Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we provided the most recent ranking of the top 100 most popular YouTube channels in Korea (according to Socialblade website).</li>
<li>The top 100 YouTube channels in Korea have received 390.7 billion in total views as of June 2023. Of these total views, K-Pop channels views accounted for 46.4% share.</li>
<li>YouTube has been meaningfully taking away market share from Kakao and Naver in the past three years. KakaoTalk's MAU was 41.5 million in May 2023. YouTube was a close second.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we provided the most recent ranking of the top 100 most popular YouTube channels in Korea (according to Socialblade website).
The top 100 YouTube channels in Korea have received 390.7 billion in total views as of June 2023. Of these total views, K-Pop channels views accounted for 46.4% share.
YouTube has been meaningfully taking away market share from Kakao and Naver in the past three years. KakaoTalk's MAU was 41.5 million in May 2023. YouTube was a close second.


Analysis of Top 100 Korean YouTube Channels + Significant Market Share Gains for YouTube in Korea

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>Japan and US Central Banks continue to add fuel to the monetary fire</li>
<li>China consumption weakness is likely to spur a tangible response in the New Year</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook
Japan and US Central Banks continue to add fuel to the monetary fire
China consumption weakness is likely to spur a tangible response in the New Year


Overview #43 – Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>On an FX adjusted basis, Alphabet increased its revenue by 14% in 1Q’25 (~200 bps headwind from FX).</li><li>For the 11th consecutive quarters, Google network’s revenue went down.</li><li>Just when regulators are lambasting Google for their network business in court, it keeps dwindling to oblivion. </li></ul>

On an FX adjusted basis, Alphabet increased its revenue by 14% in 1Q’25 (~200 bps headwind from FX).For the 11th consecutive quarters, Google network’s revenue went down.Just when regulators are lambasting Google for their network business in court, it keeps dwindling to oblivion. 

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI applications in niche segments should see continued momentum.</li><li>We are optimistic about the further monetization potential driven by improved AI agent capabilities, as well as increased paid user penetration and monetization from advanced image editing and video generation LLMs.</li><li>We currently do not anticipate overinvestment risks among cloud service providers, and expect 2026 earnings growth of US-listed leaders to support their valuations. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI applications in niche segments should see continued momentum.We are optimistic about the further monetization potential driven by improved AI agent capabilities, as well as increased paid user penetration and monetization from advanced image editing and video generation LLMs.We currently do not anticipate overinvestment risks among cloud service providers, and expect 2026 earnings growth of US-listed leaders to support their valuations. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

<ul><li>Alphabet reported 4Q24 results: net revenue (excl. TAC) grew by 13% YoY to US$81.6bn, and net income increased by 28% YoY to US$26.5bn, both in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate.</li><li>FY24 net income was up by 36% YoY to US$100.1bn, primarily due to the enhanced operating efficiency and savings of exit charges related to the global office space optimization.</li><li>Looking ahead, management guided total capex to reach c.US$75bn in FY25E (+43% YoY) and expected headcount growth in key areas such as AI and cloud, which will impact the margin outlook in FY25E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alphabet reported 4Q24 results: net revenue (excl. TAC) grew by 13% YoY to US$81.6bn, and net income increased by 28% YoY to US$26.5bn, both in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate.FY24 net income was up by 36% YoY to US$100.1bn, primarily due to the enhanced operating efficiency and savings of exit charges related to the global office space optimization.Looking ahead, management guided total capex to reach c.US$75bn in FY25E (+43% YoY) and expected headcount growth in key areas such as AI and cloud, which will impact the margin outlook in FY25E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Increase AI Investment to Unlock Growth Opportunities in FY25

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOG US)

Overview #43 – Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Central Banks continue to aid the commodity trade while China takes aim...

Rikki Malik

Alphabet 1Q'25 Update

On an FX adjusted basis, Alphabet increased its revenue by 14% in 1Q’25 (~200 bps headwind from FX).For the 11th consecutive quarters, Google...

MBI Deep Dives

US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI...

CMB International

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Increase AI Investment to Unlock Growth Opportunities in FY25

Alphabet reported 4Q24 results: net revenue (excl. TAC) grew by 13% YoY to US$81.6bn, and net income increased by 28% YoY to US$26.5bn, both in...

CMB International

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52-week Range

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Analysis of Top 100 Korean YouTube Channels + Significant Market Share Gains for YouTube in Korea

In this insight, we analyze the most recent ranking of the top 100 most popular YouTube channels in Korea (according to Socialblade website).

Douglas Kim

Overview #43 – Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. Central Banks continue to aid the commodity trade while China takes aim...

Rikki Malik

Alphabet 1Q'25 Update

On an FX adjusted basis, Alphabet increased its revenue by 14% in 1Q’25 (~200 bps headwind from FX).For the 11th consecutive quarters, Google...

MBI Deep Dives

US Internet & Software - 2026 outlook: AI applications to ramp up; eyes on AI investment return

Looking ahead to 2026, we believe competition in the large language model (LLM) industry will further intensify, while monetization of AI...

CMB International

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Increase AI Investment to Unlock Growth Opportunities in FY25

Alphabet reported 4Q24 results: net revenue (excl. TAC) grew by 13% YoY to US$81.6bn, and net income increased by 28% YoY to US$26.5bn, both in...

CMB International