Senior Credit Analyst, Lucror Analytics

Leonard Law, CFA

Senior Credit Analyst

High Yield Experts

Lucror Analytics

Lucror Analytics is a leading credit and ESG research specialist and a provider of technology solutions for differentiated fixed income strategies. Our roots are in bottom-up fundamental credit analysis with a specialization in high yield corporate credits from Europe, Asia and Latin America. We are one of few research specialists integrating ESG considerations with fundamental credit research through a dedicated ESG platform. Our ESG assessment covers five key criteria: Disclosure, E,S, & G Pillars, Controversies, ESG Impact on Credit and ESG Momentum.

Recognizing the importance and value-add of Factor Investing in fixed income, Lucror developed the Smart Quant Navigator (SQN), an intuitive platform that helps clients devise and implement factor-based strategies ranging from pure quant to active fundamental, with integrated ESG.

Our company has been at the forefront of developments in the fixed income markets, identifying opportunities and consistently delivering new products and value-adding solutions to clients. Lucror has close relationships with the largest and most reputable asset managers, family offices, hedge funds, investment and wealth managers globally.

Credit

<p><br/> The COVID-19 crisis was the dominant issue in 2020, with certain industries (e.g. travel & leisure, gaming and selected retail players) remaining greatly affected. Going forward, the ability to contain the virus, the potential long-term impact on selected industries, and the speed at which economies are re-opened will continue to be major market drivers. On the policy front, the focus should shift to the Biden administration's plans and especially US-China relations, while central banks are expected to remain supportive for now.<br/><br/> We cover these topics in our HY Investment Outlook: (1) our high-conviction trade recommendations; (2) ESG developments, with this area rapidly evolving and increasingly being integrated in the investment process; (3) the COVID-19 crisis, along with other key macroeconomic, geopolitical and monetary developments in 2020; (4) developments in European HY markets; as well as (5) how credit stats and liquidity have evolved for the companies and industries under our coverage.<br/></p>

  The COVID-19 crisis was the dominant issue in 2020, with certain industries (e.g. travel & leisure, gaming and selected retail players) remaining greatly affected. Going forward, the ability to contain the virus, the potential long-term impact on selected industries, and the speed at which economies are re-opened will continue to be major market drivers. On the policy front, the focus should shift to the Biden administration's plans and especially US-China relations, while central banks are expected to remain supportive for now.   We cover these topics in our HY Investment Outlook: (1) our high-conviction trade recommendations; (2) ESG developments, with this area rapidly evolving and increasingly being integrated in the investment process; (3) the COVID-19 crisis, along with other key macroeconomic, geopolitical and monetary developments in 2020; (4) developments in European HY markets; as well as (5) how credit stats and liquidity have evolved for the companies and industries under our coverage. 

European High Yield Outlook 2021 & Trade Book For February - Lucror Analytics

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Traditional Chinese Medicine / Event-Driven



For the month of January, 22 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$52bn.


Clicking on the company name in the table below will take you to the entity page where you can read the initial insight(s) written by Smartkarma contributors on these new deals and follow up discussions, or simply click on the insight link(s) below the name.





New Deals


Industry


Size (US$bn)


Type


Premium




Australia




Bingo Industries (BIN AU) 
Waste collection
1.8
Scheme
19.8%



Bingo Industries (ASX: BIN): Talking Trash
Bingo Industries (BIN AU): CPE/MIRA's Scavenger Hunt




Hong Kong




China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK) 
Construction
0.4
Merger by Absorption
45.1%



China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Possible Offer
China Machinery Engineering (1829 HK): Delisting Offer From Parent




Polytec Asset Holdings (208 HK) 
Real Estate
0.4
Scheme
61.3%


Polytec Asset (208 HK): Offer By Way Of A Scheme



HKC Holdings (190 HK) 
Holding Co.
0.2
Scheme
120.39%



China Renewable Energy (987 HK): Possible Privatisation Offer
HKC (190 HK): Take-Private Offer By Way Of A Scheme




New Century REIT (1275 HK) 
Hospitality
0.25
Scheme-like
14.3%


New Century (1275 HK): Closing Down Sale



Rivera Holdings (281 HK) 
Real estate
0.1
Scheme
62.5%


Rivera (281 HK): Scheme Or Face Delisting



China Traditional Chinese (570 HK) 
TCM
3.0
??
??


Trad Chi Med (570 HK): Sinopharm's Feverish Proposal



Zhejiang New Century Hotel (1158 HK) 
Hospitality
0.65
Merger by Absorption
24.7%


Zhejiang New Century (1158 HK): Pre-Conditional Offer



Zhuhai Holdings Investment (908 HK) 
Ports
0.2
Scheme
37.8%


Zhuhai Holdings (908 HK): Zhuhai SASAC Reloads With Scheme Offer



India




Engineers India (ENGR IN) 
Engineering
0.1
Buyback tender
10%


Hefty Engineers India Buyback Tender - Worth The Arb If You Own



Japan




Tokyo Rope Mfg (5981 JP) 
Wire rope
0.2
Partial
39%



Nippon Steel's HOSTILE Partial Tender Offer for Tokyo Rope: A Move to Mark Territory?
New Money for Old Rope? Gaming Out A Hostile Partial Offer on Tokyo Rope (5981)




Singapore




CEI Limited (CEI SP) 
Electronics
0.1
VGO
16.2%


CEI Limited (CEI SP): Privatization Deal by AEM Holdings (AEM SP) Trading with a View to Complete



GL Ltd (GLL SP) 
Hospitality
0.2
VGO
25.0%


GL Limited (GLL SP): Privatisation Offer Renews Interest In Guoco



Penguin International (PBS SP) 
Boat builder
0.1
VGO
30%


Penguin International (PBS SP): Friendly Privatization Deal Might Need A Bump



Europe




CA Immobilien Anlagen AG (CAI AV) 
Real estate
3.8
Offer
16.9%


CA Immo - Starwood: Mandatory Offer



Carrefour SA (CA FP) 
Convenience
20.0
Merger
29.3%


Carrefour - Alimentation Couche-Tard Non-Binding Offer



Enlabs AB (NLAB SS) 
Sports betting
0.3
Offer
1.1%


Enlabs - Entain Beefing Up



Entain (ENT LN) 
Entertainment
11.0
Offer
22%


MGM's Prospective Offer for Entain



Liberbank SA (LBK SM) 
Financing
0.9
Merger



Liberbank - Unicaja Agreed Merger



Naturgy Energy Group SA (NTGY SM) 
Energy
6.0
Partial offer
20%


IFM Investors to Launch a Partial Hostile Tender Offer for Naturgy



Handicare Group AB (HANDI SS) 
Medi aid
0.4
Offer
22.0%


Handicare - Savaria: Recommended Offer



Tikkurila Oyj (TIK1V FH) 
Paints
1.7
Offer
84.5%


Akzo Nobel Tops PPG's Offer for Tikkurila


Source: Smartkarma Insights




The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in January was ~35%. This compared to the average premium in 2020 and 2019 of 31% and 31.5% respectively. 




Summary of News in January of Arb Situations On Smartkarma's Radar


(Again, click on the company names to take to you to the insights and/or discussion posts for a more comprehensive read-through on each situation. Where a new insight was written on these names in July, I've included a link, in bold, to that insight in italics.)






Australia


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




3P Learning (3PL AU) 

21-Jan: Non-binding term sheet entered into




amaysim Australia (AYS AU) 

18-Jan:
WAM Capital Ltd (WAM AU) has bumped its Offer for amaysim Australia (AYS AU) to 1 new WAM share for every 2.675 AYS share; or A$0.70/share cash per share, from 1 new WAM share for every 2.7 AYS share; or A$0.695/share cash per share. AYS' largest shareholder, Longfrist with 19.19%, supports WAM's Offer.




Asaleo Care Ltd (AHY AU) 

27-Jan: Independent board rejects non-binding proposal




Cardinal Resources (CDV AU) 

27-Jan: Shandong to compulsory acquire shares. Shares to be cease trading on the 3 Feb




Coca Cola Amatil (CCL AU) 

6-Jan: Coca-Cola Amatil Takeover Offer: A Bump Forthcoming?




Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU) 

3-Jan: SS&amp;C withdraws proposal for Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU).




Regis Healthcare (REG AU) 

20-Jan Washington H. Soul Pattinson and Co. (SOL AU)withdraws




Think Childcare (TNK AU) 

20-Jan: Think Childcare (TNK AU): Bigger Bid by Busy Bees




Vitalharvest Freehold Trust (VTH AU) 

No January update




WPP PLC (WPP LN) 

No January update










Hong Kong


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) 

31-Dec: Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): Doc Out. IFA Says Fair &amp; Reasonable
11-Jan: As expected, SAIF (6.13% of total issued H  shares, and 11.53% of independent H shares; and Goldwind (2.83% &amp; 5.32% respectively) have given letters of intent to support the Offer. 
25-Jan:Quiddity M&amp;A : A Guide To Mergers By Absorption




Car Inc (699 HK) 

7-Jan: Car Inc (699 HK):  Are We Missing Anything?
26-Jan: Car Inc (699 HK):  No, We Are Not Missing Anything




China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK) 

18-Jan: Bloomberg is reporting that Blackstone Group Inc., ESR Cayman Ltd., and JD Logistics Inc. are among bidders for control of China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK). Meituan (3690 HK) is also reportedly in the mix.




Cowell E Holdings (1415 HK) 

1-Jan: Cowell E Holdings (1415 HK) delays the dispatch of the Composite Doc to the 22 January. 
15-Jan: Doc issued. Fist close is the 5 Feb




Huifu Payment Limited (1806 HK) 

27-Jan: Huifu Payment (1806 HK): Scheme Doc Out. IFA Says Fair




I.T Ltd (999 HK) 

20-Jan: Pre-cons satisfied. 




Shanghai Prime Machinery H (2345 HK) 

11-Jan: Shanghai Prime Machinery H (2345 HK) shareholders approved the merger. 12 Jan was the last day of trading. 




SHK Hong Kong Industries (666 HK) 

No January update




Tonly Electronics Holdings (1249 HK) 

29-Jan: Tonly Electronics (1249 HK): Scheme Doc Out. IFA Says Fair




China Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK) 

18-Jan:  Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK): Doc Out. Compulsory Acquisition Afforded










India


Comments (with links to insights)




Allcargo Logistics (AGLL IN) 

No January update




INEOS Styrolution India Limited (INEOS IN) 

No January update




Vedanta Ltd (VEDL IN) 

11-Jan: Vedanta (VEDL IN) Promoter To Launch an Open Offer To Buy More










Japan


Comments (with links to insights)




Cocokara Fine (3098 JP) 
No January update



Honshu Chemical Industry (4115 JP) 

No January update




Japan Asia (3751 JP) 

11-Dec: City Index Eleventh is now 14.91% of the register at Japan Asia (3751 JP).
18-Jan: Murakami Fund's Tender for JAG (3751):  May Be Rangebound Near-Term
26-Jan: Japan Asia Group (3751): Murakami Wins the Mother Of All Bumps +100% 




Joban Kaihatsu (1782 JP) 

4-Jan: Black Clover today reported they owned 12.29% of Joban Kaihatsu (1782 JP) 
23-Jan: Joban Kaihatsu MBO Price Bumped, Tender Extended: Still Not Rolling In Clover




Keihanshin Building (8818 JP) 

13-Jan Tender offer fails. Funny that. 




Kenedix Inc (4321 JP) 

9-Jan: Kenedix Inc (4321 JP) reported  that SMFL MIrai Partners had completed the Tender Offer for Kenedix shares and ended up with 62.35%
12-Jan: FTSE announced today that it would reduce the weight of Kenedix Inc (4321 JP) in its index from 97.7309% to 34.90958490918% while keeping the share count unchanged at 218,917,200 shares. The change takes place at the close of business on the 14th of January




Medical &amp; Biological Laboratories (4557 JP) 

Delisted 13 January




Pressance Corp (3254 JP) 

17-Jan: Pressance Partial Tender - Almost EVERYONE Tendered




Softbrain (4779 JP) 

Delisted on Jan 19




Tokyo Dome Corp (9681 JP) 

19-Jan: Mitsui Fudosan (8801 JP) announced the results of its Tender Offer for Tokyo Dome Corp (9681 JP). That will trigger an EGM and a resulting squeezeout.  It will also trigger a FTSE and MSCI downweight.




Toa Oil Co Ltd (5008 JP) 

13-Jan: Toa Oil (5008) Tender Offer Update - Looks Bumpity
14-Jan: Cornwall Capital announced it had increased its position in Toa Oil Co Ltd (5008 JP) from 20.86% (as of the last report) to 21.89% (as of the 6th of January). 
28-Jan: Cornwall Capital announced it had increased its position to 22.98%










Malaysia


Comments (with links to insights)




Batu Kawan Bhd (BAK MK) 

No January update




FGV Holdings Bhd (FGV MK) 

26-Jan: FGV (FGB MK): IFA Says Offer Not Fair








New Zealand


Comments (with links to insights and announcements)




Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) 

28-Jan: Announced a strategic review of 51%-held Trustpower Ltd (TPW NZ) 








Philippines


Comments (with links to insights and announcements)




Lopez Holdings (LPZ PM) 

21-Jan: Tender Offer report despatched. Closing date is the 19 Feb,










Singapore


Comments 




Hi P International (HIP SP) 

No January update




Soilbuild Business Space REIT (SBREIT SP) 

24-Jan: First court hearing to be held on the 8 Feb.








Taiwan


Comments (with links to insights)




Jih Sun Financial (5820 TT) 

6-Jan: Fubon Financial Offer for Jih Sun Gets Even Weirder
7-Jan: Taiwanese news agency CNA has said that the FSC is investigating whether or not Capital Target Limited and its Responsible Officer Derek MD Chen (who I had believed to be the Responsible Person) is indeed the controller of Capital Target Limited.




Thinflex Corp (3144 TT) 

Tender Offer was completed, 100% pro-ration. (Japanese)













Europe/UK


Comments (with links to announcements and insights)




Altice NV A (ATC NA) 


22-Jan: Offer declared unconditional




Calisen PLC (1779730D LN) 


18-Jan: Sche doc issued




Entra ASA (ENTRA NO) 

No January update




KAZ Minerals (KAZ LN) 

25-Jan:  KAZ Minerals




Siltronic AG (WAF GR) 

25-Jan: GlobalWafers Ups Offer for Siltronic




Recipharm AB (RECIB SS) 
28-Jan: Roar bumps Offer



RSA Insurance (RSA LN) 
No January update



Tele Columbus AG (TC1 GR) 
No January update



Veolia Environnement SA (VIE FP) 
11-Jan: Veolia Steps up Pressure on Suez






<p><br/> The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2020 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry.<br/></p>

  The Europe HY Trade Book for December 2020 includes high-conviction trade ideas drawn from our European HY coverage universe, along with relative-value scatter plots and tables by industry. 

Europe HY Trade Book - December 2020 - Lucror Analytics

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

<ul class="">
<li>Patrick Drahi, through Next Private launched on 24 November an agreed takeover offer for  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/altice-europe-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1060:1" rel="noopener">Altice Nv A (ATC NA)</a>, with the aim of taking it private and delisting the company.
<ul>
<li>Upon announcement, the bid price represented 2.8x EV/NTM Revenue, 7.2x EV/NTM EBITDA and 23.8x EV/NTM EBIT (Capital IQ consensus). </li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Altice is one of Europe's biggest HY issuers, rated B by S&amp;P.</li>
<li>On 30 November, the shares closed at €4.42, 7.5% above offer terms, and 7.1x EV/Forward EBITDA. The offer price takes advantage of the dismal performance of European telcos on the stock market following the onset of the Covid crisis.</li>
<li>Also, the offered consideration is:
<ul>
<li>0.5% below Capital IQ consensus median target price (out of 14 estimates).</li>
<li>25% below Capital IQ consensus average target price is €5.52 (out of 14 estimates).</li>
<li>On this basis, the price offered by Drahi seems low, and <strong>chances are that not enough shareholders accept the offer to enable Drahi to delist Altice</strong>.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>
<p>Minority shareholders of Altice Europe are planning to take the company to court over Drahi's offer. <strong>Lucerne Capital Management </strong>(c. 1.8% stake), a hedge fund, said they plan a case at the enterprise chamber of the district court in Amsterdam. </p>
<ul>
<li>Lucerne and other minority shareholders, like <strong>Sessa Capital</strong>, think Drahi's bid of EUR 4.11 per share is too low.</li>
<li>
<div>
<p>According to the <strong>Dutch takeover code</strong>, the 95% threshold is the level required to delist a company and initiate squeeze-out proceedings.</p>
</div>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>We have witnessed the recent case of <strong>Alfa Laval bid for Neles</strong> (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/neles-alfa-laval-preliminary-results-valmet" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44828" rel="noopener">Neles - Alfa Laval: Preliminary Results, Valmet</a>), where Neles consistently traded above the bid price, which resulted in Alfa Laval withdrawing its offer.</li>
<li>I would wait for further share price weakness to set up a position. There may be some downside risk in the short-term, but the share price increase over the last months seems supported by gains in the number of subscribers and less concerns about debt.</li>
</ul>
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Patrick Drahi, through Next Private launched on 24 November an agreed takeover offer for  Altice Nv A (ATC NA), with the aim of taking it private and delisting the company.

Upon announcement, the bid price represented 2.8x EV/NTM Revenue, 7.2x EV/NTM EBITDA and 23.8x EV/NTM EBIT (Capital IQ consensus). 


Altice is one of Europe's biggest HY issuers, rated B by S&amp;P.
On 30 November, the shares closed at €4.42, 7.5% above offer terms, and 7.1x EV/Forward EBITDA. The offer price takes advantage of the dismal performance of European telcos on the stock market following the onset of the Covid crisis.
Also, the offered consideration is:

0.5% below Capital IQ consensus median target price (out of 14 estimates).
25% below Capital IQ consensus average target price is €5.52 (out of 14 estimates).
On this basis, the price offered by Drahi seems low, and chances are that not enough shareholders accept the offer to enable Drahi to delist Altice.



Minority shareholders of Altice Europe are planning to take the company to court over Drahi's offer. Lucerne Capital Management (c. 1.8% stake), a hedge fund, said they plan a case at the enterprise chamber of the district court in Amsterdam. 

Lucerne and other minority shareholders, like Sessa Capital, think Drahi's bid of EUR 4.11 per share is too low.


According to the Dutch takeover code, the 95% threshold is the level required to delist a company and initiate squeeze-out proceedings.




We have witnessed the recent case of Alfa Laval bid for Neles (see Neles - Alfa Laval: Preliminary Results, Valmet), where Neles consistently traded above the bid price, which resulted in Alfa Laval withdrawing its offer.
I would wait for further share price weakness to set up a position. There may be some downside risk in the short-term, but the share price increase over the last months seems supported by gains in the number of subscribers and less concerns about debt.









Altice - Next Private: Trading Above Terms

Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy / Event-Driven


For the month of November, 18 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$20bn.


Clicking on the company name in the table below will take you to the entity page where you can read the initial insight(s) written by Smartkarma contributors on these new deals and follow up discussions, or simply click on the insight link(s) below the name.






New Deals


Industry


Size (US$bn)


Type


Premium




Australia



Regis Healthcare (REG AU) 
Retirement
0.4
Poss. Scheme
25%


Regis Healthcare (REG AU): Potential New Home For The Old


Think Childcare (TNK AU) 
Childcare
0.1
Poss. Scheme
8%


Think Childcare (TNK AU) : Takeover Proposal From Alceon Group Seems Light


Vitalharvest Freehold Trust (VTH AU) 
Agriculture
0.1
Scheme
27.4%


Vitalharvest (VTH AU): Macquarie Doesn't See A Lemon






Hong Kong




Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) 
Energy
2.8
Vol. Offer
70.89%


Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): Privatisation Offer From Parent






Japan



Honshu Chemical Industry (4115 JP) 
Chemical
0.1
Tender Offer
42.6%


Honshu Chemical (4115) - An Embarrassment of Riches


Imasen Electric Industrial (7266 JP) 
Auto parts
0.1
Partial Tender
41%


Imasen Electric Partial Tender - Set Governance to Ludicrous Mode


Japan Asia (3751 JP) 
Community ops
0.2
Tender Offer
70.5%


Japan Asia (3751 JP) Management Buyout: Should There Be a BUMP?


Joban Kaihatsu (1782 JP) 
Construction
0.1
Tender Offer
32%


SmallCap Joban Kaihatsu Founder Tries a Free MBO


Kansai Mirai Financial (7321 JP) 
Financials
0.6
Tender Offer
3%


Resona To Take Kansai Mirai Private!







Keihanshin Building (8818 JP) 

Building leasing
0.2
Partial Tender
1%


Opportunistic Keihanshin (8818) Tender Offer Designed to Fail


Kenedix Inc (4321 JP) 
Real estate
1.25
Tender Offer
32%


A Curiously Unsatisfying Takeover Bid For Kenedix


Tohto Suisan (8038 JP) 
Fresh seafood
0.2
Partial Tender
9.2%


Tohto Suisan Partial Tender Offer - A Weird Tender Which Leads To Listed Zombie-Ism


Tokyo Dome Corp (9681 JP) 
Amusement parks
1.0
Rumoured



Mitsui Fudosan Tender For Tokyo Dome (9681) Mooted, and Tokyo Dome Sells Itself For the Wrong Price  


Yomiuri Land (9671 JP) 
Theme Park
0.4
Tender Offer
26%


Yomiuri Land (9671) Takeover - Probably The Wrong Price But Whaddya Gonna Do?










Malaysia



Batu Kawan Bhd (BAK MK) 
Chemical/rubber
0.1
MGO
13.14%


Batu Kawan (BAK MK)'s Mandatory Offer for CCM: Low Risk Risk Arb






US



China Biologic Products (CBPO US) 
Medical
1.9
Merger
16.8%


China Biologics (CBPO US): Firm Offer Backed By Prerequisite Votes










Europe/UK



Aryzta AG (ARYN VX) 
B2B solutions
0.9
Indicative Offer
32%


Aryzta - Elliott: Prospective Offer


RSA Insurance (RSA LN) 
Insurance
9.5
Offer
48%


RSA - Intact Financial &amp; Tryg: Generous Break-Up Takeover Proposal





Source: Smartkarma Insights

The above does not include the US$0.2bn SPA for amaysim Australia (AYS AU) discussed in Amaysim To Be Wound-Up After Mobile Sale.

Technically, China Biologic Products (CBPO US) was first mentioned on Smartkarma 14 months ago - but now we have a firm offer.


The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in November was ~29% and the YTD average premium for all deals discussed on Smartkarma (139 all-in) is ~31.5%.  The average for all deals discussed on Smartkarma in 2019 (145 deals all-in) was 31.5%.



The charts below provide a snapshot of deals YTD discussed on Smartkarma. Where the deal is a merger of equals or similar, I've assigned no premium.







Summary of News in November of Arb Situations On Smartkarma's Radar



(Again, click on the company names to take to you to the insights and/or discussion posts for a more comprehensive read-through on each situation. Where a new insight was written on these names in July, I've included a link, in bold, to that insight in italics.)






Australia


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




3P Learning (3PL AU) 

15-Nov: 3P Learning (3PL AU) : Indian Ed-Tech Giant BYJU's Competitive Bid 24-Nov: 3P Learning (3PL AU): Ed-Tech Deal Faces a New Twist




Cardinal Resources (CDV AU) 

4-Nov: In an ASX update, Cardinal Resources (CDV AU) goes into detail the numerous Takeover Panel applications. All of a bit of a mess right now.  25-Nov: Cardinal Resources: Three's A Crowd 26-Nov: Nordgold extends its Offer until the 14 December for Cardinal Resources (CDV AU) while continuing to air its concerns over E&amp;P's Offer. Cardinal continues to unanimously recommend Shandong's Offer.




Citadel Group (CGL AU) 

No November update




Coca Cola Amatil (CCL AU) 

4-Nov: A Scheme implementation Deed has now been entered into, at $12.75/share. The Scheme Meeting is expected to be held in early/mid-March, with an expected implementation date in late March/early April. 




Cromwell Property (CMW AU) 

17-Nov: Board spill for Cromwell Property (CMW AU). One more step for ARA.  26-Nov: ARA's proportional Offer will close on the 30 November.




DWS Ltd (DWS AU) 

No November update




Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU) 

25-Nov: An update to say there is no update




OptiComm Ltd (OPC AU) 

3-Nov: OptiComm Ltd (OPC AU) announced it "not received any contact whatsoever from Aware Super " since 15 October.
6-Nov: OptiComm Ltd (OPC AU) shareholders overwhelmingly approve Scheme.




Northern Star Resources (NST AU) 

25-Nov: some finance conditions are met




Village Roadshow (VRL AU) 

9-Nov: In a new announcement, Village Roadshow (VRL AU) said the A$0.12/share uplift is now locked in.
12-Nov: Spheria said it will vote against Scheme B for Village Roadshow (VRL AU).
17-Nov: Mittleman ups stake in Village Roadshow (VRL AU) to 14.34% from 12.87%.
23-Nov: Village Roadshow: Rollercoaster Economics
27-Nov: Mittleman Brothers posted a presentation, which describes its concerns regarding the currently proposed takeover of VLR.  "The current A$2.95 to A$3.00 range of best outcomes provided still appears unfairly low versus our estimate of indicative fair value which is currently A$5.24 per share."





 




Hong Kong


Comments (with links to announcements &amp; insights)




Allied Properties (H.K.) (56 HK) 
26-Nov: The High Court just upheld the appeal. And the Scheme will now be sanctioned Allied Prop (56 HK): In High Court Today .... 




AMVIG Holdings (2300 HK) 
2-Nov: The Composite doc has now been delayed until the 18 November.   18-Nov: Offer doc for AMVIG Holdings (2300 HK) is out. The first close is the 9 December. The IFA says the Offer is fair &amp; reasonable.   25-Nov: Offer for AMVIG Holdings (2300 HK) now declared unconditional in all respects. 



Beijing Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) 
18-Nov: Beijing Jingneng (579 HK): Privatisation Offer From Parent




Car Inc (699 HK) 
14-Nov: Car Inc (699 HK): MBK's Firm Offer




Changshouhua Food (1006 HK) 

11-Nov: China Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK) will hold an EGM on the 2 December to consider the Offer from Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group (A) (600887 CH).
19-Nov: Fortune Hero, with 4.04%, has given an irrevocable to accept the Offer for China Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK).
25-Nov: More irrevocables trickle in for China Zhongdi Dairy (1492 HK). This takes the shares held plus irrevocables to 96.58%, and is therefore expected to turn unconditional on the 7th day after the despatch of the Composite Doc.




CIMC-TianDa Holdings (445 HK) 
No November update



Cross Harbour Holdings (32 HK) 
4-Nov: The Offer is now unconditional in all respects. The Offer will remain open for acceptances until the 23 November. 



Get Nice Holdings (64 HK) 

25-Nov: Composite Doc despatched for Get Nice Financial Group Ltd (1469 HK).




Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK) 

14-Nov:Pre-conditions have now been fulfilled for the Haier Electronics Group Co (1169 HK) Offer. 16-Nov: Haier Electric (1169 HK): The "H-Share" Guessing Game




Hengxing Gold Holding (2303 HK) 

3-Nov: As expected, the despatch of the Scheme Doc has been pushed back to 30 November, from 4 November.
13-Nov: Pre-conditions have now been fulfilled for the Hengxing Gold Holding (2303 HK) Offer.




Leyou Technologies (1089 HK) 

12-Nov: Leyou Tech (1089 HK): Offer Doc Despatched




Macau Legend Development (1680 HK) 

2-Nov: The Composite Document is out. The closing date is the 24 November. The IFA says fair &amp; reasonable.




Powerleader Science &amp; Technology Group (8236 HK) 

No November update




Shanghai Prime Machinery H (2345 HK) 

3-Nov: As expected, the Composite Doc for  Shanghai Prime Machinery H (2345 HK) has been delayed until 22 January, if need be. 
25-Nov: SEG's shareholders approve the merger of Shanghai Prime Machinery H (2345 HK). This is one of the pre-cons. Regulatory approvals form other pre-cons are still outstanding. 




Sun Art Retail (6808 HK) 

9-Nov: As expected, the Composite Doc has been delayed - but only for a week, and is now expected to be despatched on or before the 18 November. 
27-Nov: Sun Art (6808 HK): Offer Doc Out. Not Fair And Reasonable




Yixin Group Ltd (2858 HK) 
6-Nov: Yixin (2858 HK)’s Downstream Unconditional MGO 11-Nov: Composite Doc is out for Yixin Group Ltd (2858 HK). The first (&amp; probably last) close is the 2 December. 











India


Comments (with links to insights)




Allcargo Logistics (AGLL IN) 

No November update




Hexaware Technologies (HEXW IN) 

No November update




INEOS Styrolution India Limited (INEOS IN) 

No November update













Japan


Comments (with links to insights)




Cocokara Fine (3098 JP) 
No November update, but Oasis now over 5%



Medical &amp; Biological Laboratories (4557 JP) 

No November update




NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP) 

11-Nov: NTT/Docomo - The KDDI Quibble
17-Nov:Surprising NTT Docomo Tender Result Accelerates Squeezeout, Great Re-Allocation, Nikkei 225 Change
27-Nov: The Other Docomo Selldown and TOPIX Buy  Delisting scheduled for late December.




Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP) 

13-Nov: Nitori's Bid for Shimachu Goes Friendly as Shimachu Dumps DCM
16-Nov: DCM Holdings (3050 JP) has extended its Tender Offer for Shimachu Co Ltd (8184 JP) by 10 days, so now it ends on 1 December 2020.  This gives it time to await an expected Phase 1 decision by the JFTC regarding the bid by Nitori Holdings (9843 JP). It was something of a no-brainer for them to extend.   On 27Nov, DCM extended again.




Softbrain (4779 JP) 

Tender Offer succeeded.  27Nov: EGM to consolidate is 29 Dec. Delisting to be 19 Jan.














Singapore


Comments (with links to insights and announcements)




ESR-REIT (EREIT SP) / Sabana Shari'ah Compliant Industrial REIT (SSREITR SP) 

27-Nov:  ESR-REIT/Sabana: Furphys And Fear-Mongering
















Thailand


Comments 




COL PCL (COL TB) 
No November update


















Middle East


Comments 




Samba Financial Group (SAMBA AB) /
National Commercial Bank (NCB AB) 

No November update










Europe/UK


Comments (with links to announcements and insights)




Ahlstrom-Munksjo (AM1 FH) 
No November update



Altice NV A (ATC NA) 


No November update




CaixaBank SA (CABK SM) 
No November update



G4S PLC (GFS LN) 
6-Nov: G4S Playing Hard-To-Get




Play Communications SA (1P1 GR) 
No November update



Talktalk Telecom (TALK LN) 
No November update



William Hill (WMH LN) 
No November update





Netherlands

Altice Europe N.V. operates as a cable, telecommunications, and media company. The Company offers television, broadband Internet, content, broadcasting, digital advertising, telephony, and entertainment services. Altice Europe serves customers worldwide.

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Altice NV A (ATC NA)

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