Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Internet retailing continues to record robust current value growth of 30% in 2017, to reach CNY3.1 trillion, although this is a deceleration after many years of dramatic growth</li><li>In GBO terms, the top two players, Alibaba Group Holding and JD.com, jointly retain the dominant position in 2017</li><li>Internet retailing is expected to maintain healthy growth over the forecast period, along with improved penetration into rural areas</li></ul>

Internet retailing continues to record robust current value growth of 30% in 2017, to reach CNY3.1 trillion, although this is a deceleration after many years of dramatic growthIn GBO terms, the top two players, Alibaba Group Holding and JD.com, jointly retain the dominant position in 2017Internet retailing is expected to maintain healthy growth over the forecast period, along with improved penetration into rural areas

Sector Capsule: Internet Retailing in China

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

In order to understand the drivers of performance among EM active managers, we create a portfolio based on the aggregated holdings of 134 global emerging market equity funds. Fund holdings and stock performance are recorded on a monthly basis and annualised to provide absolute and relative performance figures for the year.We find that underweights positions in 'Big Tech' were a key driver of relative underperformance on the year. Sound stock selection in financial stocks generated positive relative returns, and Tencent was the must-have position for 2017.

In order to understand the drivers of performance among EM active managers, we create a portfolio based on the aggregated holdings of 134 global emerging market equity funds. Fund holdings and stock performance are recorded on a monthly basis and annualised to provide absolute and relative performance figures for the year.We find that underweights positions in 'Big Tech' were a key driver of relative underperformance on the year. Sound stock selection in financial stocks generated positive relative returns, and Tencent was the must-have position for 2017.

EM Positioning Review 2017. The Key Drivers of Performance

MD, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Gu Jun, CFA

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

First week into 2018, two developments sent property stocks and related Internet stocks flying:<ol type="1" start="1">
<li class="x_MsoNormal">During the last week of 2017 and first week of 2018, three New 1st Tier Cities (Qingdao, Tianjin and Nanjing), two 2nd Tier Cities (Lanzhou and Hefei)  and several 3rd cities announced relaxation policies “disguised” as “attracting talents”. Market interpreted these cities unable to balance their fiscal budget and must resort to selling land to raise government incomes;</li>
<li class="x_MsoNormal">
Inner Mongolia Province (January…</li>
</ol>

First week into 2018, two developments sent property stocks and related Internet stocks flying:
During the last week of 2017 and first week of 2018, three New 1st Tier Cities (Qingdao, Tianjin and Nanjing), two 2nd Tier Cities (Lanzhou and Hefei)  and several 3rd cities announced relaxation policies “disguised” as “attracting talents”. Market interpreted these cities unable to balance their fiscal budget and must resort to selling land to raise government incomes;

Inner Mongolia Province (January…


Local and Central Governments' Tug over Real Estate Reform Will Shape Property and Retail Markets

Differentiated global TMT & Internet Research

New Street Research Insights

New Street Research

Research is provided by our team of experienced analysts. Our work is idea driven, based on independence of thought, sector expertise, and firmly focused on fundamentals and valuation of telecoms and internet names globally. New Street is headquartered in London with offices in New York, Singapore and Australia. 

New Street Research is an independent, partner-owned, research firm specialising in equity and debt research. Our equity research embraces the following sectors:

Pan European Telecom Services and Cable
US Telecoms, Cable, Satellite and Towers
Global Emerging Market Telecoms
Japan Telecoms
Asian Internet
Pan European Healthcare
US Healthcare
Japanese Healthcare

We also provide debt research on:
Pan European Telecom Services and Cable

Equity Bottom-Up

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/31" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> announced in mid December that it would look to enter the Japan mobile industry and would apply for spectrum in the current FY17 allocation in hopes of leveraging its MVNO (currently they have 1.4m subs) to become the fourth mobile operator. It announced plans for a ¥600bn investment out to 2025 with the focus on 4G services. At the time, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/profiles/1920" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="accounts:1920">Kirk Boodry</a> thought this would not be overly disruptive. That has not stopped share prices falling at both the incumbents and at Rakuten and…

Rakuten (4755 JP) announced in mid December that it would look to enter the Japan mobile industry and would apply for spectrum in the current FY17 allocation in hopes of leveraging its MVNO (currently they have 1.4m subs) to become the fourth mobile operator. It announced plans for a ¥600bn investment out to 2025 with the focus on 4G services. At the time, Kirk Boodry thought this would not be overly disruptive. That has not stopped share prices falling at both the incumbents and at Rakuten and…

Rakuten's Balance Sheet and Incremental Costs Limit Funding Flexibility as It Plans Mobile Entry

Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Event-Driven

The Nikkei has reported that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/315" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:315:1">Softbank (9984 JP)</a> plans an IPO of its mobile unit this year, to which management at SoftBank has replied that this is an option. The fact that SoftBank hasn’t either been able to deny this or go for the “we don’t comment on speculation” route means that talks are sufficiently advanced that, non-disclosures notwithstanding, SoftBank’s management must have discussed this with too many people for them to be unable to cauterize any leaks.The news should not come as a…

The Nikkei has reported that Softbank (9984 JP) plans an IPO of its mobile unit this year, to which management at SoftBank has replied that this is an option. The fact that SoftBank hasn’t either been able to deny this or go for the “we don’t comment on speculation” route means that talks are sufficiently advanced that, non-disclosures notwithstanding, SoftBank’s management must have discussed this with too many people for them to be unable to cauterize any leaks.The news should not come as a…

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (BABA US)

Sector Capsule: Internet Retailing in China

Internet retailing continues to record robust current value growth of 30% in 2017, to reach CNY3.1 trillion, although this is a deceleration after...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

EM Positioning Review 2017. The Key Drivers of Performance

In order to understand the drivers of performance among EM active managers, we create a portfolio based on the aggregated holdings of 134 global...

Steven Holden

Local and Central Governments' Tug over Real Estate Reform Will Shape Property and Retail Markets

First week into 2018, two developments sent property stocks and related Internet stocks flying: During the last week of 2017 and first week of...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Rakuten's Balance Sheet and Incremental Costs Limit Funding Flexibility as It Plans Mobile Entry

Rakuten (4755 JP) announced in mid December that it would look to enter the Japan mobile industry and would apply for spectrum in the current FY17...

New Street Research

SoftBank (9984) - To List Mobile Unit?

The Nikkei has reported that Softbank (9984 JP) plans an IPO of its mobile unit this year, to which management at SoftBank has replied that this is...

Pelham Smithers Associates

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