low probability tail events. One such strategy traded 100 contracts.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 70th percentile, while realized volatility exceeds 80% (96th percentile).</li>
<li>A relatively flat term structure and skew render Calendar and Diagonal Spreads interesting strategies.</li>
<li>Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across all expiries.</li>
</ul>



Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) one-month implied volatility has decreased from recent peaks but remains above the 70th percentile, while realized volatility exceeds 80% (96th percentile).
A relatively flat term structure and skew render Calendar and Diagonal Spreads interesting strategies.
Open interest extends to March 2026, with balanced call and put interest across all expiries.


Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 25th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl, Xiaomi, China Mobile, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 25th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl, Xiaomi, China Mobile, Ping An Insurance, Zijin Mining.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl, Xiaomi

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first three weeks in April were HK$168bn.</li>
<li>The fourth week (this past week) saw net outflows on low volume as SOUTHBOUND investors sold SOEs quite heavily. </li>
<li>9 of the top 10 Net Sells as % of Volume this past week had China, Beijing, or Shanghai as the first word in their name.</li>
</ul>


Q1 saw record quarterly inflows by SOUTHBOUND investors at HK$435bn, beating the previous record of Q1 2021 by more than HK$100bn. The first three weeks in April were HK$168bn.
The fourth week (this past week) saw net outflows on low volume as SOUTHBOUND investors sold SOEs quite heavily. 
9 of the top 10 Net Sells as % of Volume this past week had China, Beijing, or Shanghai as the first word in their name.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Apr 2025); First Net Sell in Ages, Led by Heavy SOE Selling

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bright-smart-securities-and" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20511:1" rel="noopener">Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)</a>'s Chairman entered a SPA with Ant Holdco to sell his 50.55% stake at HK$3.28, a 7.5% premium to the last close.</li>
<li>The SPA completion requires approval from both the NDRC and SFC. Unusually, Ant has the option of extending the long-stop date, reflecting a possibility of extra scrutiny by the regulators.</li>
<li>Under Rule 26.1 of the Code, upon completion, Ant will be required to make an unconditional mandatory cash offer at HK$3.28. The MGO price is final and a knockout offer.  </li>
</ul>



Bright Smart Securities And (1428 HK)'s Chairman entered a SPA with Ant Holdco to sell his 50.55% stake at HK$3.28, a 7.5% premium to the last close.
The SPA completion requires approval from both the NDRC and SFC. Unusually, Ant has the option of extending the long-stop date, reflecting a possibility of extra scrutiny by the regulators.
Under Rule 26.1 of the Code, upon completion, Ant will be required to make an unconditional mandatory cash offer at HK$3.28. The MGO price is final and a knockout offer.  


Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Apr 2025); First Net Sell in Ages, Led by Heavy SOE Selling

SOUTHBOUND activity low again this 4-day week. Trade tantrums not helping, but markets up despite SOUTHBOUND net selling for the first time in a...

Travis Lundy

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

The Chairman is selling out to Ant at a knockout price (HK$3.28). Completion will trigger an unconditional MGO. Timing is the key risk, which is...

Arun George

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alibaba (9988 HK): Top Trades and Strategic Insights from HKEX Options Trading

​Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba (9988 HK): Volatility Surface Favoring Diagonal and Calendar Spreads

​Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Apr 25th): Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Tencent, Meituan, Giant Biogene, Pop Mart Intl,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 25 Apr 2025); First Net Sell in Ages, Led by Heavy SOE Selling

SOUTHBOUND activity low again this 4-day week. Trade tantrums not helping, but markets up despite SOUTHBOUND net selling for the first time in a...

Travis Lundy

Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK): Ant’s Possible Unconditional MGO at HK$3.28

The Chairman is selling out to Ant at a knockout price (HK$3.28). Completion will trigger an unconditional MGO. Timing is the key risk, which is...

Arun George

Alibaba's recent live option strategies feature Diagonal Spreads and protection against low probability tail events, with one strategy trading 100...

Alibaba's volatility remains high, making Calendar and Diagonal Spreads attractive strategies. Open interest extends to 2026 with balanced call...