Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped somewhat but still high. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$35bn which is still quite strong. Round-tripping volume down 20% week-on-week.</li>
<li>The flows here are still striking. &gt;20% of the top 100 most liquid Southbound eligible stocks saw SOUTHBOUND buy more than 10% of weekly volume. </li>
<li>It feels like there is some common understanding among SOUTHBOUND investors which I do not understand. The numbers are big/growing.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes dropped somewhat but still high. NET buying by SOUTHBOUND was HK$35bn which is still quite strong. Round-tripping volume down 20% week-on-week.
The flows here are still striking. &gt;20% of the top 100 most liquid Southbound eligible stocks saw SOUTHBOUND buy more than 10% of weekly volume. 
It feels like there is some common understanding among SOUTHBOUND investors which I do not understand. The numbers are big/growing.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 Mar 2025); Big Volumes, Big Net; Tech, Banks, and Telecoms

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook</li>
<li>The weak USD, as US growth peaks and yields decline, is helping  international markets</li>
<li>Can Hong Kong and China stock markets decouple from a US bear market?</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes or outlook
The weak USD, as US growth peaks and yields decline, is helping  international markets
Can Hong Kong and China stock markets decouple from a US bear market?


Overview #18 - Tipping Point Arrived for Major Trend Changes?

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Did Trump do <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ck-hutchison-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:132:1" rel="noopener">CKH (1 HK)</a> a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?</li>
<li>An OK package for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I (3382 JP)</a>. Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill (3978 JP)</a>'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.</li>
</ul>


Did Trump do CKH (1 HK) a solid, convincing them to sell assets that have profited from international trade growth, just as Trump starts imposing tariffs on anything that moves?
An OK package for Seven &amp; I (3382 JP). Not perfect. SEI IPO's a bit dodgy. It may be designed to spur ACT into action, but isn't an awful fallback.

Macromill (3978 JP)'s Offer bumped.  If you want to make sure this deal doesn't get done, do the things you need to do to make sure it doesn't get done.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

<ul>
<li>I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three news new deals discussed this week:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/soundwill-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19318:1" rel="noopener">Soundwill Holdings (878 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oneconnect-financial-technology-co-ltd-2e580cf8-6a65-4148-ac1e-f9a8a167856a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36656:1" rel="noopener">Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snt-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3651:1" rel="noopener">Snt Corp (6319 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-delight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16763:1" rel="noopener">Aeon Delight (9787 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aeon-mall-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5262:1" rel="noopener">AEON Mall (8905 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insignia-financial-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12349:1" rel="noopener">Insignia Financial (IFL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/seven-i-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1041:1" rel="noopener">Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-art-retail-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:401:1" rel="noopener">Sun Art Retail (6808 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/macromill-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24026:1" rel="noopener">Macromill, Inc (3978 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 55 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three news new deals discussed this week:Soundwill Holdings (878 HK), Oneconnect Financial Technology (6638 HK), Snt Corp (6319 JP), Aeon Delight (9787 JP), and AEON Mall (8905 JP).
Key updates/news took place on: Insignia Financial (IFL AU), Seven &amp; I Holdings (3382 JP), Sun Art Retail (6808 HK), and Macromill, Inc (3978 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Oneconnect, Snt, Aeon Delight, AEON Mall, Insignia, 7&I, Sun Art

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Investors had hoped to see tangible benefits of Taobao / Tmall access in Q424 results</li>
<li>But revenue growth acceleration was unimpressive, and core margins fell noticeably</li>
<li>We believe its disappointing Q424 numbers will result in near-term underperformance</li>
</ul>


Investors had hoped to see tangible benefits of Taobao / Tmall access in Q424 results
But revenue growth acceleration was unimpressive, and core margins fell noticeably
We believe its disappointing Q424 numbers will result in near-term underperformance


JD Logistics Q424 Earnings: Taobao / Tmall Access Fails to Generate Expected Benefits

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 7 Mar 2025); Big Volumes, Big Net; Tech, Banks, and Telecoms

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND investors bought another HK$35bn on a net basis while trading high gross volumes again. Tech led, but banks were among the...

Travis Lundy

Overview #18 - Tipping Point Arrived for Major Trend Changes?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Can HK/China stockmarkets decouple from a US bear market

Rikki Malik

Last Week in Event SPACE: Cheung Kong, Macromill, China National Building Material, Canvest

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Oneconnect, Snt, Aeon Delight, AEON Mall, Insignia, 7&I, Sun Art

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

JD Logistics Q424 Earnings: Taobao / Tmall Access Fails to Generate Expected Benefits

JD Logistics' Q424 results showed no benefit from almost a full quarter's worth of access to Alibaba's Taobao / Tmall platforms. We believe...

Tracking Traffic

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