IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.afr.com/street-talk/minres-selling-14-5pc-of-azure-minerals-jpm-nabs-trade-20240221-p5f6ta" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AFR reports</a> that JPMorgan is selling 14.5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a> shares at A$3.42. The primary seller is said to be <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mineral-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15103:1" rel="noopener">Mineral Resources (MIN AU)</a>, seeking to exit.</li>
<li>MinRes' decision to sell out a discount rather than accept the scheme A$3.70 offer reflects the cost of securing a say on Andover and the opportunity cost of capital. </li>
<li>The transaction booklet will be despatched in early March. At the last close and for an early May scheme payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/13.4%. </li>
</ul>


The AFR reports that JPMorgan is selling 14.5% of Azure Minerals (AZS AU) shares at A$3.42. The primary seller is said to be Mineral Resources (MIN AU), seeking to exit.
MinRes' decision to sell out a discount rather than accept the scheme A$3.70 offer reflects the cost of securing a say on Andover and the opportunity cost of capital. 
The transaction booklet will be despatched in early March. At the last close and for an early May scheme payment, the gross/annualised spread is 2.5%/13.4%. 


Azure Minerals (AZS AU): MinRes Selling Out Paves the Way for the Scheme

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal discussed this week on Smartkarma: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tdcx-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34187:1" rel="noopener">TDCX (TDCX US)</a>'s MBO.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taisho-pharmaceutical-holdin" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3774:1" rel="noopener">Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benesse-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12877:1" rel="noopener">Benesse Holdings (9783 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijtt-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19461:1" rel="noopener">IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 45 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal discussed this week on Smartkarma: TDCX (TDCX US)'s MBO.
Key updates took place on: Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Taisho Pharmaceutical Holdin (4581 JP), Benesse Holdings (9783 JP), and IJTT Co., Ltd. (7315 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: TDCX, Orecorp, T&K Toka, Taisho Pharma, Benesse, IJTT

<ul>
<li>Stay long in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hs-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7311:1" rel="noopener">HS Holdings (8699 JP)</a>.But beware. It is possible that there is a slightly uncomfortable outcome. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:992:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Pharm (068760 KS)</a> is up 37% since the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:991:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/celltrion-healthcare-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23641:1" rel="noopener">Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS)</a> merger completed; and Inc is up 22%. That's A LOT of expectation baked in. </li>
<li>NEW NISA details are cute, but governance and corporate buybacks matter more. If better education induces a swing from cash/deposits to risky assets, much of that will happen outside NISA.</li>
</ul>


Stay long in HS Holdings (8699 JP).But beware. It is possible that there is a slightly uncomfortable outcome. 

Celltrion Pharm (068760 KS) is up 37% since the Celltrion Inc (068270 KS)/Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS) merger completed; and Inc is up 22%. That's A LOT of expectation baked in. 
NEW NISA details are cute, but governance and corporate buybacks matter more. If better education induces a swing from cash/deposits to risky assets, much of that will happen outside NISA.


Last Week in Event SPACE: HS Holdings, Celltrion Pharm, NISA, PICC/PICC P&C

<ul>
<li>I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>Two new deals discussed this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aoki-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2993:1" rel="noopener">AOKI Holdings (8214 JP)</a>'s MBO and in-specied-triggered MTO got <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-express-thailand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29253:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 50 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
Two new deals discussed this week: AOKI Holdings (8214 JP)'s MBO and in-specied-triggered MTO got Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB).
Key updates took place on: JOYY (YY US), Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)and Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Aoki, Kerry Express Thailand, JOYY, Tietto Mins, Pact Group

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue, Macquarie, Allkem, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Dec 22nd (reported today) which has an aggregated short interest worth USD19.9bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue, Macquarie, Allkem, Santos.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue

Australia

Allkem Limited operates as a specialty lithium chemicals company. The Company's portfolio includes lithium brine and borax operations in Argentina, a hard-rock lithium operation in Australia and a lithium hydroxide conversion facility in Japan.

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Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)

Azure Minerals (AZS AU): MinRes Selling Out Paves the Way for the Scheme

MinRes' decision to sell out a discount reflects the cost of securing a say on Andover and the opportunity cost of capital. At the last close and...

Arun George

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: TDCX, Orecorp, T&K Toka, Taisho Pharma, Benesse, IJTT

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: HS Holdings, Celltrion Pharm, NISA, PICC/PICC P&C

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Aoki, Kerry Express Thailand, JOYY, Tietto Mins, Pact Group

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Dec 22nd): BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in BHP, Wisetech Global, Woodside Energy, Telstra,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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