Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.</li><li>In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.</li><li>Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.</li></ul>

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter.In Q4, retail was once again the largest contributor to year-over-year growth in the company's advertising business.Whether through insights, automation, or new features, Alphabet has been working nonstop to help businesses connect with their customers more easily.

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Algosun Global

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>This year the market presents investors with opportunities, especially in the technology sector, and we believe VC-backed Amplitude is one of them. </li>
<li>The market cap of the leading product and data analytics unicorn fell to ~$2.3B, keeping in mind last private round valuation was ~$4B in June of 2021. </li>
<li>$21 valuation, based on ~10x 2022E EV/Revenue and ~8x 2023E EV/Revenue, applies to our bear case revenue estimates of $226M in CY22 and $287M in CY23.</li>
</ul>


This year the market presents investors with opportunities, especially in the technology sector, and we believe VC-backed Amplitude is one of them. 
The market cap of the leading product and data analytics unicorn fell to ~$2.3B, keeping in mind last private round valuation was ~$4B in June of 2021. 
$21 valuation, based on ~10x 2022E EV/Revenue and ~8x 2023E EV/Revenue, applies to our bear case revenue estimates of $226M in CY22 and $287M in CY23.


Amplitude – Our Stock Pick With Huge Upside Potential

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst, Obex Capital Research

Aaron Gabin

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research Analyst

TMT & Consumer Independent Equity Research

Obex Capital Research

“Obex” is Latin for Barriers to Entry. Obex Capital Management’s investment philosophy is driven by an intense focus on which business model’s Barriers to Entry are able to withstand the ever increasing competitive disruption in the TMT and Consumer Sectors.

<ul>
<li>Prime price increased, Covid expenses starting to moderate, margins set to rise.</li>
<li>Fulfillment buildout moderates, 1-day shipping can now launch more widely, share gains will ensue, revenue growth will reaccelerate.</li>
<li>We reiterate Amazon as our Top 2022 long idea. We think its worth $6,000.</li>
</ul>


Prime price increased, Covid expenses starting to moderate, margins set to rise.
Fulfillment buildout moderates, 1-day shipping can now launch more widely, share gains will ensue, revenue growth will reaccelerate.
We reiterate Amazon as our Top 2022 long idea. We think its worth $6,000.


Amazon 4Q21: Don’t Call It a Comeback, We’ve Been Here (Investing) For Years

<ul>
<li>Snapchat largely dispelled the Apple bear case, and should return to the mid $60s.</li>
<li>Actual competitive differentiation vs. TikTok and Facebook means Snapchat's user growth and engagement remain strong.</li>
<li>Revenue growth will reaccelerate as it works through IDFA, but international monetization is the kicker.</li>
</ul>


Snapchat largely dispelled the Apple bear case, and should return to the mid $60s.
Actual competitive differentiation vs. TikTok and Facebook means Snapchat's user growth and engagement remain strong.
Revenue growth will reaccelerate as it works through IDFA, but international monetization is the kicker.


Snapchat 4Q21: A Quick Turnaround…And Why Facebook Didn’t Snapback

<ul>
<li>5 Issues: Tough Comps, Supply Chain Disruptions, Reels MixShift, Apple IDFA, and TikTok...thats alot of issues</li>
<li>TikTok is pressuring engagement and Google is taking Facebook's advertising revenues.</li>
<li>Strong management team with history of executing at a trough valuation provides a good entry point. But may make more sense to just buy Google.</li>
</ul>


5 Issues: Tough Comps, Supply Chain Disruptions, Reels MixShift, Apple IDFA, and TikTok...thats alot of issues
TikTok is pressuring engagement and Google is taking Facebook's advertising revenues.
Strong management team with history of executing at a trough valuation provides a good entry point. But may make more sense to just buy Google.


Facebook 4Q21: Trending on TikTok ‘How to Lose $200B in Market Cap’

United States

Alphabet Inc. operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides web-based search, advertisements, maps, software applications, mobile operating systems, consumer content, enterprise solutions, commerce, and hardware products.

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Alphabet (GOOGL US)

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter. In Q4, retail was...

Baptista Research

Amplitude – Our Stock Pick With Huge Upside Potential

Our fundamental analysis suggests that Amplitude stock has a limited downside potential and is trading at a significant discount valuation to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

Amazon 4Q21: Don’t Call It a Comeback, We’ve Been Here (Investing) For Years

Reaccelerating growth, better than expected margins and FCF in 2022-2023, and a catchup trade on the come. We reiterate Amazon as our Top 2022 long...

Aaron Gabin

Snapchat 4Q21: A Quick Turnaround…And Why Facebook Didn’t Snapback

With Snapchat's LT thesis restored, we would buy the stock even up 50%. A return to its 5 yr P/S average of 14x would equate to $66 on 2023 revenues.

Aaron Gabin

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alphabet Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

Alphabet delivered a decent quarter and saw a particularly good performance in Google Services revenues in the fourth quarter. In Q4, retail was...

Baptista Research

Amplitude – Our Stock Pick With Huge Upside Potential

Our fundamental analysis suggests that Amplitude stock has a limited downside potential and is trading at a significant discount valuation to peers.

Andrei Zakharov

Amazon 4Q21: Don’t Call It a Comeback, We’ve Been Here (Investing) For Years

Reaccelerating growth, better than expected margins and FCF in 2022-2023, and a catchup trade on the come. We reiterate Amazon as our Top 2022 long...

Aaron Gabin

Snapchat 4Q21: A Quick Turnaround…And Why Facebook Didn’t Snapback

With Snapchat's LT thesis restored, we would buy the stock even up 50%. A return to its 5 yr P/S average of 14x would equate to $66 on 2023 revenues.

Aaron Gabin

Facebook 4Q21: Trending on TikTok ‘How to Lose $200B in Market Cap’

TikTok's threat doesn’t impact the wave of monetization opportunities related to commerce, messaging, and the metaverse. FB trading at the same...

Aaron Gabin