IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-micro-corp-5c356907-201f-4bd8-8190-24de284e1329" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50247:1" rel="noopener">SG Micro (3661 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$85.20, raising HK$4,601 million (US$587 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sg-micro-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:242274" rel="noopener">SG Micro H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sg-micro-h-share-listing-3661-hk-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:243268" rel="noopener">SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Valuation Insights</a>. </li>
<li>The grey market price is up 30%, partly due to A Shares rising 9% since the prospectus was released. The 46.5% AH discount is attractive. </li>
</ul>



SG Micro (3661 HK) priced its H Share at HK$85.20, raising HK$4,601 million (US$587 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in SG Micro H Share Listing: The Investment Case and SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Valuation Insights. 
The grey market price is up 30%, partly due to A Shares rising 9% since the prospectus was released. The 46.5% AH discount is attractive. 


SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Trading Debut

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>SG Micro launched Hongkong IPO to raise up to HK$4.6B. They are a leading analog IC company in China who design, develop and sell high-performance analog ICs and sensors.  </li>
<li>SG Micro intends to use the IPO proceeds to expand overseas sales network, investment &amp; acquisition opportunities, enhance R&amp;D capabilities and working capital.</li>
<li>Prima facie, in terms of the valuation that the company is seeking, the company seems overvalued. Investors can avoid the issue for now.</li>
</ul>


SG Micro launched Hongkong IPO to raise up to HK$4.6B. They are a leading analog IC company in China who design, develop and sell high-performance analog ICs and sensors.  
SG Micro intends to use the IPO proceeds to expand overseas sales network, investment &amp; acquisition opportunities, enhance R&amp;D capabilities and working capital.
Prima facie, in terms of the valuation that the company is seeking, the company seems overvalued. Investors can avoid the issue for now.


SG Micro IPO: Issue Valuation Sought Does Not Seem Analogous With Inherent Prospects

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-micro-corp-5c356907-201f-4bd8-8190-24de284e1329" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50247:1" rel="noopener">SG Micro (3661 HK)</a>, a leading analog IC company, has a solid track record of earnings. Its IPO targets to raise net proceeds of HK$4.5bn, which is reasonably sizeable.</li>
<li>The market is expecting 3-year EPS CAGR of 33.1%, putting the IPO price at 59.3x FY26 PER. The 107% earnings growth in 1Q26 affirms its outlook. </li>
<li>We value it on 2.1x PEG, same as global peers, translating into 70x PER, or 18% upside. Our estimated fair value of HK$100.50 means a H-A discount of 34.1%.  </li>
</ul>



SG Micro (3661 HK), a leading analog IC company, has a solid track record of earnings. Its IPO targets to raise net proceeds of HK$4.5bn, which is reasonably sizeable.
The market is expecting 3-year EPS CAGR of 33.1%, putting the IPO price at 59.3x FY26 PER. The 107% earnings growth in 1Q26 affirms its outlook. 
We value it on 2.1x PEG, same as global peers, translating into 70x PER, or 18% upside. Our estimated fair value of HK$100.50 means a H-A discount of 34.1%.  


SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sg-micro-corp-5c356907-201f-4bd8-8190-24de284e1329" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50247:1" rel="noopener">SG Micro (3661 HK)</a>, a leading analog IC company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$587 million.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sg-micro-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:242274" rel="noopener">SG Micro H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. </li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 42.3% (based on the close on 16 June A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



SG Micro (3661 HK), a leading analog IC company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$587 million.
I discussed the H Share listing in SG Micro H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 
The proposed AH discount of 42.3% (based on the close on 16 June A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Valuation Insights

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-semiconductor" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32807:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US)</a> ETF in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 8.65% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$12.5bn. There are 4 stocks with over a yard and a half to trade.</li>
<li>The largest flows will be in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/micron-technology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13382:1" rel="noopener">Micron Technology (MU US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-micro-devices-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19009:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8587:1" rel="noopener">TSMC - ADR (TSM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


There are no constituent changes for the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor (SMH US) ETF in June but there are a lot of float and capping changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 8.65% resulting in a round-trip trade of US$12.5bn. There are 4 stocks with over a yard and a half to trade.
The largest flows will be in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US), Intel Corp (INTC US), Micron Technology (MU US), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD US) and TSMC - ADR (TSM US). 


MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$12.5bn Trade

United States

Analog Devices, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits used in analog and digital signal processing.  The Company's products are used in communications, computer, industrial, instrumentation, military/aerospace, automotive, and high-performance consumer electronics applications.  Analog Devices sells its products worldwide.

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Analog Devices (ADI US)

SG Micro IPO: Issue Valuation Sought Does Not Seem Analogous With Inherent Prospects

SG Micro launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to HK$4.6B for expansion, acquisitions, R&D. In terms of the valuation that company is seeking, it...

Tina Banerjee

SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$12.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in June but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.65% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Trading Debut

SG Micro priced its H Share at HK$85.20, raising HK$4,601 million (US$587 million) in gross proceeds. The current AH discount of 46.5% is attractive.

Arun George

SG Micro IPO: Issue Valuation Sought Does Not Seem Analogous With Inherent Prospects

​SG Micro launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to HK$4.6B for expansion, acquisitions, R&D. In terms of the valuation that company is seeking, it...

Tina Banerjee

SG Micro Corp (3661 HK) IPO: A High-Growth Play

​SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...

Osbert Tang, CFA

SG Micro H Share Listing (3661 HK): Valuation Insights

SG Micro, a leading analog IC company in China, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$587 million. In this note, I discuss the H Share...

Arun George

MV US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index Rebalance: Capping Leads to US$12.5bn Trade

There are no constituent changes for the index in June but there are float and capping changes. Estimated one-way turnover is 8.65% resulting in a...

Brian Freitas

SG Micro launches Hong Kong IPO to raise up to HK$4.6B for expansion, acquisitions, R&D. In terms of the valuation that company is seeking, it...

SG Micro is a leading analog IC company with a solid earnings record, aiming to raise HK$4.5bn in its IPO. With a 33.1% EPS CAGR, the IPO is...