Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$49.6bn (US$6.33bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>The stocks with forecast inflows marginally outperformed the stocks with forecast outflows prior to announcement of the changes, but there has been underperformance since announcement.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$49.6bn (US$6.33bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.
The stocks with forecast inflows marginally outperformed the stocks with forecast outflows prior to announcement of the changes, but there has been underperformance since announcement.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.3bn of Flows Post Capping (June 2026)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TONGWEI, SERES, CHINA VANKE, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, CSSC.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of CSI 100 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, CHONGQING ZHIFEI BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, TONGWEI, SERES, CHINA VANKE, POLY DEVELOPMENTS AND, CSSC.


CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (May): CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, TONGWEI, SERES, CSSC

<ul>
<li>The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.</li>
<li>There are 3 adds for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, 2 changes each for the<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener"> HSCEI</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a>, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.</li>
<li>There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
</ul>


The changes to the Hang Seng family of indices were announced post market close on Friday - final capping will use closing prices from 2 June.
There are 3 adds for the HSI, 2 changes each for the HSCEI and HSTECH, 1 change for the HSBIO Index and 7 adds for the HSCI Index.
There will be positioning in most stocks but there could be continued positioning in the names that will be added to Southbound Stock Connect.


Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

<ul>
<li>Hang Seng Indexes announced three HSI ADDs and no DELETE for the May 2026 review after market close.</li>
<li>We reviewed three ADDs against 13 prior HSI rebalance cycles and the completed post announcement setup.</li>
<li>The prior forecast identified BeOne and no DELETE, while J&amp;T Express and Chalco were outside the forecast slate.</li>
</ul>


Hang Seng Indexes announced three HSI ADDs and no DELETE for the May 2026 review after market close.
We reviewed three ADDs against 13 prior HSI rebalance cycles and the completed post announcement setup.
The prior forecast identified BeOne and no DELETE, while J&amp;T Express and Chalco were outside the forecast slate.


HSI June 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<p>After hitting our core rally target at DXY 97 we have noted cracks in USD strength and transitioning into some USD short positions. More importantly we outlined USD/CNH weakness from our turn target at 6.94 with pressure mounting to break below 6.80 and press on the bigger 6.70 support. This sequence is a positive for metals (gold, copper and palladium) that is expected to lift linked assets this week and after a September draw down we see scope for metals to perform in October. WTI remains bullish in our work and leading the rally sequence.</p><p>We run through some stock long themes in Asia in a webcast.</p>

After hitting our core rally target at DXY 97 we have noted cracks in USD strength and transitioning into some USD short positions. More importantly we outlined USD/CNH weakness from our turn target at 6.94 with pressure mounting to break below 6.80 and press on the bigger 6.70 support. This sequence is a positive for metals (gold, copper and palladium) that is expected to lift linked assets this week and after a September draw down we see scope for metals to perform in October. WTI remains bullish in our work and leading the rally sequence.We run through some stock long themes in Asia in a webcast.

Metals Long Theme on Weak USD and China Bounce

China

Aluminum Corporation of China is a leading integrated aluminum producer, engaged in bauxite mining, alumina refining, primary aluminum smelting, and the production of aluminum alloys and carbon products. The company also operates in energy, trading, and logistics. It was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Aluminum Corporation of China (2600 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.3bn of Flows Post Capping (June 2026)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use 2 June closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

CSI 100 Index Earning Revision (May): CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING, TONGWEI, SERES, CSSC

We analyzed CSI 100's consensus for May 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in CHINA STATE CONSTRUCTION ENGINEERING (601668 CH), CHONGQING ZHIFEI...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hang Seng Indexes: Changes Lead to US$6.6bn Trade; Plus Stock Connect & Global Index Inclusions

There are a number of constituent, float and capping changes for the Hang Seng family, leading to a US$6.6bn trade. Stock Connect additions, lock...

Brian Freitas

HSI June 2026 Index Rebalance: Post-Announcement Positioning

HSI May 2026 post-announcement cycle is starting. ADD setup is cleaner after all three ADDs fell during WPreA2. No DELETE keeps the short-side read...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Metals Long Theme on Weak USD and China Bounce

After hitting our core rally target at DXY 97 we have noted cracks in USD strength and transitioning into some USD short positions. More...

Thomas Schroeder

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)