Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 7 July, it was reported that Hyung In-Woo (second largest shareholder of Alteogen) recently raised his ownership in the company by 0.22% stake (about 39 billion won) last month.</li>
<li>Mr. Hyung has requested to Alteogen to switch the company's listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI to improve the company's image and attract greater capital inflow from passive funds. </li>
<li>Alteogen is currently trading at P/E of 37.7x in 2026 and 31.6x in 2027 which are reasonable, considering the company's significant sales and profit growth in the next three years. </li>
</ul>


On 7 July, it was reported that Hyung In-Woo (second largest shareholder of Alteogen) recently raised his ownership in the company by 0.22% stake (about 39 billion won) last month.
Mr. Hyung has requested to Alteogen to switch the company's listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI to improve the company's image and attract greater capital inflow from passive funds. 
Alteogen is currently trading at P/E of 37.7x in 2026 and 31.6x in 2027 which are reasonable, considering the company's significant sales and profit growth in the next three years. 


Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FDA has cleared Merck’s Keytruda subcutaneous injection, which has been developed using <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)</a>’s human hyaluronidase ALT-B4. EMA’s CHMP also recommended approval of subcutaneous Keytruda.</li>
<li>Merck expects 30–40% of Keytruda IV sales to be converted to SC by 2028. Accordingly, Alteogen is expected to secure over KRW1T in annual royalties in the long term.</li>
<li>Keytruda SC launch in the U.S. and EU, additional deals for ALT-B4, and Enhertu SC Phase 1 trial update are the key upcoming catalysts for Alteogen.</li>
</ul>


FDA has cleared Merck’s Keytruda subcutaneous injection, which has been developed using Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)’s human hyaluronidase ALT-B4. EMA’s CHMP also recommended approval of subcutaneous Keytruda.
Merck expects 30–40% of Keytruda IV sales to be converted to SC by 2028. Accordingly, Alteogen is expected to secure over KRW1T in annual royalties in the long term.
Keytruda SC launch in the U.S. and EU, additional deals for ALT-B4, and Enhertu SC Phase 1 trial update are the key upcoming catalysts for Alteogen.


Alteogen (196170 KS): Significant Commercial Success of ALT-B4 Is On Card

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated holding was USD848.5bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,741mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor, Alteogen.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Dec 12th. The aggregated holding was USD848.5bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,741mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor, Alteogen.


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. </li>
<li>Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.</li>
<li>There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.</li>
</ul>


Since short selling was banned in November 2023, short interest has plunged in Korea as shorts were covered. Markets have not done much over the last 16 months though. 
Foreign investor holdings have dropped from 32.05% in July to 28.57%. The top 25 stocks bought by foreign investors outperformed the top 25 stocks sold by 128% in 16 months.
There will be trade opportunities across indices, pref/ords, index migrations and deletions, potential market upgrades and overvalued stocks being sold.


Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

<ul>
<li>In November 2024, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alteogen-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15886:1" rel="noopener">Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)</a> entered into an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo for an upfront payment of $20M (KRW28B).</li>
<li>With increasing number of players developing ADC drugs mainly targeting various cancers, we can expect more big-ticket licensing deals for ALT-B4, going ahead.</li>
<li>On February 4, Alteogen has raised ~KRW155B through redeemable convertible preference shares. Over the last few months, Alteogen shares had a roller coaster ride due to fund raising rumors.</li>
</ul>


In November 2024, Alteogen Inc (196170 KS) entered into an exclusive license agreement with Daiichi Sankyo for an upfront payment of $20M (KRW28B).
With increasing number of players developing ADC drugs mainly targeting various cancers, we can expect more big-ticket licensing deals for ALT-B4, going ahead.
On February 4, Alteogen has raised ~KRW155B through redeemable convertible preference shares. Over the last few months, Alteogen shares had a roller coaster ride due to fund raising rumors.


Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

South Korea

Alteogen Inc. is a pharmaceutical research company.  The Company researches and develops bio-medicines such as bio-better and bio-similar.

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Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)

Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Alteogen announced that it will hold an EGM on 8 December to vote on a transfer of listing to KOSPI from KOSDAQ. On 7 July, the second largest...

Douglas Kim

Alteogen (196170 KS): Significant Commercial Success of ALT-B4 Is On Card

FDA clears Merck's Keytruda subcutaneous injection, developed with Alteogen's ALT-B4, which opens potential for significant royalty earnings and...

Tina Banerjee

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...

Tina Banerjee

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Alteogen: 2nd Largest Shareholder Raises Stake & Requests Switching Listing from KOSDAQ to KOSPI

Alteogen announced that it will hold an EGM on 8 December to vote on a transfer of listing to KOSPI from KOSDAQ. On 7 July, the second largest...

Douglas Kim

Alteogen (196170 KS): Significant Commercial Success of ALT-B4 Is On Card

​FDA clears Merck's Keytruda subcutaneous injection, developed with Alteogen's ALT-B4, which opens potential for significant royalty earnings and...

Tina Banerjee

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Dec 12th): SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai Motor

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in SK Hynix, ECOPRO, Samsung Electronics, Hyundai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Korea: Short Selling Is Back in March; Trade Ideas

Short selling in Korea commences from Monday. There will be a lot of interest in shorting stocks/sectors depending on how they have performed since...

Brian Freitas

Alteogen (196170 KS): More ALT-B4 Licensing Deal to Follow; Fund Raise Wipes Off Uncertainty

​Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...

Tina Banerjee

FDA clears Merck's Keytruda subcutaneous injection, developed with Alteogen's ALT-B4, which opens potential for significant royalty earnings and...

Alteogen secures $20M upfront payment in exclusive license deal with Daiichi Sankyo for using ALT-B4 in developing SC version of blockbuster ADC...