Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.</li>
<li>Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.</li>
<li>That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. </li>
</ul>


This past week saw SOUTHBOUND Connect clear HK$800bn of gross value traded, and net value was near recent highs at +HK$51bn. Consumer and finance names continue to be the rage.
Notable is the HUGE back-and-forth. If HK$800bn traded and SOUTHBOUND only bought HK$51bn, HK$375bn was round-tripped for short-term purposes.
That is twice the "excess" traded seen for the past year. Tencent (700 HK) saw US$14bn traded but net buying was US$121mm. 


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Alibaba had a super charged move this week, risking 14.56% on its earnings release.</li>
<li>We look at how price movement and volatility evolve in the month after earnings releases.</li>
<li>Recommendations are made on how to position through options in this environment of enhanced volatility.</li>
</ul>


Alibaba had a super charged move this week, risking 14.56% on its earnings release.
We look at how price movement and volatility evolve in the month after earnings releases.
Recommendations are made on how to position through options in this environment of enhanced volatility.


Alibaba – How to Position Post Earnings Amid Sticky Volatility

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>After rallying ~50% from its lows, Alibaba rallied another ~10% after reporting in-line result, despite saying it would spend more capex in the next 3 years than the previous 10; </li>
<li>Behind this performance is a sudden clarification of AI's monetization future in China. Alibaba's vision certainly has itself at the center of beneficiary, but a few other readings also exist;</li>
<li>Alibaba suggested that partial replacement of human worker is possible in a platform with structured workflow, allowing AI users to reap benefits earlier than we have anticipated. </li>
</ul>


After rallying ~50% from its lows, Alibaba rallied another ~10% after reporting in-line result, despite saying it would spend more capex in the next 3 years than the previous 10; 
Behind this performance is a sudden clarification of AI's monetization future in China. Alibaba's vision certainly has itself at the center of beneficiary, but a few other readings also exist;
Alibaba suggested that partial replacement of human worker is possible in a platform with structured workflow, allowing AI users to reap benefits earlier than we have anticipated. 


Alibaba's C4Q24 Result Says the Inflection Point of Chinese AI Has Arrived for the Capital Markets

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Total revenue growth rate continued to rise in 3Q25 ending March 2025.</li>
<li>Also, the growth rate of the largest business line, customer management, was close to double digits.</li>
<li>The upside for the next twelve months was narrowed to 18%, as Alibaba’s stock surged after our preview note.</li>
</ul>


Total revenue growth rate continued to rise in 3Q25 ending March 2025.
Also, the growth rate of the largest business line, customer management, was close to double digits.
The upside for the next twelve months was narrowed to 18%, as Alibaba’s stock surged after our preview note.


Alibaba (BABA): 3Q25, Main Business Growth Close to Double Digits

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>This Insight analyses <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> tailor-made option strategies traded over the last five trading days on the Hong Kong Exchange. Strategy highlights and volatility context are provided.</li>
<li>These traders tailor structures to risk budgets and take calculated bets. Several large box trades appeared on the ticker.</li>
<li>Expect more movement on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>'s <strong>Q3 earnings announcement tomorrow, </strong>20 February 2025. Option-implied move at the end of this Insight.</li>
</ul>


This Insight analyses Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) tailor-made option strategies traded over the last five trading days on the Hong Kong Exchange. Strategy highlights and volatility context are provided.
These traders tailor structures to risk budgets and take calculated bets. Several large box trades appeared on the ticker.
Expect more movement on Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)'s Q3 earnings announcement tomorrow, 20 February 2025. Option-implied move at the end of this Insight.


Alibaba (9988 HK): How Options Traders Are Navigating the Rally and Volatility. Top Trades.

China

Alibaba Group Holding Limited provides online sales services. The Company provides internet infrastructure, electronic commerce, online financial, and internet content services through its subsidiaries. Alibaba Group Holding offers its products and services worldwide.

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Alibaba (9988 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

Alibaba – How to Position Post Earnings Amid Sticky Volatility

Alibaba's stock surged 14.56% after earnings release, prompting analysis on post-earnings price movement and options strategies for managing...

John Ley

Alibaba's C4Q24 Result Says the Inflection Point of Chinese AI Has Arrived for the Capital Markets

Alibaba's stock surges after in-line results and plans for increased capex, driven by optimism around AI monetization potential in China and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alibaba (BABA): 3Q25, Main Business Growth Close to Double Digits

Total revenue growth rate continued to rise in 3Q25 ending March 2025. Also, the growth rate of the largest business line, customer management, was...

Ming Lu

Alibaba (9988 HK): How Options Traders Are Navigating the Rally and Volatility. Top Trades.

Analysis of tailor-made option strategies on Alibaba Group Holding with focus on risk profile and yield. Q3 earnings announcement tomorrow, option...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 21 Feb 2025); Another HUGE Jump in Value Traded, Consumer Still Bid

SOUTHBOUND volumes have popped significantly. Lots of day-trading. Still-strong net buying. Tech/Consumer and Finance are still the big net buys.

Travis Lundy

Alibaba – How to Position Post Earnings Amid Sticky Volatility

​Alibaba's stock surged 14.56% after earnings release, prompting analysis on post-earnings price movement and options strategies for managing...

John Ley

Alibaba's C4Q24 Result Says the Inflection Point of Chinese AI Has Arrived for the Capital Markets

​Alibaba's stock surges after in-line results and plans for increased capex, driven by optimism around AI monetization potential in China and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alibaba (BABA): 3Q25, Main Business Growth Close to Double Digits

Total revenue growth rate continued to rise in 3Q25 ending March 2025. Also, the growth rate of the largest business line, customer management, was...

Ming Lu

Alibaba (9988 HK): How Options Traders Are Navigating the Rally and Volatility. Top Trades.

​Analysis of tailor-made option strategies on Alibaba Group Holding with focus on risk profile and yield. Q3 earnings announcement tomorrow, option...

Gaudenz Schneider

Alibaba's stock surged 14.56% after earnings release, prompting analysis on post-earnings price movement and options strategies for managing...

Alibaba's stock surges after in-line results and plans for increased capex, driven by optimism around AI monetization potential in China and...

Analysis of tailor-made option strategies on Alibaba Group Holding with focus on risk profile and yield. Q3 earnings announcement tomorrow, option...