Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share, targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion. </li>
<li>We estimate the company to generate revenue of $5.6 billion (up 23.5% YoY) and operating profit of $285.7 million (down 13.7% YoY) in 2024. </li>
<li>We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits, highly leveraged balance sheet, and inconsistent profit margins, despite its solid sales growth in the past several years. </li>
</ul>


Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share, targeting a valuation of up to $8.7 billion. 
We estimate the company to generate revenue of $5.6 billion (up 23.5% YoY) and operating profit of $285.7 million (down 13.7% YoY) in 2024. 
We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits, highly leveraged balance sheet, and inconsistent profit margins, despite its solid sales growth in the past several years. 


IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124040" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124122" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/amer-sports-ipo-valuation-first-look" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:124635" rel="noopener">Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look</a>. </li>
<li>We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. </li>
</ul>



Amer Sports (AS US) is a global iconic sports and outdoor brand group. Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range.
We previously discussed the IPO in Amer Sports IPO: The Bull Case, Amer Sports IPO: The Bear Case and Amer Sports IPO: Valuation First-Look. 
We revise our forecasts to reflect the FY23 preliminary estimates and long-term growth targets. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is fairly valued at the IPO price range. 


Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPO front, we continued our coverage of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a> and looked at <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a> Hong Kong filings.</li>
<li>Placements continued to trickle in throught the week, across the region, apart from Hong Kong.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPO front, we continued our coverage of Amer Sports (AS US) and looked at Mixue Group Hong Kong filings.
Placements continued to trickle in throught the week, across the region, apart from Hong Kong.


ECM Weekly (21st Jan 2024) - Mixue, Amer, Medi Assist, IPO Pipeline, Yamae, Alchip, NHPC, ASMedia

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (1700674D IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group (MIX HK)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/benefit-one-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14502:1" rel="noopener">Benefit One Inc (2412 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guppy-s-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40692:1" rel="noopener">GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weiqiao-textile-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3690:1" rel="noopener">Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Amer Sports (AS US), Ola Electric (1700674D IN) and Mixue Group (MIX HK) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Benefit One Inc (2412 JP), GUPPY's Inc (5127 JP), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Weiqiao Textile Co (2698 HK), Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US). 


Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jan) - Benefit One, GUPPY's, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Genetron, Amer Sports

<ul>
<li>The biggest risk for Amer Sports is its excessive leverage. It had net debt of $5.9 billion and equity of only $8.8 million at the end of 3Q 2023.</li>
<li>Many investors are likely to emphasize the negatives more (especially the excessive leverage and inconsistent operating margins), rather than the positives such as China representing increasing percentage of total sales. </li>
<li>Amer Sports is trying to raise nearly $1 billion in this IPO which could value the company at about $10 billion. </li>
</ul>


The biggest risk for Amer Sports is its excessive leverage. It had net debt of $5.9 billion and equity of only $8.8 million at the end of 3Q 2023.
Many investors are likely to emphasize the negatives more (especially the excessive leverage and inconsistent operating margins), rather than the positives such as China representing increasing percentage of total sales. 
Amer Sports is trying to raise nearly $1 billion in this IPO which could value the company at about $10 billion. 


United States

Amer Sports, Inc. manufactures sports apparel and fitness equipment. The Company offers apparel, footwear, equipment, protective gear, and related accessories. Amer Sports serves customers worldwide.

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Amer Sports (AS US)

Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis

Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share. We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits and...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (21st Jan 2024) - Mixue, Amer, Medi Assist, IPO Pipeline, Yamae, Alchip, NHPC, ASMedia

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jan) - Benefit One, GUPPY's, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Genetron, Amer Sports

Notable developments in Event-Driven (Benefit One, Guppy's, TK Toka, Weiqiao Textile, Genetron) and ECM (Amer Sports, Ola Electric, Mixue).

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO Preview

Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...

Douglas Kim

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Amer Sports IPO Valuation Analysis

Amer Sports announced it plans to raise up to $1.8 billion at $16 to $18 per share. We would pass on this IPO due to lack of valuation merits and...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports (AS US) IPO: Valuation Insights

Amer has launched an NYSE IPO to raise US$1.6-1.8 billion at a US$16.00 to US$18.00 price range. Our valuation analysis suggests that Amer is...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (21st Jan 2024) - Mixue, Amer, Medi Assist, IPO Pipeline, Yamae, Alchip, NHPC, ASMedia

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Deals Digest (21 Jan) - Benefit One, GUPPY's, T&K Toka, Weiqiao, Genetron, Amer Sports

Notable developments in Event-Driven (Benefit One, Guppy's, TK Toka, Weiqiao Textile, Genetron) and ECM (Amer Sports, Ola Electric, Mixue).

Arun George

Amer Sports IPO Preview

​Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...

Douglas Kim

Amer Sports faces high debt and low equity, potentially overshadowing positive factors like growing sales in China. The IPO aims to raise $1...