Japan TMT Analyst

Pelham Smithers

Market Intel on Asian Tech with a Japan focus

Pelham Smithers Associates

Founded in 2009, Pelham Smithers Associates (PSA) provides market intelligence on Asian technology, focusing in particular on Japan. The industries covered by our team of specialists are: consumer electronics, telecomms, pharmaceuticals, internet, electronic parts and materials, automotive technology, retail and capital goods. 

Research is provided by the following:
Pelham Smithers: Macro, consumer electronics, telecoms & pharma
Joel Scheiman: Electronics materials / components
Julie Boote: Autos
Will Nestuk: Capital goods, machinery & transportation equipment parts
Thao Nguyen: eCommerce, internet content, marketing & advertising

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

The Topix pharmaceutical index (TPPHRM) fell to 2,355 just after the lunch break in Tokyo on Friday 19th August, before recovering to 2,377, with the market's afternoon rally. That though was still a 52-week daily-close low. In August, alone, the sector is down 10%. This can in part be explained by bad news - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/8979" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8979:1">Ono Pharmaceutical</a>'s shares have been hit by negative news over Opdivo (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/opdivo-fails-nsclc-test" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:5134">Opdivo Fails NSCLC Test)</a> - however, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/4489" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4489:1">Chugai Pharmaceutical</a> has fallen from ¥3,865 to ¥3,205 over the same time and…

The Topix pharmaceutical index (TPPHRM) fell to 2,355 just after the lunch break in Tokyo on Friday 19th August, before recovering to 2,377, with the market's afternoon rally. That though was still a 52-week daily-close low. In August, alone, the sector is down 10%. This can in part be explained by bad news - Ono Pharmaceutical's shares have been hit by negative news over Opdivo (see Opdivo Fails NSCLC Test) - however, Chugai Pharmaceutical has fallen from ¥3,865 to ¥3,205 over the same time and…

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of the stock, but few others. However, it could have considerable importance for the Japanese stock market in this era of negative interest rates. Although share buybacks are common enough in Japan, they normally represent 1~2% of shares outstanding, not ten times that amount. Melco Holdings, a company probably best known for being regularly confused with…

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

Founder and CEO, Europacifica Consulting

Naomi Fink

Founder and CEO

Europacifica Consulting

Macroeconomics

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late. Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan, otherwise not known for exciting electoral outcomes, of late.   Indeed, we must go back to 2003 to cite an example of where dollar-yen moved more than 1% in either direction in the wake of a Japanese election (moreover, in 2003 this was a Lower House election, generally of greater impact upon Japanese legislation).  The Nikkei 225 has tended to be…

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:<h2>Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not Enough</h2>There is "bad…

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be.  Europacifica CEO Naomi Fink has published, over the last year, two papers with Columbia University's CJEB which show exactly why this is.  The first of these papers illustrates why and where we find evidence that the BOJ's fight against deflation is insufficient (although it may be necessary) to cure Japan's ills:Why Overcoming Deflation Alone is Not EnoughThere is "bad…

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.</li>
</ul>


There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index to bring the number of index constituents back to 400. There are stocks with multiple days ADV to trade.
Based on the adds, deletes and capping changes, we estimate one way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes over the last year and there has been a move higher in the last few days too.


JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

Japan

ALSOK Co.,Ltd. offers security services. The Company provides electronic security services, stationed and transportation security management, fire protection, and other services. ALSOK also conducts property management businesses.

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Alsok (2331 JP)

Japan Pharma Hits 52 Week Low

The Topix pharmaceutical index (TPPHRM) fell to 2,355 just after the lunch break in Tokyo on Friday 19th August, before recovering to 2,377, with...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Melco Holdings BuyBack: Start of a Trend?

The decision by Melco Holdings to buy back 15% of outstanding shares is an announcement that is likely to be picked up by a few lucky holders of...

Pelham Smithers Associates

Japanese Elections: "Abenomics" Versus a Move to the Right

In the shadow of the EU referendum, rising support for conservative political factions among disaffected voters seems to have rubbed off on Japan,...

Naomi Fink

Japan Non-IT Industries: Overcoming Deflation Not Enough

Empirical data on the drivers of Japanese productivity are sadly not at the forefront of Abenomics, but they should be. Europacifica CEO Naomi...

Naomi Fink

JPX Nikkei 400 Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn Round-Trip Trade Coming Up

There are 39 adds/34 deletes for the JPX Nikkei 400 Index resulting in a one-way turnover of 6.7% and a round-trip trade of JPY 946bn (US$6.4bn)....

Brian Freitas

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