China New Economy Equity Analyst, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Robert McKay

China New Economy Equity Analyst

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.</li>
<li>Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.</li>
<li>To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> to benefit first.</li>
</ul>


US semiconductor restrictions are limiting China's access to advanced AI accelerators, causing a widening gap in AI compute. The US will expand its lead over China to ~7x by 2025.
Although China has domestic alternatives, bottlenecks due to separate US restrictions on semiconductor equipment are hindering yields and capacity expansions, effectively limiting China’s capacity to train state-of-the-art AI models.
To maximize AI compute, Huawei will likely curtail smartphone semiconductors in favor of AI accelerators. We expect manufacturers offering mid-end Android devices like Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) to benefit first.


Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.</li>
<li>Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.</li>
<li>YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.</li>
</ul>


Alphabet’s revenue jumped 14% YoY to $84.74B, exceeding the $84.19B forecast, fueled by strong digital ad sales and cloud services demand.
Net income rose 28.6% to $23.6B, surpassing the $22.9B estimate, reflecting effective cost management and revenue growth despite margin concerns.
YouTube’s ad revenue fell short of expectations, growing slower than Q1 due to increased competition and tougher year-on-year comparisons, impacting overall share performance.


Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Alphabet reported 2Q24 financial results: total revenue increased by 14% YoY to US$84.7bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate; net income grew by 29% YoY to US$23.6bn, 3% ahead of the consensus estimate, mainly due to management’s effort to moderate expenses growth and slow down the pace of hiring.</li><li>Looking ahead to 3Q24, we expect the high base to take a toll on revenue growth rate.</li><li>We also expect 3Q24 OPM to start reflecting the increase in depreciation and expenses related to tech infrastructure investment, as noted by management. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Alphabet reported 2Q24 financial results: total revenue increased by 14% YoY to US$84.7bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate; net income grew by 29% YoY to US$23.6bn, 3% ahead of the consensus estimate, mainly due to management’s effort to moderate expenses growth and slow down the pace of hiring.Looking ahead to 3Q24, we expect the high base to take a toll on revenue growth rate.We also expect 3Q24 OPM to start reflecting the increase in depreciation and expenses related to tech infrastructure investment, as noted by management. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Inline 2Q24 Results; GenAI Gains Traction

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives, MBI Deep Dives

MBI Deep Dives

Mostly Borrowed Ideas Deep Dives

MBI is the abbreviation for “Mostly Borrowed Ideas”. Why “Mostly Borrowed Ideas?” As a generalist, I do not have a background in any particular sector. I enjoy navigating across industries, businesses, and countries to learn, understand, and connect the dots. In any case, most ideas and innovations are incremental in nature. Very few of us are smart enough to come up with truly original or groundbreaking ideas. I am Abdullah Al-Rezwan. I was born and brought up in Bangladesh. I went to University of Dhaka for my undergrad and majored in Finance. After working three and half years in Equity Research (Sell-side) covering Financial Sector in Bangladesh, I left Bangladesh to pursue my MBA in the US. I graduated within top 10% of the class from Cornell University's two-year MBA program and worked on the buy-side following my graduation. During my time at Cornell, I won two stock pitch competitions and also became finalists in four other competitions. I thoroughly enjoyed my stint as a generalist in the US large cap team at Madison Investments and covered a wide range of companies from UnitedHealth to Amazon and Boeing before US immigration reality paused my career in investment management. As my work authorization expired, I moved to Canada in January, 2021. Then in early 2022, I was able to return to the US.

<ul><li>Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications for the broader market.</li><li>Network segment continues to struggle, but the rest of the businesses continue to grow at healthy double digit rate.</li><li>Search revenue growth surpassed YouTube ads revenue growth last quarter. For the first time, Cloud posted &gt;$10 Bn quarter while maintaining high 20s growth YoY.</li></ul>

Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications for the broader market.Network segment continues to struggle, but the rest of the businesses continue to grow at healthy double digit rate.Search revenue growth surpassed YouTube ads revenue growth last quarter. For the first time, Cloud posted &gt;$10 Bn quarter while maintaining high 20s growth YoY.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.</li>
<li>Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range.
Amer Sports is a sports and outdoor brands company making clothing and other sporting equipment for use in snow sports, running, climbing, baseball, american football, tennis and other sports.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and deal dynamics.


Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

United States

Alphabet, Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Alphabet (GOOG US)

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

Alphabet’s Q2 earnings report reveals a 14% revenue increase to $84.74B and a 28.6% net income rise to $23.6B. Despite this, shares fell 2% post...

Mint Finance

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Inline 2Q24 Results; GenAI Gains Traction

Alphabet reported 2Q24 financial results: total revenue increased by 14% YoY to US$84.7bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate

CMB International

Alphabet 2Q'24 Update

Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications...

MBI Deep Dives

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Demand for AI Chips Might Cut Huawei's Smartphone Semiconductor Short

​US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Alphabet Surges Past Q2 Expectations, Boosted by Digital Ads and Cloud Growth

Alphabet’s Q2 earnings report reveals a 14% revenue increase to $84.74B and a 28.6% net income rise to $23.6B. Despite this, shares fell 2% post...

Mint Finance

Alphabet (GOOG US) - Inline 2Q24 Results; GenAI Gains Traction

Alphabet reported 2Q24 financial results: total revenue increased by 14% YoY to US$84.7bn, in line with Bloomberg consensus estimate

CMB International

Alphabet 2Q'24 Update

Yesterday’s Google’s earnings may have been bit of “meh” at first glance, but there were nuggets in the call that may have important implications...

MBI Deep Dives

Amer Sports IPO Lock-Up Expiry - PE Investor Might Look to Trim US$750m Stake

Amer Sports (AS US) raised around US$1.3bn in its US IPO in Feb 2024, after pricing its IPO below its initial range. Its pre-IPO investors will be...

Sumeet Singh

US AI accelerator and wafer equipment restrictions are widening the US/China AI compute gap. Expect Huawei to curtail smartphone IC in favor of AI...