Over 25-yrs in Global Materials & Soft Commodities

Charles Spencer

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

New Pricing Forecasts:We included this month our new commodity price forecast table, which ranks key commodities based on their price potential to our 2020 forecasts.  In summary, we are relatively more positive on the commodities which have lagged during the past year including Agriculture &amp; Precious Metals, but relatively more cautious on the Energy and Metals &amp; Minerals. Our current stock recommendations include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/select-harvests-ltd-pricing-growth-adding-to-our-list-of-five-year-doubles" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:18339">Select Harvests Ltd: Pricing + Growth; Adding to Our List of Five Year Doubles</a> an…

New Pricing Forecasts:We included this month our new commodity price forecast table, which ranks key commodities based on their price potential to our 2020 forecasts.  In summary, we are relatively more positive on the commodities which have lagged during the past year including Agriculture &amp; Precious Metals, but relatively more cautious on the Energy and Metals &amp; Minerals. Our current stock recommendations include Select Harvests Ltd: Pricing + Growth; Adding to Our List of Five Year Doubles an…

Commodity Prices Bounce in April Led Again by Energy & Metals

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

We have made a case for higher US 10 year bond yields from the 2.15% level amid a bullish oil and energy stance. We are now seeing renewed signs of strength in metals and materials sectors that have been driven higher by short squeezes in Aluminum and Nickel with copper and palladium displaying fresh bullish signals. The Bloomberg commodity index is nudging up against a key inflection resistance and breakout point that once crossed, would see metals and commodities move higher in line with the…

We have made a case for higher US 10 year bond yields from the 2.15% level amid a bullish oil and energy stance. We are now seeing renewed signs of strength in metals and materials sectors that have been driven higher by short squeezes in Aluminum and Nickel with copper and palladium displaying fresh bullish signals. The Bloomberg commodity index is nudging up against a key inflection resistance and breakout point that once crossed, would see metals and commodities move higher in line with the…

Commodities Pressuring Yields - Metals Bull Theme

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

<ul><li>Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.</li></ul>

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past three months have stabilized at support, which we view as timely entry points that will lead to upside resumptions.  This report highlights actionable charts, sorted by market capitalization.

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs. MSCI EM), we see these trends continuing well into 2018.  Elsewhere, Russia is on the cusp of a breakout. The Philippines is breaking out. And Korea, a market that broke out earlier this year from a 6-year base, is a buy on weakness.  Today’s report includes a complete summary of our EM views as well as a wide variety of bottom-up recommendations, spanning most sectors and all market capitalizations.

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered higher but left H shares in the dust primarily due to narrowing breadth, a weaker materials sector and banks trading sideways. When looking at copper we see a positive chart pattern that is expected to put a floor in the decline in metal shares which in turn may help mend the breadth issues plagued the HSCEI.Copper's bull wedge noted in the daily cycle…

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered higher but left H shares in the dust primarily due to narrowing breadth, a weaker materials sector and banks trading sideways. When looking at copper we see a positive chart pattern that is expected to put a floor in the decline in metal shares which in turn may help mend the breadth issues plagued the HSCEI.Copper's bull wedge noted in the daily cycle…

Copper Rally to Help Mend H Share Breadth

China

Aluminum Corporation of China is a leading integrated aluminum producer, engaged in bauxite mining, alumina refining, primary aluminum smelting, and the production of aluminum alloys and carbon products. The company also operates in energy, trading, and logistics. It was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

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Aluminum Corporation of China (2600 HK)

Commodity Prices Bounce in April Led Again by Energy & Metals

New Pricing Forecasts:We included this month our new commodity price forecast table, which ranks key commodities based on their price potential to...

Charles Spencer

Commodities Pressuring Yields - Metals Bull Theme

We have made a case for higher US 10 year bond yields from the 2.15% level amid a bullish oil and energy stance. We are now seeing renewed signs of...

Thomas Schroeder

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Commodity Prices Bounce in April Led Again by Energy & Metals

New Pricing Forecasts:We included this month our new commodity price forecast table, which ranks key commodities based on their price potential to...

Charles Spencer

Commodities Pressuring Yields - Metals Bull Theme

We have made a case for higher US 10 year bond yields from the 2.15% level amid a bullish oil and energy stance. We are now seeing renewed signs of...

Thomas Schroeder

Pullback Opportunities in Global Metals & Mining Stocks

Global mining stocks offer an attractive, mid-cycle pullback opportunity. From steel to copper and aluminum stocks, retracements over the past...

Vermilion Research

EM Outlook: Bullish, Led by BRIC and Asia

Asia and the BRIC segment continue to outperform the broad EM universe. Based on technical breakouts in each of their relative strength trends (vs....

Vermilion Research

Copper Rally to Help Mend H Share Breadth

It is time to look at copper again. Our recent long from 288 was sold at 320 and a well behaved pulled has followed. China A shares have powered...

Thomas Schroeder