Independent Investment Research, The IDEA!

The IDEA!

Independent Investment Research

The Idea-Driven Equities Analyses company (the IDEA!) is an employee-owned boutique providing independent investment research and financial consultancy services with a clear focus on the Benelux countries. The company was founded in the summer of 2007 by Henk Slotboom and Maarten Verbeek, both with more than 35 years of professional experience in the financial sector. The IDEA! differentiates itself by focusing on adding value through self-initiated in-depth, idea-driven investment research, as well as by bespoke research assignments for institutional investors, hedge funds and private equity. In addition, we provide market intelligence, strategic research and – together with our business partners – consultancy services to businesses. In case you are interested in receiving more information, a sample of our products or an introductory meeting, please send a message to info@theidea.nl.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>In today's edition: • KPN | ODF scales back fiber ambitions • InPost / Allegro | antitrust office starts investigation regarding Allegro's delivery methods • DHL | Evri plans to increase its number of couriers by 5,000</li></ul>

In today's edition: • KPN | ODF scales back fiber ambitions • InPost / Allegro | antitrust office starts investigation regarding Allegro's delivery methods • DHL | Evri plans to increase its number of couriers by 5,000

What's News in Amsterdam - 11 June (KPN | InPost / Allegro | DHL)

<ul><li>In this edition: • Heineken | Femsa exits Heineken after 15 years • InPost | High Court injunction: Yodel acquisition placed on pause • InPost/PostNL/DHL | 22% Dutch online shoppers abandon shopping carts due to delivery concerns • E-commerce/E-commerce logistics | EU to impose EUR 2 tax on low-cost items from China • Consumer confidence | stabilized at 19 months’ low in May</li></ul>

In this edition: • Heineken | Femsa exits Heineken after 15 years • InPost | High Court injunction: Yodel acquisition placed on pause • InPost/PostNL/DHL | 22% Dutch online shoppers abandon shopping carts due to delivery concerns • E-commerce/E-commerce logistics | EU to impose EUR 2 tax on low-cost items from China • Consumer confidence | stabilized at 19 months’ low in May

<ul><li>In this edition: • Alfen | strong demand to develop BESS • E-commerce (logistics) sector | UK government reviewing duty-free exemption threshold</li></ul>

In this edition: • Alfen | strong demand to develop BESS • E-commerce (logistics) sector | UK government reviewing duty-free exemption threshold

What's News in Amsterdam - 29 April (Alfen | e-commerce (logistics) sector)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.</li>
<li>The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.</li>
<li>There are 154 adds and 80 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$300m.</li>
</ul>


The WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index measures the performance of emerging markets stocks that are not state-owned enterprises.
The changes at the October rebalance were announced after market close on 4 October with implementation scheduled at the close on 16 October.
There are 154 adds and 80 deletes for the index with an estimated round-trip trade of US$300m.


WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: US$300m Round-Trip Trade

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Oil & Natural Gas Corp / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.</li>
<li>We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in <em>Int’l Compass</em> and <em>ETF Pathfinder</em> reports throughout 2023.</li>
<li>Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.</li>
</ul>


MSCI EM (EEM-US) has continued to hold above our $37-$37.50 line-in-the-sand, meaning we are constructive from a price perspective.
We have maintained an underweight to emerging markets, and we are overweight developed international (MSCI EAFE, Europe, Japan) as discussed in in Int’l Compass and ETF Pathfinder reports throughout 2023.
Still, there are plenty of attractive countries and Sectors within the EM landscape, which is what we are focusing on today.


EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

Poland

Allegro.eu SA operates shopping e-commerce platform. The Company offers products in categories such as automotive, fashion, home and garden, electronics, books and collectibles, and health and beauty. Allegro.eu serves customers in Europe.

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Allegro.eu (ALE PW)

What's News in Amsterdam - 11 June (KPN | InPost / Allegro | DHL)

In today's edition: • KPN | ODF scales back fiber ambitions • InPost / Allegro | antitrust office starts investigation regarding Allegro's...

The IDEA!

Zalando SE - What's News in Amsterdam

In this edition: • Heineken | Femsa exits Heineken after 15 years • InPost | High Court injunction: Yodel acquisition placed on...

The IDEA!

What's News in Amsterdam - 29 April (Alfen | e-commerce (logistics) sector)

In this edition: • Alfen | strong demand to develop BESS • E-commerce (logistics) sector | UK government reviewing duty-free exemption threshold

The IDEA!

WisdomTree Emerging Markets Ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index Rebalance: US$300m Round-Trip Trade

There are 154 adds/80 deletes for the WisdomTree Emerging Markets ex-State-Owned Enterprises Index. Round-trip trade is US$300m. There have been...

Brian Freitas

EM Strategy: MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving-Overweight; Overweights: Taiwan, India, Mexico

MSCI EM Financials & Energy Improving -- Upgrading to Overweight; MSCI EM Technology remains an Overweight. Top Country Overweights: Taiwan, India,...

Vermilion Research

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