HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs / Equity Bottom-Up

Since 2021, if you want to ask which sector in the healthcare industry has outstanding performance, the medical beauty sector is definitely the one. Looking at the leading companies in this sector, the market cap and P/E ratio of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomage-biotechnology-corporation-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30390:1" rel="noopener">Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation-A (688363 CH)</a> by the end of May 28, 2021 were RMB121 billion and 175, respectively. For <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/imeik-technology-development-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32170:1" rel="noopener">Imeik Technology Development (300896 CH)</a>, they were RMB142 billion and 250, respectively. Both were at high end and very expensive. Here is another company, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sihuan-pharmaceutical-hldgs" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33:1" rel="noopener">Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK)</a>, whose share price was up over 318% since the beginning of 2021 on the back of its medical beauty business, with market cap of HK$32.5 billion and P/E ratio of 57.17, which is pretty eye-catching. So could the medical beauty business revalue the Company? This insight mainly analyzed the business outlook and the concerns.

Since 2021, if you want to ask which sector in the healthcare industry has outstanding performance, the medical beauty sector is definitely the one. Looking at the leading companies in this sector, the market cap and P/E ratio of Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation-A (688363 CH) by the end of May 28, 2021 were RMB121 billion and 175, respectively. For Imeik Technology Development (300896 CH), they were RMB142 billion and 250, respectively. Both were at high end and very expensive. Here is another company, Sihuan Pharmaceutical Hldgs (460 HK), whose share price was up over 318% since the beginning of 2021 on the back of its medical beauty business, with market cap of HK$32.5 billion and P/E ratio of 57.17, which is pretty eye-catching. So could the medical beauty business revalue the Company? This insight mainly analyzed the business outlook and the concerns.

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - Optimistic in the Short Term but Conservative in the Long Term

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.</li>
<li>The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.</li>
<li>From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year</li>
</ul>Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygeia-healthcare-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28875:1" rel="noopener">Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cspc-pharmaceutical-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:229:1" rel="noopener">CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK)</a>.Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

Industry viewpoints:
Medical institutions in 10 provinces (municipalities and autonomous regions) have implemented the alliance volume-based purchase (VBP) of commonly used drugs and drugs that in short supply.
The COVID-19 vaccine has entered the second half of development.
From January to April this year, the number of CDE acceptance increased significantly compared with the same period last year
Company news:News about the updated M&amp;A deal and new progress on drugs of Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK), Luye Pharma (2186 HK) and CSPC Pharmaceutical Group (1093 HK).Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share increased 0.9%, while CSI 300 increased 3.64% over the same period of time. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beigene-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27352:1" rel="noopener">BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innovent-biologics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27452:1" rel="noopener">Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-junshi-bioscience-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27760:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)</a>) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/akeso-biopharma-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28830:1" rel="noopener">Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK)</a> could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

At present, although the competition of PD-1/PD-L1 is becoming more and more fierce in China, it has to be admitted that, compared with the global market share of about 55%, domestic monoclonal antibodies only occupy 6% of the biopharmaceutical market share, so there is still a broad space and growth potential. Meanwhile, with PD-1/PD-L1 products of the domestic top four companies (Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), BeiGene Ltd (6160 HK), Innovent Biologics Inc (1801 HK) and Shanghai Junshi Bioscience Co. Ltd. (1877 HK)) being included in medical insurance catalogue, the pricing of PD-1/PD-L1 products of these four companies would be the ceiling for all subsequent homogeneous enterprises. The only companies that are capable of joining the competition are those with the best products and strong commercialization capability. Actually, Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926 HK) could be the very one to challenge the top four. Besides, as a competitive and strong biotech company, Akeso is also moving in the direction of a Big Pharma.

Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

With the gradual marketing of biological drugs, almost all of the world's top ten blockbuster drugs were dominated by biological drugs. From the global total sales of blockbuster drugs announced in 2020, the top three were AbbVie's Humira ($19,832 million sales in 2020), Merck’s Keytruda ($14,380 million sales in 2020) and BMS’s Revlimid ($12,106 million sales in 2020). Throughout the world, biological drugs have become the main direction of future development. In China, domestic pharmaceutical enterprises have also laid out biological drug products in their pipelines. The following mainly analyzed the development situation and investment opportunities in this market.

With the gradual marketing of biological drugs, almost all of the world's top ten blockbuster drugs were dominated by biological drugs. From the global total sales of blockbuster drugs announced in 2020, the top three were AbbVie's Humira ($19,832 million sales in 2020), Merck’s Keytruda ($14,380 million sales in 2020) and BMS’s Revlimid ($12,106 million sales in 2020). Throughout the world, biological drugs have become the main direction of future development. In China, domestic pharmaceutical enterprises have also laid out biological drug products in their pipelines. The following mainly analyzed the development situation and investment opportunities in this market. 

Industry Report - Insights on China Biological Drug Market

1. Industry viewpoints:<ul>
<li>Recently, there is news that insulin could be included in the volume-based purchase (VBP).</li>
<li>With the continuous improvement of the innovation capability of domestic pharmaceutical enterprises and the gradual recognition by foreign enterprises, "going global" has gradually become a common way in the domestic pharmaceutical industry.</li>
<li>As the residents' medical expenses continue to increase, commercial health insurance has become an important part to relieve the pressure of medical insurance fund.</li>
</ul>2. Company news:News about the new agreement and updated progress of new drugs from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphamab-oncology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28213:1" rel="noopener">Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/luye-pharma-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:488:1" rel="noopener">Luye Pharma (2186 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/remegen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29191:1" rel="noopener">Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK)</a>.3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 3.7%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.21% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

1. Industry viewpoints:
Recently, there is news that insulin could be included in the volume-based purchase (VBP).
With the continuous improvement of the innovation capability of domestic pharmaceutical enterprises and the gradual recognition by foreign enterprises, "going global" has gradually become a common way in the domestic pharmaceutical industry.
As the residents' medical expenses continue to increase, commercial health insurance has become an important part to relieve the pressure of medical insurance fund.
2. Company news:News about the new agreement and updated progress of new drugs from Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK), Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK), Luye Pharma (2186 HK) and Remegen Co Ltd (9995 HK).3. Market review:Last week, stock price for healthcare sector in A share decreased 3.7%, while CSI 300 decreased 2.21% over the same period of time.4. Risk disclosure:Policy risk, R&amp;D risk, Company risk and COVID-19 risk.

China

Alphamab Oncology produces and sells drugs. The Company manufactures and sells tumor immunobiology macromolecular targeted drug and other products. Alphamab Oncology provides services worldwide.

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Alphamab Co Ltd (9966 HK)

Sihuan Pharmaceutical (460.HK) - Optimistic in the Short Term but Conservative in the Long Term

The medical beauty business outlook with high certainty is the main reason for the share price to rise three times this year.However, there are...

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China Healthcare Weekly (May.28)

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Akeso Biopharma Inc (9926.HK) - Could Be the Very One to Challenge the “Top Four”

This article mainly analyzed Akeso in terms of its core product candidates AK-105, AK-104, AK-112, AK-101, the potential, the business outlook, and...

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Industry Report - Insights on China Biological Drug Market

The article analyzed China biological drug market in terms of monoclonal antibody, bispecific antibody,ADC,domestic application to NMPA and also...

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China Healthcare Weekly (Mar.12)

The article analyzed viewpoints of potential VBP on insulin, internationalization of domestic pharmaceutical companies, commercial health...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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