Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Japan has a solid if stagnant footwear market, yet it only has one compelling nationwide footwear retailer.</li>
<li>ABC Mart continues to outperform its smaller rivals, with little competition as its main rivals decline further.</li>
<li>The real competition is coming from brands selling directly to customers via their own stores and online – and low-cost retailers nipping at its heels from below.</li>
</ul>


Japan has a solid if stagnant footwear market, yet it only has one compelling nationwide footwear retailer.
ABC Mart continues to outperform its smaller rivals, with little competition as its main rivals decline further.
The real competition is coming from brands selling directly to customers via their own stores and online – and low-cost retailers nipping at its heels from below.


Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.</li>
<li>FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. </li>
<li>We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.</li>
</ul>


The following is an in-depth review of the Japanese retail sector in 2021-22 and is designed to provide a complete overview for any investor in Japanese retail/consumer markets.
FY2021-22 proved a rebound year for retailers at the sector level. But on a company by company basis, there has been radical divergence between the best and the rest. 
We look at the reasons for this divergence and the implications for Japanese retail and consumer firms in the years ahead.


Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

<ul>
<li>TSI seems to be following a strategy of diversify or die. It is using its vast cash resources to invest in and build new businesses with some success.</li>
<li>But it also has a couple of compelling brands in strong growth sectors, particularly in golf, providing growth of nearly 50% last year in one case.</li>
<li>This isn't enough to sustain overall growth however and more needs to be done to get on to a more secure footing.</li>
</ul>


TSI seems to be following a strategy of diversify or die. It is using its vast cash resources to invest in and build new businesses with some success.
But it also has a couple of compelling brands in strong growth sectors, particularly in golf, providing growth of nearly 50% last year in one case.
This isn't enough to sustain overall growth however and more needs to be done to get on to a more secure footing.


Japan Apparel Diversification: TSI Tries New Markets

<ul>
<li>Decathlon entered the Japanese retail market in 2017 with the opportunity to take a significant share of a growing sports and athleisure sector.</li>
<li>But the French firm is already retreating: it will close its two stores and focus on online and wholesaling. </li>
<li>The market is poorer for but it does leave the market wide open for Workman – which built a consumer chain to combat Decathlon – to become dominant.</li>
</ul>


Decathlon entered the Japanese retail market in 2017 with the opportunity to take a significant share of a growing sports and athleisure sector.
But the French firm is already retreating: it will close its two stores and focus on online and wholesaling. 
The market is poorer for but it does leave the market wide open for Workman – which built a consumer chain to combat Decathlon – to become dominant.


Workman Wins as Decathlon Closes Japan Stores

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>TSI Holdings has long had a lot of cash and securities but a dearth of income. It's still that way.</li>
<li>Earnings were pretty good, but forecasts disappointing. The MTP is much more aggressive. </li>
<li>The company has an EV/Revenue of 0.03x and EV/EBITDA of 0.5x. THEN it has a lot more interesting stuff hidden away. This could double or more in two years.</li>
</ul>


TSI Holdings has long had a lot of cash and securities but a dearth of income. It's still that way.
Earnings were pretty good, but forecasts disappointing. The MTP is much more aggressive. 
The company has an EV/Revenue of 0.03x and EV/EBITDA of 0.5x. THEN it has a lot more interesting stuff hidden away. This could double or more in two years.


TSI Holdings (3608) - That Old Gem - Lots of Visible Cash, and Lots More Invisible Cash

Japan

Alpen Co., Ltd. develops and sells sports products including golf, tennis, marine and baseball products based in Aichi.  The Company also operates ski resorts and golf courses.

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Alpen Co Ltd (3028 JP)

ABC Mart Expands Lead in Footwear

Despite a stagnant market, ABC Mart remains dominant in Japan's footwear industry, although it is now facing competition from direct brand sales...

Michael Causton

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Japan Apparel Diversification: TSI Tries New Markets

TSI had a better 2021 than its peers but only thanks to golf. More work is being done and it has some interesting new ventures but growth may not...

Michael Causton

Workman Wins as Decathlon Closes Japan Stores

Workman has won the battle for Japan's low price sports and outdoor market. Decathlon is in retreat and no other retailer comes close on cost...

Michael Causton

TSI Holdings (3608) - That Old Gem - Lots of Visible Cash, and Lots More Invisible Cash

TSI Holdings is a long-time value name. It has a bigger portfolio, still has low ROE high CF, and LOTS of financial assets. At 0.03x EV/rev +...

Travis Lundy

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

ABC Mart Expands Lead in Footwear

​Despite a stagnant market, ABC Mart remains dominant in Japan's footwear industry, although it is now facing competition from direct brand sales...

Michael Causton

Japanese Retailing 2021-22: What's Really Going on and What's Next?

There is increasing divergence between the winners and losers in Japanese retailing and the following in-depth review looks at performance in the...

Michael Causton

Japan Apparel Diversification: TSI Tries New Markets

TSI had a better 2021 than its peers but only thanks to golf. More work is being done and it has some interesting new ventures but growth may not...

Michael Causton

Workman Wins as Decathlon Closes Japan Stores

Workman has won the battle for Japan's low price sports and outdoor market. Decathlon is in retreat and no other retailer comes close on cost...

Michael Causton

TSI Holdings (3608) - That Old Gem - Lots of Visible Cash, and Lots More Invisible Cash

TSI Holdings is a long-time value name. It has a bigger portfolio, still has low ROE high CF, and LOTS of financial assets. At 0.03x EV/rev +...

Travis Lundy

Despite a stagnant market, ABC Mart remains dominant in Japan's footwear industry, although it is now facing competition from direct brand sales...