External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Amer Sports, owned by ANTA Sports, is focusing on expanding in the Chinese market, particularly through the Arc’teryx brand</li><li>New store openings in China are expected to drive revenue and EBIT growth for Amer Sports</li><li>Arc’teryx faces stiff competition in the outdoor apparel market, with its technical attributes not standing out as much as expected, despite surpassing Canada Goose in revenue and having a strong presence in China</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Amer Sports, owned by ANTA Sports, is focusing on expanding in the Chinese market, particularly through the Arc’teryx brandNew store openings in China are expected to drive revenue and EBIT growth for Amer SportsArc’teryx faces stiff competition in the outdoor apparel market, with its technical attributes not standing out as much as expected, despite surpassing Canada Goose in revenue and having a strong presence in ChinaThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Boxihe Outdoor Sports Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Based on the successful application of self-developed technology, Boxihe has embarked on a completely opposite path to international brands, highlighting the "cost-effectiveness" in outdoor sports industry, thus achieving high growth.</li>
<li>Creating the next blockbuster and diversifying product portfolios greatly test Boxihe’s operational capabilities, with some uncertainties. Boxihe may face the troubles of finding a new growth point in long term.</li>
<li>Performance growth could remain high in the short term. Post-money valuation after Series B Financing reached RMB2.8 billion.Valuation of Boxihe could be higher than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-ning-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6047:1" rel="noopener">Li Ning </a>but lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta</a>.</li>
</ul>


Based on the successful application of self-developed technology, Boxihe has embarked on a completely opposite path to international brands, highlighting the "cost-effectiveness" in outdoor sports industry, thus achieving high growth.
Creating the next blockbuster and diversifying product portfolios greatly test Boxihe’s operational capabilities, with some uncertainties. Boxihe may face the troubles of finding a new growth point in long term.
Performance growth could remain high in the short term. Post-money valuation after Series B Financing reached RMB2.8 billion.Valuation of Boxihe could be higher than Li Ning but lower than Anta.


Pre-IPO Boxihe Outdoor Sports Group - The Concerns Behind the High Growth

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began April 22nd, when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25Compass) as SPX was testing 5100-5120.</li>
<li>We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below).</li>
<li>Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback at 5700-5785, where we said to expect support in last week's Compass (5/20/25). Expect this gap support to hold.</li>
</ul>


A weak 20-year note auction last Wednesday sparked the first semi-meaningful pullback since this lockout rally began April 22nd, when we turned short-term bullish (4/22/25Compass) as SPX was testing 5100-5120.
We will be watching the 10- and 30-year Treasury yields closely, as both are approaching important resistance levels (more on that below).
Unsurprisingly, SPX only tested short-term gap support on the pullback at 5700-5785, where we said to expect support in last week's Compass (5/20/25). Expect this gap support to hold.


Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>1Q25 sales for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> continue the trend in 4Q24, with ANTA and FILA brands recording a healthy high-single-digit YoY increase.</li>
<li>With the US-China trade war, the negative impact on consumer appetite is uncertain. It is difficult to project the 2Q-4Q25 revenue and margin outlook. </li>
<li>Its associate, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a>, has 36% of revenue from the Americas, while the Jack Wolfskin acquisition has limited contribution. Its 50% premium to sector caps upside.  </li>
</ul>


1Q25 sales for Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) continue the trend in 4Q24, with ANTA and FILA brands recording a healthy high-single-digit YoY increase.
With the US-China trade war, the negative impact on consumer appetite is uncertain. It is difficult to project the 2Q-4Q25 revenue and margin outlook. 
Its associate, Amer Sports (AS US), has 36% of revenue from the Americas, while the Jack Wolfskin acquisition has limited contribution. Its 50% premium to sector caps upside.  


Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1Q25 Stable, yet the Margin Remains Our Concern

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a>'s strong FY24 result is masked by one-offs and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amer-sports-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21751:1" rel="noopener">Amer Sports (AS US)</a>. Without them, its earnings would have declined by an alarming 5.4% in 2H24. </li>
<li>Its ANTA and FILA brands have seen YoY operating profit drop in 2H24, with heavy margin pressure. Their revenue growth has also showed meaningful slowdown sequentially.</li>
<li>The 18.6x PER for FY25 is at a 50% premium to the sector, but the market expectation of 15% growth looks challenging. The YTD rally has opened room for profit-taking.</li>
</ul>



Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)'s strong FY24 result is masked by one-offs and Amer Sports (AS US). Without them, its earnings would have declined by an alarming 5.4% in 2H24. 
Its ANTA and FILA brands have seen YoY operating profit drop in 2H24, with heavy margin pressure. Their revenue growth has also showed meaningful slowdown sequentially.
The 18.6x PER for FY25 is at a 50% premium to the sector, but the market expectation of 15% growth looks challenging. The YTD rally has opened room for profit-taking.


Anta Sports (2020 HK): Need to Exercise Caution

United States

Amer Sports, Inc. manufactures sports apparel and fitness equipment. The Company offers apparel, footwear, equipment, protective gear, and related accessories. Amer Sports serves customers worldwide.

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Amer Sports (AS US)

Amer Sports (AS) - Tuesday, Oct 8, 2024

Amer Sports, owned by ANTA Sports, is focusing on expanding in the Chinese market, particularly through the Arc’teryx brand

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Pre-IPO Boxihe Outdoor Sports Group - The Concerns Behind the High Growth

Boxihe's advanced technology and cost-effectiveness lead to high growth, but challenge lies in product diversification. Short-term growth remains...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary $XLY to Overweight; 5700-5785 $SPX Gap Support Holding as we expected/discussed last week. 4.7-4.8% on 10y...

Vermilion Research

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1Q25 Stable, yet the Margin Remains Our Concern

Anta Sports has a healthy 1Q25, but uncertainty looms due to the US-China trade war and Amer Sports' exposure. The Jack Wolfskin acquisition will...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Need to Exercise Caution

Anta's strong FY24 result was overshadowed by one-offs and Amer's impact, with earnings declining by 5.4% in 2H24. ANTA and FILA brands facing...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Amer Sports (AS) - Tuesday, Oct 8, 2024

Amer Sports, owned by ANTA Sports, is focusing on expanding in the Chinese market, particularly through the Arc’teryx brand

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Pre-IPO Boxihe Outdoor Sports Group - The Concerns Behind the High Growth

​Boxihe's advanced technology and cost-effectiveness lead to high growth, but challenge lies in product diversification. Short-term growth remains...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary (XLY) To Overweight; 5700-5785 SPX Gap Support Holding as Expected

Upgrading Consumer Discretionary $XLY to Overweight; 5700-5785 $SPX Gap Support Holding as we expected/discussed last week. 4.7-4.8% on 10y...

Vermilion Research

Anta Sports (2020 HK): 1Q25 Stable, yet the Margin Remains Our Concern

​Anta Sports has a healthy 1Q25, but uncertainty looms due to the US-China trade war and Amer Sports' exposure. The Jack Wolfskin acquisition will...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Anta Sports (2020 HK): Need to Exercise Caution

​Anta's strong FY24 result was overshadowed by one-offs and Amer's impact, with earnings declining by 5.4% in 2H24. ANTA and FILA brands facing...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Boxihe's advanced technology and cost-effectiveness lead to high growth, but challenge lies in product diversification. Short-term growth remains...

Anta Sports has a healthy 1Q25, but uncertainty looms due to the US-China trade war and Amer Sports' exposure. The Jack Wolfskin acquisition will...

Anta's strong FY24 result was overshadowed by one-offs and Amer's impact, with earnings declining by 5.4% in 2H24. ANTA and FILA brands facing...